Reds vs Pirates: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 5, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 5, 2021

The Cincinnati Reds will look to pick up their third win of the season when they take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (1-2) on Monday. The game begins at 6:40 PM ET, with the Reds listed as -143 favorites on the moneyline. Cincinnati’s Jose De Leon gets the start, and he’ll go against Pittsburgh’s JT Brubaker.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 4, 2021, 9:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Reds vs Pirates Betting Lines

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds won 23, or 56.1%, of the 41 games they played as favorites last season.
  • Cincinnati had a record of 13-12, a 52% win rate, when favored by -143 or more by bookmakers last season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.8% chance of a victory for the Reds.
  • Cincinnati’s games went over the total in 25 of their 60 chances last season.

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Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates were victorous in 19, or 32.8%, of the 58 contests they were chosen as underdogs in last season.
  • Pittsburgh had a mark of 17-32 in contests where bookmakers set them as +123 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 43.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents went over in 26 of their 59 games with a total set by sportsbooks last season.

Pirates Probable Pitcher – JT Brubaker

  • Brubaker will start for the Pirates, his first of the season.
  • In his last appearance on Sunday, Sept. 27, the 27-year-old right-hander started the game and went five innings against the Indians.
  • Brubaker’s team went 4-7 in games he pitched when they were the underdog on the moneyline a season ago.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 5, 2021 at 2:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Reds Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 2-1
Home 2-1
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 2-1
Day Games 2-1
Night Games 0-0

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Reds Probable Pitcher – José De León

  • De Leon will make his first start of the season for the Reds.
  • The last time the 28-year-old righty pitched was on Monday, Sept. 14, throwing zero scoreless innings out of the bullpen against the Pirates.
  • De León and his team were 1-1 when he pitched and they were the moneyline favorite.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 5, 2021 at 2:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Pirates Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 1-2
Home 0-0
Road 1-2
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 1-2
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 1-2

Reds Hitting Stats

  • The Reds ranked seventh-best in MLB play last season with 90 total home runs.
  • The Reds hit at least two home runs in 26 games last season, and finished 19-7 in those contests.
  • Nicholas Castellanos finished last season with 14 home runs, 34 RBI and a batting average of .225.
  • Eugenio Suarez slugged 15 homers and finished with 38 RBI.

Pirates Hitting Stats

  • The Pirates’ 59 home runs ranked 27th in MLB last season.
  • They were 7-8 last season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Colin Moran accumulated 10 home runs and had 23 runs batted in last season.
  • Adam Frazier was productive with 23 RBI while collecting 48 hits.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+123)

Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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