Braves vs Phillies: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 4, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 4, 2021

The Philadelphia Phillies (2-0) hope to complete a three-game sweep of the Atlanta Braves (0-2) when the teams meet at 1:05 PM ET on Sunday. The Braves are -136 favorites to prevent the Phillies from completing the sweep. Atlanta’s Ian Anderson and Philadelphia’s Zach Eflin have been named the starters for this contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 4, 2021, 3:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Braves vs Phillies Betting Lines

Braves Betting Insights

  • The Braves entered a game as favorites 43 times last season and won 29, or 67.4%, of those games.
  • Last season, Atlanta won 21 of its 32 games, or 65.6%, when favored by at least -136 on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 55.2% chance to win.
  • Atlanta’s games went over the total in 31 of their 59 chances last season.

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Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies came away with six wins in the 20 contests they were listed as the underdogs in last season.
  • Last season, Philadelphia was victorious two times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of +114 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 44.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents hit the over in 25 of their 51 games with a total set by oddsmakers last season.

Phillies Probable Pitcher – Zach Eflin

  • Eflin pitches first in this matchup for the Phillies, his first of the season.
  • In his last appearance on Sunday, Sept. 27, the 26-year-old right-hander came out of the bullpen and went 2 2/3 scoreless innings against the Rays.
  • Eflin and his team did not lose a game he pitched when they were moneyline underdogs a season ago (in two chances).
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 4, 2021 at 6:10 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Braves Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 0-2
Home 0-0
Road 0-2
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 0-2
Day Games 0-2
Night Games 0-0

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Braves Probable Pitcher – Ian Anderson

  • The Braves will send out Anderson for his first start of the season.
  • The last time the 22-year-old pitched was on Monday, Oct. 19 against the Dodgers. The righty threw three innings as the starter in that matchup.
  • Anderson and his team were 2-3 when he pitched and they were the moneyline favorite.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 4, 2021 at 6:10 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Phillies Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 2-0
Home 2-0
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 1-0
vs RHP (Starters) 1-0
Day Games 2-0
Night Games 0-0

Braves Hitting Stats

  • The Braves averaged 1.7 home runs per game to rank second in MLB play with 103 total home runs last season.
  • The Braves had a 21-6 record last season in games when they racked up two or more home runs.
  • Marcell Ozuna slugged 18 home runs and collected 56 RBI last season while batting .333.
  • Freddie Freeman posted a .341 average with 13 homers and 53 RBI.

Phillies Hitting Stats

  • The Phillies ranked 11th in Major League Baseball with 82 home runs.
  • In 30 games at home last season, they hit 45 homers, an average of 1.5 per contest.
  • Didi Gregorius put up 38 runs batted in a season ago.
  • Bryce Harper hit 13 home runs on the season while slugging .542.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Braves (-136)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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