A game after he put up 36 points in a 134-129 loss to the Hawks, DeMar DeRozan leads the San Antonio Spurs (24-22) at home against the Indiana Pacers (21-26) on Saturday, April 3, 2021. The Spurs are favored by 5.5 points in the matchup, which starts at 9:00 PM ET on BSSW. The matchup has a point total of 224.5.
The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of April 3, 2021, 7:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.
Spurs vs Pacers Betting Odds
Injury Report as of April 3
Trey Lyles: Out (Ankle),
Lonnie Walker IV: Out (Wrist),
Keita Bates-Diop: Out (Hamstring),
Gorgui Dieng: Out (Shoulder)
Jeremy Lamb: Day To Day (Toe),
T.J. Warren: Out For Season (Foot),
Domantas Sabonis: Day To Day (Quad)
|Spread Pick||Pacers (+5.5)|
|Total Pick||Under (224.5)|
|Prediction||Spurs 112, Pacers 111|
The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (1.6 points) is considerably less than the 5.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Spurs, though the data still has them as the favorite. Put your money on the Pacers to cover.
The model predicts a total 1.1 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
Spurs Key Players
Spurs Player Props
- DeRozan’s points prop over/under for the contest is set at 22.5, 1.6 points greater than his season average of 20.9.
- Jakob Poeltl’s rebounding prop over/under for the contest is set at 9.5 rebounds, 1.5 rebounds higher than his season average of 8.0.
- Patty Mills’ three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.2 shots lower than his season average of 2.7.
- Dejounte Murray’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, equal to his season average of 1.5.
Pacers Key Players
Pacers Player Props
- Malcolm Brogdon’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 29.5, 2.3 lower than his season average of 31.8.
- T.J. McConnell’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 19.5, 2.0 greater than his season average of 17.5.
- Brogdon’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 3.5, 0.8 shots greater than his season average of 2.7.
- Myles Turner’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 4.5, 1.0 block higher than his season average of 3.5.
- The Spurs make 45.9% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.1 percentage points lower than the Pacers have allowed to their opponents (47%).
- San Antonio has a 13-3 record against the spread and a 12-4 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 47% from the field.
- Indiana is 14-8 against the spread and 15-7 overall when allowing opponents to shoot higher than 45.9% from the field.
- The Pacers have shot at a 46.9% rate from the field this season, 0.3 percentage points above the 46.6% shooting opponents of the Spurs have averaged.
- Indiana is 15-10 against the spread and 17-8 overall when it shoots better than 46.6% from the field.
- San Antonio is 18-7 against the spread and 17-8 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot above 46.9% from the field.
- The Spurs are hitting 36% of their three-point shots this season, 1.7% lower than the 37.7% the Pacers allow opponents to shoot from deep.
- San Antonio is 14-5-1 against the spread and 14-6 overall when it shoots better than 37.7% from distance.
- Indiana is 11-9 against the spread while putting together an 11-9 straight-up record when its opponents shoot over 36% from three-point distance.
- The Pacers are knocking down 36.2% of their shots from three-point distance, which is just 1.7 percentage points fewer than the 37.9% the Spurs’ opponents are averaging on the season.
- Indiana is 12-9 against the spread and 13-8 overall when shooting over 37.9% as a team from three-point range.
- San Antonio is 17-4 ATS and 16-5 overall in games it shoots over 36.2% from deep.
- The Spurs connect on 10.6 three-pointers per game this season, 1.9 fewer makes per game than the Pacers allow (12.5).
- Indiana has gone 11-15 against the spread and 12-14 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When San Antonio makes fewer threes than its opponents, it is 11-19-1 ATS and 11-20 straight up.
- The Pacers are the 18th-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Spurs allow the 15th-fewest makes from deep.
Spurs vs Pacers Stat Rankings
|Spurs Rank||Spurs AVG||Pacers AVG||Pacers Rank|
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