Trail Blazers vs Thunder: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – April 3, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 3, 2021

Theo Maledon leads the Oklahoma City Thunder (20-28) against the Portland Trail Blazers (29-19) after scoring 33 points in a 140-103 loss to the Suns. The Trail Blazers are 11.5-point favorites in the game on Saturday, April 3, 2021, which tips at 10:00 PM ET on NBCS-NW. The matchup’s over/under is set at 227.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of April 3, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Trail Blazers vs Thunder Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of April 3

Trail Blazers:
Nassir Little: Out (Thumb),
Zach Collins: Out (Ankle)

Thunder:
Luguentz Dort: Out (Concussion Protocol),
Mike Muscala: Out (Ankle),
Darius Bazley: Out (Shoulder),
Ty Jerome: Day To Day (Ankle),
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Out (Foot)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Thunder (+11.5)
Total Pick Under (227.5)
Prediction Trail Blazers 116, Thunder 108

The Trail Blazers are favored by both DraftKings and the model, but the model has them winning by significantly less (11.5 to 8.4 points). Take the Thunder and the points.

In this game, the model projects a total (224.3 points) slightly lower than the DraftKings over/under (227.5 points).

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Trail Blazers Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Damian Lillard 46 29.8 4.3 7.8 0.9 0.3 4.2
CJ McCollum 23 24.0 3.7 4.8 1.1 0.5 4.1
Norman Powell 46 19.2 3.0 1.8 1.2 0.2 2.8
Carmelo Anthony 47 13.8 3.3 1.7 0.8 0.7 1.7
Enes Kanter 48 12.0 11.5 1.2 0.5 0.7 0.0

Trail Blazers Player Props

  • Damian Lillard’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 39.5, 2.4 less than his season average of 41.9.
  • Enes Kanter’s rebounding prop total for the game is listed at 10.5 rebounds, 1.0 rebound lower than his season average of 11.5.
  • Lillard’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 3.5, 0.7 shots less than his season average of 4.2.
  • Robert Covington’s blocks prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.2 blocks higher than his season average of 1.3.

Thunder Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 35 23.7 4.8 5.9 0.8 0.7 2.0
Al Horford 28 14.2 6.7 3.4 0.9 0.9 2.0
Luguentz Dort 41 12.6 3.4 1.6 0.8 0.4 2.0
Darius Bazley 36 11.9 7.5 1.5 0.5 0.6 1.5
Mike Muscala 35 9.7 3.8 0.8 0.2 0.3 1.9

Thunder Player Props

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s assists prop total for the contest is set at 5.5 assists, 0.4 assists lower than his season average of 5.9.
  • Moses Brown’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 30.5, 13.8 greater than his season average of 16.7.
  • Ty Jerome’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.4 shots greater than his season average of 2.1.
  • Brown’s blocks prop over/under for the contest is set at 2.5, 1.3 blocks higher than his season average of 1.2.

Shooting Trends

  • The Trail Blazers are shooting 44.6% from the field this season, 2.2 percentage points lower than the 46.8% the Thunder allow to opponents.
  • Portland is 12-6 against the spread and 16-2 overall when it shoots higher than 46.8% from the field.
  • Oklahoma City is 10-6-1 against the spread and 9-8 overall when allowing opponents to shoot higher than 44.6% from the field.
  • The Thunder are shooting 44.7% from the field, 3.5% lower than the 48.2% the Trail Blazers’ opponents have shot this season.
  • Oklahoma City is 6-2 against the spread and 6-2 overall when it shoots higher than 48.2% from the field.
  • Portland is 11-3 against the spread and 10-4 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot above 44.7% from the field.
  • The Trail Blazers shoot 38.3% from beyond the arc, 3.1% higher than the 35.2% the Thunder allow to opponents.
  • Portland has an 18-12 record against the spread and a 22-8 record overall when the team knocks down more than 35.2% of its three-point shots.
  • Oklahoma City has put up a 22-13 against the spread while going 17-18 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot higher than 38.3% from deep.
  • The Thunder’s three-point shooting percentage this season (35.1%) is only 2.5 percentage points lower than opponents of the Trail Blazers are averaging (37.6%).
  • Oklahoma City is 13-5-1 ATS and 12-7 overall when the team makes more than 37.6% of its three-point attempts.
  • Portland has a 14-7 ATS record and a 14-7 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 35.1% from three-point range.
  • The Trail Blazers hit 16.3 three-pointers per game this season, 3.4 more makes per game than the Thunder give up (12.9).
  • Portland is 20-16 against the spread and 25-11 overall when it connects on more three-pointers than its opponents, while Oklahoma City is 7-13-1 ATS and 5-16 straight up in games when it is out-shot from deep.
  • The Trail Blazers make the second-most three-pointers in the league, while the Thunder give up the 16th-fewest makes from beyond the arc.

Trail Blazers vs Thunder Stat Rankings

Trail Blazers Rank Trail Blazers AVG Thunder AVG Thunder Rank
6th 114.8 Points Scored 106.2 27th
27th 115.4 Points Allowed 112.7 20th
23rd 43.5 Rebounds 45 10th
7th 10.5 Off. Rebounds 8.7 26th
2nd 16.3 3pt Made 12.9 14th
30th 20.3 Assists 22.5 28th
2nd 11.1 Turnovers 14.3 23rd

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