Bucks vs Trail Blazers: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – April 2, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 2, 2021

A game after he exploded for 33 points in a 124-101 win over the Pistons, Damian Lillard leads the Portland Trail Blazers (29-18) at home against the Milwaukee Bucks (30-17) on Friday, April 2, 2021. The Trail Blazers are underdogs by 3.5 points in the matchup, which tips off at 10:00 PM ET on NBA TV. The point total for the matchup is set at 236.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of April 2, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Bucks vs Trail Blazers Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of April 2

Bucks:
P.J. Tucker: Out (Calf),
Bobby Portis: Day To Day (Health and Safety Protocols),
Jeff Teague: Day To Day (Health Protocols)

Trail Blazers:
Nassir Little: Out (Thumb),
Zach Collins: Out (Ankle)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Trail Blazers (+3.5)
Total Pick Under (236.5)
Prediction Bucks 116, Trail Blazers 115

The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (1.6 points) is slightly less than the 3.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Bucks, though the data still has them as the favorite.

In this matchup, the model projects a total (230.8 points) marginally lower than the DraftKings over/under (236.5 points).

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Bucks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Giannis Antetokounmpo 44 28.3 11.3 6.3 1.1 1.3 1.2
Khris Middleton 46 20.3 6.0 5.4 1.1 0.2 2.2
Jrue Holiday 36 16.4 4.5 5.2 1.8 0.5 1.8
Brook Lopez 47 11.1 5.1 0.8 0.7 1.4 1.4
Bobby Portis 43 11.0 6.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 1.1

Bucks Player Props

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo’s points prop total for the contest is set at 25.5, 2.8 points less than his season average of 28.3.
  • Khris Middleton’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 2.5, 0.3 shots greater than his season average of 2.2.
  • Jrue Holiday’s steals prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.3 steals less than his season average of 1.8.

Trail Blazers Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Damian Lillard 45 29.8 4.3 7.8 0.9 0.2 4.2
CJ McCollum 22 24.2 3.8 4.7 1.0 0.5 4.2
Norman Powell 45 19.4 3.0 1.8 1.2 0.2 2.8
Carmelo Anthony 46 14.0 3.3 1.7 0.8 0.7 1.7
Enes Kanter 47 12.2 11.6 1.2 0.5 0.7 0.0

Trail Blazers Player Props

  • Lillard’s points prop total for the game is set at 29.5, 0.3 points less than his season average of 29.8.
  • Enes Kanter’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 24.5, 0.5 less than his season average of 25.0.
  • CJ McCollum’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 3.5, 0.7 shots lower than his season average of 4.2.
  • Robert Covington’s steals prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.2 steals less than his season average of 1.7.

Shooting Trends

  • The Bucks make 48.5% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.5 percentage points higher than the Trail Blazers have allowed to their opponents (48%).
  • Milwaukee has a 16-11 record against the spread and a 21-6 straight-up record in games it shoots higher than 48% from the field.
  • Portland’s record is 16-8 against the spread and 18-6 overall when its opponents make more than 48.5% of their shots from the field.
  • The Trail Blazers are shooting 44.8% from the field, 0.7% lower than the 45.5% the Bucks’ opponents have shot this season.
  • Portland is 15-9 against the spread and 21-3 overall when it shoots better than 45.5% from the field.
  • When Milwaukee’s opponents shoot above 44.8% from the field, it is 16-5 against the spread and 20-1 overall.
  • The Bucks shoot 39.4% from beyond the arc, 1.7% higher than the 37.7% the Trail Blazers allow to opponents.
  • Milwaukee has a 14-13 record against the spread and a 20-7 record overall when the team knocks down more than 37.7% of its three-point shots.
  • Portland is 17-11 against the spread and 18-10 overall when its opponents shoot higher than 39.4% from deep.
  • The Trail Blazers’ three-point shooting percentage this season (38.2%) is only 0.7 percentage points higher than opponents of the Bucks are averaging (37.5%).
  • Portland is 17-6 against the spread and 20-3 overall when shooting over 37.5% as a team from three-point range.
  • Milwaukee has an 18-9 ATS record and a 23-4 straight-up record this season when it connects on more than 38.2% of its three-point attempts.
  • The Bucks connect on 14.7 three-pointers per game this season, 1.5 fewer makes per game than the Trail Blazers allow (16.2).
  • When Portland makes more threes than its opponents, it is 20-15 against the spread and 25-10 overall. When Milwaukee is out-shot from deep by its opponents, it is 7-17 ATS and 10-14 straight up.
  • The Trail Blazers are the second-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Bucks give up the 27th-fewest makes from deep.

Bucks vs Trail Blazers Stat Rankings

Bucks Rank Bucks AVG Trail Blazers AVG Trail Blazers Rank
2nd 118.9 Points Scored 115 7th
19th 112.6 Points Allowed 115.2 27th
2nd 48.1 Rebounds 43.5 24th
12th 10.4 Off. Rebounds 10.5 8th
4th 14.7 3pt Made 16.2 2nd
12th 25.6 Assists 20.4 30th
18th 13.7 Turnovers 11.1 2nd

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