Indians vs Tigers: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 4, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 4, 2021

The Detroit Tigers (2-0) will look to close out the series sweep as the take a 2-0 lead into their final matchup against the Cleveland Indians (0-2) at 1:10 PM ET on Sunday from Comerica Park. The Indians are favored (-136) by bookmakers to prevent the sweep and pick up their first win of the series. Aaron Civale takes the mound for Cleveland while Tarik Skubal is Detroit’s starter for the contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 4, 2021, 3:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Indians vs Tigers Betting Lines

Indians Betting Insights

  • The Indians entered a game as favorites 47 times last season and won 31, or 66%, of those games.
  • Cleveland was 26-10 last season when entering a game favored by -136 or more on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 55.3% chance of a victory for the Indians.
  • Games involving Cleveland went over the total set by oddsmakers in 21 of 58 chances last season.

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Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers won in 17, or 35.4%, of the 48 contests they were named as odds-on underdogs in last year.
  • Last season, Detroit was victorious 14 times in 42 chances when named as an underdog of +115 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 44.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Detroit and its opponents went over the total last season in 23 of their 53 opportunities.

Tigers Probable Pitcher – Tarik Skubal

  • Skubal makes his first start of the season for the Tigers.
  • In his last appearance on Sunday, Sept. 27, the 24-year-old lefty, came out of the bullpen and went five innings against the Royals.
  • Skubal and his team finished 2-5 in the seven games he pitched when they were the underdog on the moneyline a season ago.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 4, 2021 at 6:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Indians Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 0-2
Home 0-0
Road 0-2
vs LHP (Starters) 0-1
vs RHP (Starters) 0-0
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 0-2

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Indians Probable Pitcher – Aaron Civale

  • Civale has been named the starter for the Indians and will make his first start this season.
  • The 25-year-old righty last pitched Saturday, Sept. 26 against the Pirates, tossing four innings as the starter.
  • Civale and his team won as favorites in 50% of his 10 appearances last season with a moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 4, 2021 at 6:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Tigers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 2-0
Home 2-0
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 2-0
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 2-0

Indians Hitting Stats

  • The Indians hit 59 home runs last season, the fourth-lowest total in baseball.
  • The Indians averaged 1.1 homers per game when playing away from home last season (34 total in road contests).
  • Last season, Jose Ramirez had a .296 batting average with 19 home runs and 50 RBI.
  • Cesar Hernandez hit .282 with an OBP of .352 and a slugging percentage of .408.

Tigers Hitting Stats

  • The Tigers’ 62 home runs ranked 23rd in Major League Baseball.
  • They were 14-6 last season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Jeimer Candelario hit .293 a season ago with 11 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 21 walks.
  • Willi Castro had four doubles, two triples, six home runs and seven walks while hitting .346.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Indians (-136)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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