Mavericks vs Wizards: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – April 3, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 3, 2021

The Dallas Mavericks (26-21) are 6.5-point favorites as they attempt to continue a three-game win streak when they visit the Washington Wizards (17-30) on Saturday, April 3, 2021 at Capital One Arena. The matchup airs at 7:00 PM ET on NBCS-DC. The point total is set at 228.5 in the matchup.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of April 3, 2021, 7:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Mavericks vs Wizards Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of April 3

Mavericks:
Tyrell Terry: Out (Personal),
JJ Redick: Out (Heel),
Willie Cauley-Stein: Out (Health and Safety Protocols)

Wizards:
Bradley Beal: Day To Day (Hip),
Daniel Gafford: Out (Ankle),
Thomas Bryant: Out For Season (Left knee)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Wizards (+6.5)
Total Pick Under (228.5)
Prediction Mavericks 116, Wizards 112

The model favors the Mavericks by 4.8 points, just 1.7 less than the 6.5-point spread set by DraftKings.

DraftKings and the model are extremely close in their point total projections for this contest, within 0.3 points of each other.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Mavericks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Luka Doncic 42 28.6 8.1 8.9 1.0 0.6 3.0
Kristaps Porzingis 31 20.2 8.9 1.6 0.5 1.6 2.3
Tim Hardaway Jr. 46 16.6 3.4 1.7 0.5 0.1 3.0
Jalen Brunson 43 12.7 3.6 3.4 0.5 0.0 1.2
Josh Richardson 38 12.6 3.6 2.8 0.9 0.4 1.6

Mavericks Player Props

  • Luka Doncic’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 45.5, 0.1 lower than his season average of 45.6.
  • Kristaps Porzingis’ PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 31.5, 0.9 higher than his season average of 30.6.
  • Tim Hardaway Jr.’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 3.5, 0.5 shots higher than his season average of 3.0.
  • Doncic’s steals prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.5 steals higher than his season average of 1.0.

Wizards Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Bradley Beal 41 31.3 5.0 4.8 1.2 0.4 2.2
Russell Westbrook 40 21.7 10.3 10.7 1.3 0.4 1.4
Thomas Bryant 10 14.3 6.1 1.5 0.4 0.8 0.9
Rui Hachimura 40 14.2 5.8 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.9
Davis Bertans 35 10.8 2.9 0.9 0.6 0.2 2.8

Wizards Player Props

  • Bradley Beal’s assists prop over/under for the game is posted at 14.5 assists, 3.8 assists greater than his season average of 10.7.
  • Bradley Beal’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 34.5, 6.6 less than his season average of 41.1.
  • Davis Bertans’ three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 2.5, 0.3 shots lower than his season average of 2.8.
  • Daniel Gafford’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.3 blocks higher than his season average of 1.2.

Shooting Trends

  • The Mavericks make 47.1% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.2 percentage points lower than the Wizards have allowed to their opponents (47.3%).
  • Dallas is 15-9 against the spread and 18-6 overall when it shoots better than 47.3% from the field.
  • Washington’s record is 13-9 against the spread and 11-12 overall when its opponents make more than 47.1% of their shots from the field.
  • The Wizards are shooting 46.6% from the field, 0.9% higher than the 45.7% the Mavericks’ opponents have shot this season.
  • This season, Washington has a 15-13 record against the spread and an 11-17 record overall in games the team collectively shoots higher than 45.7% from the field.
  • This season, Dallas has a 19-9 record against the spread and a 20-8 straight up record when it allows opponents to shoot higher than 46.6% from the field.
  • The Mavericks shoot 36.1% from three-point range, 2.3% lower than the 38.4% the Wizards allow to opponents.
  • Dallas has put together a 10-7 record against the spread and a 12-5 straight-up record in games this season when the team knocks down more than 38.4% of its three-point attempts.
  • Washington is 13-8 against the spread and 10-11 overall when its opponents shoot better than 36.1% from deep.
  • The Wizards shoot 34.5% from three-point distance this season. That’s two percentage points lower than the Mavericks have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (36.5%).
  • Washington has a 14-6 ATS record and is 10-10 straight-up when the team makes more than 36.5% of its three-point attempts.
  • Dallas is 15-1 ATS and 15-1 overall in games it shoots over 34.5% from deep.
  • The Mavericks’ 13.7 made three-pointers per game this season is 3.1 more made shots on average than the 10.6 per game the Wizards give up.
  • When Dallas makes more threes than its opponents, it is 17-5 against the spread and 18-4 overall. When Washington is out-shot from deep by its opponents, it is 17-17 ATS and 12-23 straight up.
  • The Wizards rank 28th in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Mavericks allow the 24th-fewest made threes in the league.

Mavericks vs Wizards Stat Rankings

Mavericks Rank Mavericks AVG Wizards AVG Wizards Rank
17th 111.9 Points Scored 114 11th
9th 110.3 Points Allowed 119.3 30th
19th 43.3 Rebounds 44 13th
28th 8.4 Off. Rebounds 9.2 20th
9th 13.7 3pt Made 10.6 28th
27th 22.6 Assists 24.9 14th
3rd 11.6 Turnovers 14.3 24th

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