Mets vs Nationals: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 1, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 1, 2021 - Last Updated on April 6, 2021

The New York Mets look to start their season with a win as road favorites (-150) in a season-opening matchup with the Washington Nationals. First pitch is on Thursday at 7:09 PM ET, live from Nationals Park. Jacob deGrom starts for New York while Washington will counter with Max Scherzer.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 31, 2021, 3:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Mets vs Nationals Betting Lines

Mets Betting Insights

  • The Mets were favorites in 37 games last season and won 19 (51.4%) of those contests.
  • New York had a record of 13-10 in games where sportsbooks favored them by at least -150 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.8% chance of a victory for the Mets.
  • Last season, New York and its opponents hit the over in 30 of their 58 games with a total.

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Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Nationals were underdogs in 29 games last season and came away with the win 12 times (41.4%) in those contests.
  • Washington had a win-loss record of 6-8 when favored by +128 or worse by sportsbooks last year.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 42.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Washington and its opponents went over in 30 of their 56 games with a total set by sportsbooks last season.

Nationals Probable Pitcher – Max Scherzer

  • Scherzer gets the call to start for the Nationals, his first this season.
  • The 36-year-old right-hander started and threw six innings when he last appeared on Saturday, Sept. 26 against the Mets.
  • Scherzer’s team went 1-1 in games he pitched when they were moneyline underdogs a season ago.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of March 31, 2021 at 7:57 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Mets Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 0-0
Home 0-0
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 0-0
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 0-0

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Mets Probable Pitcher – Jacob deGrom

  • The Mets will send out deGrom for his first start of the season.
  • The 32-year-old right-hander hasn’t pitched since last season. He last appeared on Saturday, Sept. 26 against the Nationals, when he pitched five innings as the starter.
  • deGrom and his team won as favorites in 66.7% of his 12 appearances last season with a moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of March 31, 2021 at 7:57 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Nationals Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 0-0
Home 0-0
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 0-0
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 0-0

Mets Hitting Stats

  • The Mets averaged 1.4 home runs per game to rank ninth in baseball with 86 total home runs last season.
  • The Mets had a 16-8 record last season in games when they hit at least two homers.
  • Michael Conforto finished last season with nine home runs, 31 RBI and a batting average of .322.
  • Dominic Smith was a key run producer with a .316 average, 10 homers and 42 RBI.

Nationals Hitting Stats

  • The Nationals ranked 21st in Major League Baseball with 66 home runs.
  • They were 10-9 last season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Juan Soto hit 13 home runs while slugging .695 last season.
  • Trea Turner racked up 41 runs batted in with 78 hits.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Mets (-150)

Over/Under Pick: Under (7)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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