Reds vs Cardinals: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 1, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 1, 2021 - Last Updated on April 2, 2021

The Cincinnati Reds are on the moneyline to begin their season with a home win over the St. Louis Cardinals on Thursday at 4:10 PM ET. Cincinnati’s Luis Castillo gets the start, and he’ll go against St. Louis’ Jack Flaherty.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 31, 2021, 3:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Reds vs Cardinals Betting Lines

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds were favorites in 41 games last season and won 23 (56.1%) of those contests.
  • Cincinnati had a record of 22-17, a 56.4% win rate, when favored by -113 or more by bookmakers last season.
  • The Reds have a 51% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents went over the total last season in 25 of their 60 opportunities.

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Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals were underdogs in 28 games last season and came away with the win 14 times (50%) in those contests.
  • Last season, St. Louis was victorious 11 times in 25 chances when named as an underdog of -104 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 49% chance of walking away with the win.
  • St. Louis and its opponents went over the total last season in 21 of their 52 opportunities.

Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Jack Flaherty

    • Flaherty makes his first start of the season for the Cardinals.
    • The 25-year-old righty started and threw six innings in his last appearance on Friday, Oct. 2 against the Padres.
    • Flaherty and his team never won a game he pitched when they were the underdog on the moneyline a season ago (in two opportunities).

Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of March 31, 2021 at 7:58 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Reds Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 0-0
Home 0-0
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 0-0
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 0-0

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Reds Probable Pitcher – Luis Castillo

    • The Reds will send Castillo to the mound for his first start this season.
    • The last time the righty took the mound was on Thursday, Oct. 1 last season, when he pitched 5 1/3 innings in a matchup with the Braves.
    • Castillo and his team won 55.6% of the games he started as the moneyline favorite last season, with a record of 5-4.

Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of March 31, 2021 at 7:58 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Cardinals Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 0-0
Home 0-0
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 0-0
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 0-0

Reds Hitting Stats

  • The Reds ranked seventh-best in baseball last season with 90 total home runs.
  • The Reds averaged 1.9 homers per home game last season (57 total at home).
  • Nicholas Castellanos finished last season with 14 home runs, 34 RBI and a batting average of .225.
  • Jesse Winker hit .255 with an OBP of .388 and a slugging percentage of .544.

Cardinals Hitting Stats

  • The Cardinals ranked last in Major League Baseball with just 51 home runs as a team.
  • They were 10-3 last season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Paul Goldschmidt accumulated a batting average of .304, while hitting six home runs last season.
  • Nolan Arenado hit eight home runs with 26 runs batted in last year.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (-104)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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