Red Sox vs Orioles: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 4, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 4, 2021

The Boston Red Sox (0-5) will look to avoid the sweep when they host the Baltimore Orioles (5-0) to complete a three-game series. Oddsmakers have listed the Red Sox as -200 favorites for the series finale, while the Orioles are +165 underdogs to complete their sweep. Garrett Richards starts for Boston while Bruce Zimmermann is Baltimore’s starter for the contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 4, 2021, 3:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Red Sox vs Orioles Betting Lines

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • Last season, the Red Sox won eight out of the 13 games, or 61.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Boston played as a favorite of -200 or more twice last season and split those games.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 63.9%.
  • Last season, Boston and its opponents hit the over in 30 of their 57 games with a total.

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Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles were victorous in 21, or 40.4%, of the 52 contests they were chosen as underdogs in last season.
  • Baltimore had a mark of 8-9 in contests where bookmakers set them as +165 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 36.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Baltimore’s games went over the total in 27 of its 55 opportunities.

Orioles Probable Pitcher – Bruce Zimmermann

  • Zimmermann will take the mound to start for the Orioles, his first of the season.
  • The 26-year-old left-hander came out of the bullpen and threw four innings in his last appearance on Wednesday, Sept. 23 against the Red Sox.
  • Zimmermann and his team lost both of the two games he pitched a season ago when they were moneyline underdogs.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 4, 2021 at 6:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Red Sox Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 0-5
Home 0-5
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 0-4
vs RHP (Starters) 0-1
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 0-5

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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Garrett Richards

  • Richards will make his first start of the season for the Red Sox.
  • The 32-year-old right-hander hasn’t pitched since last season. He last appeared on Friday, Oct. 9 against the Dodgers, when he pitched scoreless two-thirds of an inning out of the bullpen.
  • The right-hander did not appear in a game when his team was the moneyline favorite last season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 4, 2021 at 6:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Orioles Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 5-0
Home 0-0
Road 5-0
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 4-0
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 5-0

Red Sox Hitting Stats

  • The Red Sox ranked 12th in MLB action with 81 home runs last season. They averaged 1.4 per game.
  • The Red Sox averaged 1.3 homers per home game last season (38 total at home).
  • Rafael Devers finished with a .263 average last season, with 11 home runs and 43 RBI.
  • Xander Bogaerts finished with a .502 SLG and 11 homers while driving in 28 runs.

Orioles Hitting Stats

  • The Orioles’ 77 home runs ranked 15th in Major League Baseball.
  • They hit two or more homers in 21 games last season and were 12-9 in those matchups.
  • Maikel Franco drove in 38 RBI last season while batting .278.
  • Ryan Mountcastle had five doubles, five home runs and 11 walks while batting .341.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Red Sox (-200)

Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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