Pistons vs Thunder: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – April 5, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 5, 2021

The Detroit Pistons (14-35) visit the Oklahoma City Thunder (20-29) in a matchup of Central Division teams at Chesapeake Energy Arena, beginning at 7:00 PM ET on Monday, April 5, 2021. The Pistons are 3-point favorites in the game, the first matchup between the squads this season. The over/under is 212.5 in the matchup.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of April 5, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Pistons vs Thunder Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of April 5

Pistons:
Jahlil Okafor: Out (Knee),
Rodney McGruder: Day To Day (Elbow)

Thunder:
Luguentz Dort: Day To Day (Concussion Protocol),
Isaiah Roby: Out (Concussion),
Josh Hall: Out (Concussion-like symptoms),
Mike Muscala: Day To Day (Ankle),
Darius Bazley: Day To Day (Shoulder),
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Day To Day (Foot)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Thunder (+3)
Total Pick Over (212.5)
Prediction Thunder 110, Pistons 109

The model line is much more favorable to the Thunder compared to the DraftKings line, a 3.9 point difference, and has them favored to win Monday’s game outright. Put your money on the Thunder.

In this game, the model projects a total (218.3 points) slightly higher than the DraftKings over/under (212.5 points).

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Pistons Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jerami Grant 46 22.4 4.8 2.8 0.7 1.1 2.2
Josh Jackson 44 12.8 4.0 2.1 0.9 0.8 1.1
Hamidou Diallo 36 12.2 5.2 2.3 0.9 0.4 0.5
Saddiq Bey 47 10.6 4.1 1.3 0.6 0.1 2.2
Mason Plumlee 47 10.5 9.4 3.6 0.9 0.9 0.0

Pistons Player Props

  • Mason Plumlee’s assists prop over/under for the matchup is listed at 2.5 assists, 1.1 assists less than his season average of 3.6.
  • Jerami Grant’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 27.5, 2.5 lower than his season average of 30.0.
  • Wayne Ellington’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 2.5, 0.1 shots less than his season average of 2.6.
  • Grant’s blocks prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.4 blocks higher than his season average of 1.1.

Thunder Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 35 23.7 4.8 5.9 0.8 0.7 2.0
Al Horford 28 14.2 6.7 3.4 0.9 0.9 2.0
Luguentz Dort 41 12.6 3.4 1.6 0.8 0.4 2.0
Darius Bazley 36 11.9 7.5 1.5 0.5 0.6 1.5
Mike Muscala 35 9.7 3.8 0.8 0.2 0.3 1.9

Thunder Player Props

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s points prop total for the game is set at 20.5, 3.2 points lower than his season average of 23.7.
  • Moses Brown’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 32.5, 15.4 higher than his season average of 17.1.
  • Ty Jerome’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 3.5, 1.4 shots higher than his season average of 2.1.
  • Theo Maledon’s steals prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.6 steals greater than his season average of 0.9.

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Pistons have a 44.3% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.5% lower than the 46.8% of shots the Thunder’s opponents have hit.
  • Detroit has an 11-3 record against the spread and an 8-7 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 46.8% from the field.
  • Oklahoma City is 9-5-1 against the spread and 9-6 overall when allowing opponents to shoot higher than 44.3% from the field.
  • The Thunder’s 44.6% shooting percentage from the field this season is 3.1 percentage points lower than the Pistons have allowed to their opponents (47.7%).
  • Oklahoma City is 6-2 against the spread and 6-2 overall when it shoots better than 47.7% from the field.
  • When Detroit’s opponents shoot greater than 44.6% from the field, it is 10-6 against the spread and 9-8 overall.
  • The Pistons’ 35.2% three-point shooting percentage this season is just 0.2 percentage points lower than opponents of the Thunder have shot from deep (35.4%).
  • Detroit has a 17-6 record against the spread and an 11-13 record overall when the team makes more than 35.4% of its three-point shots.
  • Oklahoma City has put up an 18-9 against the spread while going 14-13 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot better than 35.2% from deep.
  • The Thunder’s three-point shooting percentage this season (34.8%) is just 2.8 percentage points lower than opponents of the Pistons are averaging (37.6%).
  • Oklahoma City is 13-5-1 against the spread and 12-7 overall when shooting over 37.6% as a team from three-point range.
  • Detroit is 12-7 ATS and 10-11 overall in games it shoots over 34.8% from deep.
  • The Pistons hit 12.1 three-pointers per game this season, only 0.7 fewer makes per game than the Thunder allow 12.8.
  • When Oklahoma City makes more three-pointers than its opponents, it is 16-7 against the spread and 14-9 overall. When Detroit is out-shot from beyond the arc by its opponents, it is 6-12-1 ATS and 2-17 straight up.
  • The Pistons are the 20th-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Thunder give up the 19th-fewest makes from deep.

Pistons vs Thunder Stat Rankings

Pistons Rank Pistons AVG Thunder AVG Thunder Rank
25th 106.8 Points Scored 105.8 27th
11th 110.9 Points Allowed 113.1 20th
18th 42.8 Rebounds 45 10th
16th 9.9 Off. Rebounds 8.7 26th
20th 12.1 3pt Made 12.8 14th
18th 24.3 Assists 22.4 28th
20th 13.8 Turnovers 14.4 25th

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