Yankees vs Blue Jays: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 4, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 4, 2021

The New York Yankees (1-1) host the Toronto Blue Jays (1-1) on Sunday to close out a three-game series. The Yankees are favored (-175) to win the rubber match, which starts at 1:05 PM ET from Yankee Stadium. New York’s Domingo German gets the start, and he’ll go against Toronto’s T.J. Zeuch.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 4, 2021, 3:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Betting Lines

Yankees Betting Insights

  • The Yankees entered a game as favorites 47 times last season and won 30, or 63.8%, of those games.
  • Last season, New York won 18 of its 25 games, or 72%, when favored by at least -175 on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 60.9% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
  • Last season, New York and its opponents hit the over in 26 of their 54 games with a total.

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Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jays won in 14, or 45.2%, of the 31 contests they were named as odds-on underdogs in last year.
  • Toronto had a mark of 3-7 in contests where sportsbooks set them as +145 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Blue Jays have an implied victory probability of 39.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Toronto and its opponents went over the total last season in 27 of their 56 opportunities.

Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – T.J. Zeuch

  • Zeuch pitches first in this matchup for the Blue Jays, his first of the season.
  • In his last appearance on Saturday, Sept. 26, the 25-year-old right-hander, started and went five scoreless innings against the Orioles.
  • Zeuch and his team put together a 1-1 record in games he appeared in when they were the underdog on the moneyline a season ago.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 4, 2021 at 6:09 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Yankees Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 1-1
Home 1-1
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 0-1
vs RHP (Starters) 1-0
Day Games 0-1
Night Games 1-0

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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Domingo Germán

  • The Yankees will send out German for his first start of the season.
  • This will be the first start of the season for the 28-year-old right-hander, who has not made an appearance on the mound in over a season.
  • The right-hander did not appear in a game when his team was the moneyline favorite last season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 4, 2021 at 6:09 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Blue Jays Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 1-1
Home 0-0
Road 1-1
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 1-1
Day Games 1-0
Night Games 0-1

Yankees Hitting Stats

  • The Yankees averaged 1.6 home runs per game to rank fifth in baseball with 94 total home runs last season.
  • The Yankees went 21-5 last season in games when they send out two or more homers.
  • DJ LeMahieu finished last season with a .364 batting average while adding 10 home runs and 27 RBI.
  • Gio Urshela finished with 30 RBI while batting .298 and hitting six homers.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats

  • The Blue Jays ranked eighth in Major League Baseball with 88 home runs.
  • They won 18 of the 27 games last season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. hit .308 last season with 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 14 walks.
  • Randal Grichuk capitalized on opportunities with 35 RBI while collecting 59 hits.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (+145)

Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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