Braves vs Phillies: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 1, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 1, 2021 - Last Updated on April 2, 2021

The Atlanta Braves begin their season on the moneyline in a road tilt against the Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday at 3:05 PM ET. Atlanta’s Max Fried and Philadelphia’s Aaron Nola have been named the starters for this contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 31, 2021, 3:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Braves vs Phillies Betting Lines

Braves Betting Insights

  • The Braves won 29, or 67.4%, of the 43 games they played as favorites last season.
  • Atlanta entered 43 games last season favored by -112 or more and was 29-14 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 50.8%.
  • Atlanta and its opponents hit the over in 31 of their 59 games with a total last season.

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Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies were chosen as underdogs in 20 games last year and walked away with the win six times (30%) in those games.
  • Philadelphia had a win-loss record of 5-12 when favored by -105 or worse by oddsmakers last year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 49.2% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents went over the total last season in 25 of their 51 opportunities.

Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola

    • Nola pitches first in this matchup for the Phillies, his first this season.
    • The 27-year-old right-hander started and threw 3 2/3 innings when he last appeared Sunday, Sept. 27 against the Rays.
    • Nola and his team dropped each of the three games he appeared in a season ago when they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of March 31, 2021 at 7:58 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Braves Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 0-0
Home 0-0
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 0-0
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 0-0

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Braves Probable Pitcher – Max Fried

    • The Braves will send out Fried for his first start of the season.
    • The last time the lefty took the mound was on Saturday, Oct. 17 last season, when he pitched 6 2/3 innings in a matchup with the Dodgers.
    • Fried and his team won 90.9% of the games he started as the moneyline favorite last season, with a record of 10-1.

Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of March 31, 2021 at 7:58 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Phillies Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 0-0
Home 0-0
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 0-0
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 0-0

Braves Hitting Stats

  • The Braves ranked second-best in baseball last season with 103 total home runs.
  • The Braves averaged 1.6 homers per game when playing on the road last season (57 total in road outings).
  • Marcell Ozuna finished with a .333 average last season, with 18 home runs and 56 RBI.
  • Freddie Freeman posted a .341 average with 13 homers and 53 RBI.

Phillies Hitting Stats

  • The Phillies ranked 11th in Major League Baseball with 82 home runs.
  • They won 14 of the 20 games last season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Didi Gregorius put up 38 runs batted in a season ago.
  • Bryce Harper powered out 13 home runs a season ago while slugging .542.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Braves (-112)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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