Cardinals vs Reds: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 4, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 4, 2021

The St. Louis Cardinals (1-1) and Paul DeJong (2 HR in his last game) are favored (-109) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Cincinnati Reds (1-1) on Sunday at 1:10 PM ET. St. Louis’ Carlos Martinez gets the start, and he’ll go against Cincinnati’s Jeff Hoffman.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 4, 2021, 3:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Cardinals vs Reds Betting Lines

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • Last season, the Cardinals won 12 out of the 24 games, or 50%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • St. Louis entered 23 games last season favored by -109 or more and was 12-11 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 50.3% chance of a victory for the Cardinals.
  • St. Louis and its opponents hit the over in 21 of their 52 games with a total last season.

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Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds came away with eight wins in the 19 contests they were listed as the underdogs in last season.
  • Last year, Cincinnati won seven of 17 games when listed as at least -106 on the moneyline.
  • The Reds have an implied victory probability of 49.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents went over the total last season in 25 of their 60 opportunities.

Reds Probable Pitcher – Jeff Hoffman

  • Hoffman makes his first start of the season for the Reds.
  • In his last appearance on Saturday, Sept. 26, the 28-year-old right-hander, came out of the bullpen and went two innings against the Diamondbacks.
  • Hoffman never pitched as a moneyline underdog a season ago.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 4, 2021 at 6:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Cardinals Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 1-1
Home 0-0
Road 1-1
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 1-1
Day Games 1-1
Night Games 0-0

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Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Carlos Martínez

  • The Cardinals will send Martinez to the mound for his first start this season.
  • The last time the 29-year-old righty pitched was on Thursday, Sept. 24, throwing five innings as the starter against the Royals.
  • Martínez appeared in three games last season as the moneyline favorite and his team finished with a record of 1-2 in those contests.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 4, 2021 at 6:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Reds Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 1-1
Home 1-1
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 1-1
Day Games 1-1
Night Games 0-0

Cardinals Hitting Stats

  • The Cardinals hit 51 home runs last season, the lowest total in MLB action.
  • The Cardinals went 10-3 last season in games when they hit at least two homers.
  • Paul Goldschmidt hit six home runs last season while also driving in 21 runs.
  • Nolan Arenado is batting .253 last season with a team-high eight home runs and 26 RBI.

Reds Hitting Stats

  • The Reds ranked seventh in Major League Baseball with 90 home runs.
  • They hit two or more homers in 26 games last season and were 19-7 in those matchups.
  • Nicholas Castellanos hit .225 a season ago with 11 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 18 walks.
  • Eugenio Suarez had 15 home runs and 38 RBI a season ago.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Reds (-106)

Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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