Bucks vs Kings: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – April 3, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 3, 2021

Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the Milwaukee Bucks (31-17) into a matchup against the Sacramento Kings (22-27) after scoring 47 points in a 127-109 win over the Trail Blazers. The Kings are 6.5-point underdogs in the game on Saturday, April 3, 2021, which tips off at 10:00 PM ET on NBCS-CA. The point total is set at 239 for the matchup.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from William Hill sportsbook as of April 2, 2021, 4:55 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Bucks vs Kings Betting Odds

Click here to claim your free sports bet (up to $500) at William Hill!

Injury Report as of April 3

Bucks:
P.J. Tucker: Out (Calf),
Bobby Portis: Day To Day (Health and Safety Protocols),
Jeff Teague: Day To Day (Health and Safety Protocols)

Kings:
Marvin Bagley III: Out (Hand),
Hassan Whiteside: Day To Day (Knee)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Kings (+6.5)
Total Pick Under (239)
Prediction Bucks 118, Kings 114

The model favors the Bucks by 4.3 points, just 2.2 less than the 6.5-point spread set by William Hill.

The William Hill point total for this matchup is just 6.5 points highter than the model projection.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Bucks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Giannis Antetokounmpo 45 28.8 11.4 6.2 1.1 1.3 1.1
Khris Middleton 47 20.3 6.1 5.5 1.1 0.2 2.2
Jrue Holiday 37 16.6 4.5 5.3 1.8 0.5 1.8
Brook Lopez 48 11.1 5.0 0.8 0.6 1.4 1.5
Bobby Portis 44 10.9 6.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 1.1

Bucks Player Props

  • Antetokounmpo’s points prop over/under for the game is set at 25.5, 3.3 points lower than his season average of 28.8.
  • Khris Middleton’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 2.5, 0.3 shots higher than his season average of 2.2.
  • Jrue Holiday’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.3 steals lower than his season average of 1.8.

Kings Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
De’Aaron Fox 48 24.4 3.3 7.1 1.4 0.5 1.8
Buddy Hield 49 16.4 4.6 3.2 0.8 0.3 3.9
Harrison Barnes 46 15.7 6.7 3.6 0.7 0.2 1.5
Richaun Holmes 45 14.3 9.1 1.7 0.7 1.7 0.0
Marvin Bagley III 37 13.9 7.4 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.9

Kings Player Props

  • De’Aaron Fox’s points prop total for the game is set at 29.5, 5.1 points greater than his season average of 24.4.
  • Richaun Holmes’ rebounding prop total for the contest is set at 10.5 boards, 1.4 rebounds higher than his season average of 9.1.
  • Buddy Hield’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 4.5, 0.6 shots higher than his season average of 3.9.
  • Holmes’ blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 2.5, 0.8 blocks higher than his season average of 1.7.

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Bucks have a 48.7% shooting percentage from the field, which is 0.1% lower than the 48.8% of shots the Kings’ opponents have knocked down.
  • In games Milwaukee shoots higher than 48.8% from the field, it is 17-9 against the spread and 21-5 overall.
  • Sacramento has a 16-8 record against the spread and a 15-9 record overall when allowing its opponents to knock down more than 48.7% of their shots from the field.
  • The Kings’ 48.3% shooting percentage from the field this season is three percentage points higher than the Bucks have given up to their opponents (45.3%).
  • Sacramento is 18-18 against the spread and 18-18 overall when it shoots better than 45.3% from the field.
  • When Milwaukee’s opponents shoot over 48.3% from the field, it is 20-14 against the spread and 28-6 overall.
  • The Bucks shoot 39.3% from three-point range, 0.1% lower than the 39.4% the Kings allow to opponents.
  • Milwaukee has put together a 12-8 record against the spread and a 16-4 straight-up record in games this season when the team makes more than 39.4% of its three-point attempts.
  • Sacramento has put up a 19-8 against the spread while going 19-8 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot better than 39.3% from downtown.
  • The Kings’ three-point shooting percentage this season (36.3%) is 1.2 percentage points lower than opponents of the Bucks are averaging (37.5%).
  • Sacramento has an 11-8 ATS record and is 11-8 straight-up when the team makes more than 37.5% of its three-point attempts.
  • Milwaukee has a 17-5 ATS record and a 21-1 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 36.3% from three-point range.
  • The Bucks connect on 14.6 three-pointers per game this season, 2.6 more made shots on average than the 12 per game the Kings allow.
  • Milwaukee is 14-7 against the spread and 19-2 overall when it makes more three-pointers than its opponents, while Sacramento is 4-19 ATS and 3-20 straight up in games when it is out-shot from distance.
  • The Kings rank 21st in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Bucks give up the 27th-fewest made threes in the league.

Bucks vs Kings Stat Rankings

Bucks Rank Bucks AVG Kings AVG Kings Rank
1st 119.1 Points Scored 114.5 7th
19th 112.5 Points Allowed 118.5 29th
2nd 48.1 Rebounds 42.4 26th
13th 10.3 Off. Rebounds 9.9 15th
4th 14.6 3pt Made 12 21st
12th 25.6 Assists 25.7 11th
19th 13.7 Turnovers 12.9 10th

Powered By Data Skrive using data from

PlayPicks Staff Avatar
Written by
PlayPicks Staff

PlayPicks staff has years of sports betting and DFS knowledge and we share all of that with you for free daily.

View all posts by PlayPicks Staff
Privacy Policy