Twins vs Tigers: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 5, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 5, 2021

The Detroit Tigers (2-1) enter Monday’s matchup with the Minnesota Twins (2-1) following their 2-1 series victory over the Indians. The Twins, coming off of a series win against the Brewers, are listed as -143 favorites for Game 1. The series begins at Comerica Park, starting at 1:10 PM ET. Matt Shoemaker starts for Minnesota while Detroit will counter with Jose Urena.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 4, 2021, 9:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Twins vs Tigers Betting Lines

Twins Betting Insights

  • The Twins were favorites in 48 games last season and won 30 (62.5%) of those contests.
  • Last season, Minnesota won 20 of its 33 games, or 60.6%, when favored by at least -143 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.8% chance of a victory for the Twins.
  • Games involving Minnesota went over the total set by bookmakers in 20 of 59 chances last season.

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Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers were victorous in 17, or 35.4%, of the 48 contests they were chosen as underdogs in last season.
  • Last season, Detroit was victorious 12 times in 38 chances when named as an underdog of +123 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 43.2% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Detroit and its opponents hit the over in 23 of their 53 games with a total set by oddsmakers last season.

Tigers Probable Pitcher – José Ureña

  • Urena starts for the first time this season for the Tigers.
  • The 29-year-old right-hander started and threw 2 1/3 scoreless innings when he last appeared Sunday, Sept. 27 against the Yankees.
  • Urena and his team were moneyline underdogs each time he pitched a season ago.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 5, 2021 at 2:11 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Twins Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 2-1
Home 0-0
Road 2-1
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 2-1
Day Games 1-1
Night Games 1-0

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Twins Probable Pitcher – Matt Shoemaker

  • Shoemaker will make his first start of the season for the Twins.
  • The last time the 34-year-old pitched was on Tuesday, Sept. 29 against the Rays. The righty threw three scoreless innings as the starter in that matchup.
  • The right-hander did not appear in a game when his team was the moneyline favorite last season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 5, 2021 at 2:11 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Tigers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 2-1
Home 2-1
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 2-1
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 2-1

Twins Hitting Stats

  • The Twins averaged 1.5 home runs per game to rank sixth in baseball with 91 total home runs last season.
  • The Twins averaged 1.6 homers per game when playing away from home last season (48 total in road outings).
  • Nelson Cruz slugged 16 home runs and collected 33 RBI last season while batting .303.
  • Max Kepler hit .228 with an OBP of .321 and a slugging percentage of .439.

Tigers Hitting Stats

  • The Tigers hit 62 homers last season, which ranked 23rd in the league.
  • They were 14-6 last season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Jeimer Candelario hit .293 a season ago with 11 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 21 walks.
  • Willi Castro had four doubles, two triples, six home runs and seven walks while batting .346.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Twins (-143)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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