Padres vs Diamondbacks: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 4, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 4, 2021

The Arizona Diamondbacks (0-3) will look to avoid the sweep when they visit the San Diego Padres (3-0) to complete a four-game series. Oddsmakers have listed the Padres as -245 favorites for the series finale, while the Diamondbacks are +205 underdogs to pick up a win. Chris Paddack gets the starting nod for San Diego while Taylor Widener is Arizona’s starter for the contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 4, 2021, 3:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Padres vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Padres Betting Insights

  • Last season, the Padres were favored 42 times and won 26, or 61.9%, of those games.
  • San Diego entered three games last season favored by -245 or more, and won each of those games.
  • The Padres have a 68.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • San Diego’s games went over the total in 28 of their 58 chances last season.

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Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks were victorous in 16, or 41%, of the 39 contests they were chosen as underdogs in last season.
  • Last season, Arizona was a moneyline underdog of -245 or longer two times, losing every contest.
  • The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 31.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Arizona’s games went over the total in 24 of its 57 opportunities.

Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Taylor Widener

  • Widener starts for the first time this season for the Diamondbacks.
  • When he last appeared on Sunday, Sept. 27, the 26-year-old right-hander came out of the bullpen and went one scoreless inning against the Rockies.
  • Widener and his team went 2-5 in the seven games he appeared in when they were moneyline underdogs a season ago.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 4, 2021 at 6:06 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Padres Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 3-0
Home 3-0
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 2-0
vs RHP (Starters) 1-0
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 3-0

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Padres Probable Pitcher – Chris Paddack

  • The Padres will send Paddack to the mound for his first start this season.
  • The last time the 25-year-old pitched was on Wednesday, Sept. 30 against the Cardinals. The righty threw 2 1/3 innings as the starter in that matchup.
  • Paddack and his team were 5-4 when he pitched and they were the moneyline favorite.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 4, 2021 at 6:06 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Diamondbacks Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 0-3
Home 0-0
Road 0-3
vs LHP (Starters) 0-1
vs RHP (Starters) 0-2
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 0-3

Padres Hitting Stats

  • The Padres averaged 1.6 home runs per game to rank fourth in MLB play with 95 total home runs last season.
  • The Padres hit 60 home runs at home last season (1.8 per game).
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. slugged 17 home runs and collected 45 RBI last season while batting .277.
  • Manny Machado hit .304 with an OBP of .360 and a slugging percentage of .580.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats

  • The Diamondbacks’ 58 home runs ranked second-to-last in MLB last season.
  • In 30 games on the road last season, they hit 29 homers, an average of 1 per contest.
  • David Peralta had 34 runs batted in while racking up a batting average of .300 last season.
  • Christian Walker collected 34 runs batted in with 59 hits.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (+205)

Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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