Heat vs Cavaliers: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – April 3, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 3, 2021

The Cleveland Cavaliers (17-31) are heavy, 12.5-point underdogs as they try to turn around a four-game losing streak when they visit the Miami Heat (25-24) on Saturday, April 3, 2021 at American Airlines Arena. The game airs at 8:00 PM ET on BSOH. The matchup has a point total of 204.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from William Hill sportsbook as of April 2, 2021, 6:25 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Heat vs Cavaliers Betting Odds

Click here to claim your free sports bet (up to $500) at William Hill!

Injury Report as of April 3

Heat:
Gabe Vincent: Day To Day (Knee),
KZ Okpala: Out (Health and Safety Protocols)

Cavaliers:
Jarrett Allen: Out (Concussion),
Larry Nance Jr.: Out (Illness),
Dylan Windler: Out (Knee)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Cavaliers (+12.5)
Total Pick Over (204.5)
Prediction Heat 112, Cavaliers 101

The spread for this game suggested by the model (11.1 points) is slightly less than the 12.5-point edge William Hill gives to the Heat, though the data still has them as the favorite.

The model projects a total (213.7 points) much higher than the one set by William Hill for this matchup (204.5 points). Take the over.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Heat Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jimmy Butler 34 21.4 7.6 7.2 2.0 0.4 0.4
Victor Oladipo 30 20.3 5.0 4.7 1.4 0.4 2.5
Bam Adebayo 43 19.3 9.5 5.3 0.9 1.2 0.0
Tyler Herro 38 15.7 5.2 3.5 0.7 0.4 1.9
Kendrick Nunn 38 13.5 3.1 2.6 1.1 0.2 2.0

Heat Player Props

  • Jimmy Butler’s assists prop over/under for the game is set at 4.5 assists, 2.7 assists less than his season average of 7.2.
  • Bam Adebayo’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 39.5, 5.3 higher than his season average of 34.2.
  • Duncan Robinson’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 3.5, 0.1 shots greater than his season average of 3.4.
  • Butler’s steals prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.5 steals lower than his season average of 2.0.

Cavaliers Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Collin Sexton 41 23.9 2.9 4.2 1.2 0.1 1.7
Darius Garland 39 16.3 2.4 5.8 1.1 0.1 1.7
Jarrett Allen 44 13.1 9.9 1.7 0.4 1.7 0.1
Larry Nance Jr. 29 10.1 7.1 3.1 1.8 0.6 1.2
Cedi Osman 45 9.9 3.4 2.6 1.0 0.2 1.7

Cavaliers Player Props

  • Collin Sexton’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 34.5, 3.5 greater than his season average of 31.0.
  • Darius Garland’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 26.5, 2.0 greater than his season average of 24.5.
  • Cedi Osman’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 0.5, 1.2 shots lower than his season average of 1.7.
  • Jarrett Allen’s blocks prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.2 blocks lower than his season average of 1.7.

Shooting Trends

  • The Heat are shooting 45.7% from the field this season, 2.1 percentage points lower than the 47.8% the Cavaliers allow to opponents.
  • Miami is 10-6-1 against the spread and 12-5 overall when it shoots better than 47.8% from the field.
  • Cleveland’s record is 13-7 against the spread and 14-6 overall when its opponents make more than 45.7% of their shots from the field.
  • The Cavaliers’ 44.8% shooting percentage from the field this season is -0.3 percentage points lower than the Heat have given up to their opponents (44.5%).
  • This season, Cleveland has a 16-11 record against the spread and a 14-13 record overall in games the team collectively shoots over 44.5% from the field.
  • This season, Miami has a 16-11 record against the spread and a 20-7 straight up record when it allows opponents to shoot over 44.8% from the field.
  • The Heat shoot 34.4% from three-point range, 4.1% lower than the 38.5% the Cavaliers allow to opponents.
  • Miami has a 7-5-1 record against the spread and a 9-4 record overall when the team knocks down more than 38.5% of its three-point shots.
  • Cleveland has put up an 11-6 against the spread while going 9-8 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot better than 34.4% from deep.
  • The Cavaliers are knocking down 33.4% of their shots from three-point distance, which is 2.9 percentage points fewer than the 36.3% the Heat’s opponents are averaging on the season.
  • Cleveland has a 13-4 ATS record and is 11-6 straight-up when the team hits more than 36.3% of its three-point attempts.
  • Miami has a 12-7 ATS record and a 12-7 straight-up record this season when it hits more than 33.4% of its three-point attempts.
  • The Heat hit 12.6 three-pointers per game this season, 3.3 more made shots on average than the 9.3 per game the Cavaliers give up.
  • When Miami makes more three-pointers than its opponents, it is 6-5 against the spread and 9-2 overall. When Cleveland is out-shot from deep by its opponents, it is 7-24 ATS and 7-24 straight up.
  • The Heat make the 17th-most three-pointers in the league, while the Cavaliers allow the 11th-fewest makes from beyond the arc.

Heat vs Cavaliers Stat Rankings

Heat Rank Heat AVG Cavaliers AVG Cavaliers Rank
26th 106.2 Points Scored 102.7 30th
4th 107.2 Points Allowed 111.1 15th
25th 42.7 Rebounds 43.1 16th
29th 8.1 Off. Rebounds 10.9 4th
17th 12.6 3pt Made 9.3 30th
10th 25.8 Assists 23.1 23rd
22nd 13.9 Turnovers 14.6 27th

Powered By Data Skrive using data from

PlayPicks Staff Avatar
Written by
PlayPicks Staff

PlayPicks staff has years of sports betting and DFS knowledge and we share all of that with you for free daily.

View all posts by PlayPicks Staff
Privacy Policy