Marlins vs Cardinals: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 5, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 5, 2021

The St. Louis Cardinals (1-2) are underdogs on the moneyline (-107) in Monday’s contest with the Miami Marlins (1-2), which starts at 6:40 PM ET. However, the Cardinals are favored against the spread (1.5) with +165 odds. Miami’s Trevor Rogers gets the start, and he’ll go against St. Louis’ Daniel Ponce de Leon.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 4, 2021, 9:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Marlins vs Cardinals Betting Lines

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Last season, the Marlins won eight out of the 11 games, or 72.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Miami was 8-3 last season when entering a game favored by -108 or more on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 50.1% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
  • Games involving Miami went over the total set by bookmakers in 29 of 54 chances last season.

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Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals were underdogs in 28 games last season and came away with the win 14 times (50%) in those contests.
  • Last year, St. Louis won 13 of 27 games when listed as at least -107 on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 49.9% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Contests with St. Louis went over the total set by oddsmakers in 21 of 52 chances last season.

Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Daniel Ponce de Leon

  • Daniel Ponce de Leon makes his first start of the season for the Cardinals.
  • The 29-year-old right-hander came out of the bullpen and threw one inning when he last appeared Thursday, Oct. 1 against the Padres.
  • Poncedeleon and his team went 2-3 in the five games he appeared in when they were the underdog on the moneyline a season ago.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 5, 2021 at 2:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Marlins Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 1-2
Home 1-2
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 1-1
vs RHP (Starters) 0-1
Day Games 0-1
Night Games 1-1

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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Trevor Rogers

  • Rogers gets the nod for the Marlins and will make his first start of the season.
  • The last time the lefty took the mound was on Thursday, Oct. 8 last season, when he pitched 1 2/3 innings in a matchup with the Braves.
  • The left-hander appeared in one game with his team as the moneyline favorite last season and won.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 5, 2021 at 2:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Cardinals Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 1-2
Home 0-0
Road 1-2
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 1-2
Day Games 1-2
Night Games 0-0

Marlins Hitting Stats

  • The Marlins averaged one home run per game to rank 25th in baseball with 60 total home runs last season.
  • The Marlins put up two or more dingers in 16 games last season, and finished 10-6 in those outings.
  • Starling Marte finished last season with six home runs, 27 RBI and a batting average of .281.
  • Jesus Aguilar collected 52 hits, posted an OBP of .352 and a .457 SLG.

Cardinals Hitting Stats

  • The Cardinals hit just 51 homers last season, which ranked last in the league.
  • In 31 games on the road last season, they hit 24 homers, an average of 0.8 per contest.
  • Paul Goldschmidt hit six home runs while racking up a batting average of .304 last season.
  • Nolan Arenado hit eight home runs with 26 runs batted in last year.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (-107)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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