Padres vs Diamondbacks: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 2, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 2, 2021

Coming off of a four-hit game last time out, Ketel Marte leads the Arizona Diamondbacks into action as underdogs against the San Diego Padres. Action gets underway from PETCO Park at 10:10 PM ET on Friday. Blake Snell starts for San Diego while Arizona will counter with Merrill Kelly.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 2, 2021, 3:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Padres vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Padres Betting Insights

  • The Padres entered a game as favorites 42 times last season and won 26, or 61.9%, of those games.
  • San Diego entered three games last season favored by -240 or more, and won each of those games.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 68.3% chance of a victory for the Padres.
  • Games involving San Diego went over the total set by oddsmakers in 28 of 58 chances last season.

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Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks were chosen as underdogs in 39 games last year and walked away with the win 16 times (41%) in those games.
  • Last season, Arizona was a moneyline underdog of -240 or longer two times, losing every contest.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 31.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Arizona and its opponents went over the total last season in 24 of their 57 opportunities.

Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Merrill Kelly

    • Kelly pitches first in this matchup for the Diamondbacks, his first this season.
    • The 32-year-old righty started and threw five innings in his last appearance on Thursday, Aug. 20 against the Athletics.
    • Kelly’s team went 3-2 in games he pitched when they were moneyline underdogs a season ago.

Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 2, 2021 at 6:06 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Padres Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 4-0
Home 4-0
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 4-0
vs RHP (Starters) 0-0
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 4-0

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Padres Probable Pitcher – Blake Snell

    • The Padres will send out Snell for his first start of the season.
    • The last time the lefty took the mound was on Wednesday, Oct. 28 last season, when he pitched 5 1/3 innings in a matchup with the Dodgers.
    • The left-hander did not appear in a game when his team was the moneyline favorite last season.

Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 2, 2021 at 6:06 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Diamondbacks Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 0-4
Home 0-0
Road 0-4
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 0-4
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 0-4

Padres Hitting Stats

  • The Padres averaged 1.6 home runs per game to rank fourth in MLB action with 95 total home runs last season.
  • The Padres hit 60 home runs at home last season (1.8 per game).
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. finished with a .277 average last season, with 17 home runs and 45 RBI.
  • Manny Machado hit .304 with an OBP of .360 and a slugging percentage of .580.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats

  • The Diamondbacks ranked 29th in Major League Baseball with just 58 home runs as a team.
  • They were 9-6 last season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • David Peralta racked up a batting average of .300 with 34 runs batted in last season.
  • Christian Walker made the most of his opportunities with 34 RBI while collecting 59 hits.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (+205)

Over/Under Pick: Under (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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