Twins vs Brewers: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 4, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 4, 2021

The Minnesota Twins (1-1) are -112 favorites to take Game 3 of their series with the Milwaukee Brewers (1-1) on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET. The teams enter the matchup with the series record tied at 1-1, and the underdog Brewers are listed with -104 odds to win the rubber match and take the series victory. Minnesota’s Michael Pineda and Milwaukee’s Adrian Houser have been named the starters for this contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 4, 2021, 3:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Twins vs Brewers Betting Lines

Twins Betting Insights

  • The Twins were favorites in 48 games last season and won 30 (62.5%) of those contests.
  • Minnesota had a record of 30-17, a 63.8% win rate, when favored by -112 or more by sportsbooks last season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 50.9% chance of a victory for the Twins.
  • Games involving Minnesota went over the total set by oddsmakers in 20 of 59 chances last season.

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Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Brewers came away with 10 wins in the 21 contests they were listed as the underdogs in last season.
  • Last year, Milwaukee won nine of 19 games when listed as at least -104 on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 49.1% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Milwaukee’s games went over the total in 24 of its 58 opportunities.

Brewers Probable Pitcher – Adrian Houser

  • Houser starts for the first time this season for the Brewers.
  • The 28-year-old right-hander last appeared Friday, Oct. 2 against the Dodgers, when he came on in relief and went two scoreless innings.
  • Houser and his team finished with a 1-2 record in the three games he pitched when they were the moneyline underdog a season ago.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 4, 2021 at 6:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Twins Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 1-1
Home 0-0
Road 1-1
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 1-1
Day Games 0-1
Night Games 1-0

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Twins Probable Pitcher – Michael Pineda

  • The Twins will send Pineda to the mound for his first start this season.
  • The last time the 32-year-old pitched was on Saturday, Sept. 26 against the Reds. The righty threw four innings as the starter in that matchup.
  • Pineda and his team won as favorites in each of his five appearances last season with a moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 4, 2021 at 6:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Brewers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 1-1
Home 1-1
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 1-1
Day Games 1-0
Night Games 0-1

Twins Hitting Stats

  • The Twins averaged 1.5 home runs per game to rank sixth in baseball with 91 total home runs last season.
  • The Twins hit two or more homers in 26 games last season, and went 20-6 in those outings.
  • Nelson Cruz finished with a .303 average last season, with 16 home runs and 33 RBI.
  • Max Kepler hit .228 with an OBP of .321 and a slugging percentage of .439.

Brewers Hitting Stats

  • The Brewers hit 75 homers last season, which ranked 16th in the league.
  • In 30 games at home last season, they hit 40 homers, an average of 1.3 per contest.
  • Jackie Bradley Jr. hit .283 last season with 11 doubles, seven home runs and 22 walks.
  • Kolten Wong had four doubles, two triples, a home run and 19 walks while hitting .265.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Twins (-112)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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