Spurs vs Pacers: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – April 3, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 3, 2021

A game after he put up 36 points in a 134-129 loss to the Hawks, DeMar DeRozan leads the San Antonio Spurs (24-22) at home against the Indiana Pacers (21-26) on Saturday, April 3, 2021. The Spurs are favored by 5.5 points in the matchup, which starts at 9:00 PM ET on BSSW. The matchup has a point total of 224.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of April 3, 2021, 7:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Spurs vs Pacers Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of April 3

Trey Lyles: Out (Ankle),
Lonnie Walker IV: Out (Wrist),
Keita Bates-Diop: Out (Hamstring),
Gorgui Dieng: Out (Shoulder)

Jeremy Lamb: Day To Day (Toe),
T.J. Warren: Out For Season (Foot),
Domantas Sabonis: Day To Day (Quad)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Pacers (+5.5)
Total Pick Under (224.5)
Prediction Spurs 112, Pacers 111

The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (1.6 points) is considerably less than the 5.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Spurs, though the data still has them as the favorite. Put your money on the Pacers to cover.

The model predicts a total 1.1 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Spurs Key Players

DeMar DeRozan 39 20.9 4.4 7.2 1.0 0.3 0.5
Dejounte Murray 45 15.6 7.0 5.2 1.5 0.1 0.9
Derrick White 22 14.1 2.7 3.3 0.7 1.0 2.3
Keldon Johnson 43 13.0 6.3 1.9 0.6 0.5 0.9
Patty Mills 45 12.6 1.7 2.6 0.7 0.0 2.7

Spurs Player Props

  • DeRozan’s points prop over/under for the contest is set at 22.5, 1.6 points greater than his season average of 20.9.
  • Jakob Poeltl’s rebounding prop over/under for the contest is set at 9.5 rebounds, 1.5 rebounds higher than his season average of 8.0.
  • Patty Mills’ three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.2 shots lower than his season average of 2.7.
  • Dejounte Murray’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, equal to his season average of 1.5.

Pacers Key Players

Malcolm Brogdon 44 21.2 4.7 5.8 1.0 0.2 2.7
Domantas Sabonis 47 19.9 11.3 6.0 1.2 0.6 0.8
Caris LeVert 23 16.8 4.2 5.1 1.4 0.3 1.8
Doug McDermott 45 13.4 3.7 1.4 0.3 0.1 1.8
Myles Turner 44 12.6 6.5 1.0 0.9 3.5 1.5

Pacers Player Props

  • Malcolm Brogdon’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 29.5, 2.3 lower than his season average of 31.8.
  • T.J. McConnell’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 19.5, 2.0 greater than his season average of 17.5.
  • Brogdon’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 3.5, 0.8 shots greater than his season average of 2.7.
  • Myles Turner’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 4.5, 1.0 block higher than his season average of 3.5.

Shooting Trends

  • The Spurs make 45.9% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.1 percentage points lower than the Pacers have allowed to their opponents (47%).
  • San Antonio has a 13-3 record against the spread and a 12-4 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 47% from the field.
  • Indiana is 14-8 against the spread and 15-7 overall when allowing opponents to shoot higher than 45.9% from the field.
  • The Pacers have shot at a 46.9% rate from the field this season, 0.3 percentage points above the 46.6% shooting opponents of the Spurs have averaged.
  • Indiana is 15-10 against the spread and 17-8 overall when it shoots better than 46.6% from the field.
  • San Antonio is 18-7 against the spread and 17-8 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot above 46.9% from the field.
  • The Spurs are hitting 36% of their three-point shots this season, 1.7% lower than the 37.7% the Pacers allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • San Antonio is 14-5-1 against the spread and 14-6 overall when it shoots better than 37.7% from distance.
  • Indiana is 11-9 against the spread while putting together an 11-9 straight-up record when its opponents shoot over 36% from three-point distance.
  • The Pacers are knocking down 36.2% of their shots from three-point distance, which is just 1.7 percentage points fewer than the 37.9% the Spurs’ opponents are averaging on the season.
  • Indiana is 12-9 against the spread and 13-8 overall when shooting over 37.9% as a team from three-point range.
  • San Antonio is 17-4 ATS and 16-5 overall in games it shoots over 36.2% from deep.
  • The Spurs connect on 10.6 three-pointers per game this season, 1.9 fewer makes per game than the Pacers allow (12.5).
  • Indiana has gone 11-15 against the spread and 12-14 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When San Antonio makes fewer threes than its opponents, it is 11-19-1 ATS and 11-20 straight up.
  • The Pacers are the 18th-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Spurs allow the 15th-fewest makes from deep.

Spurs vs Pacers Stat Rankings

Spurs Rank Spurs AVG Pacers AVG Pacers Rank
22nd 110.2 Points Scored 112.4 14th
12th 111.1 Points Allowed 112.7 21st
21st 44.1 Rebounds 42 28th
24th 9 Off. Rebounds 8.8 25th
27th 10.6 3pt Made 12.5 18th
18th 24.4 Assists 26.9 4th
1st 10.8 Turnovers 13.2 14th

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