Cubs vs Pirates: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 1, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 1, 2021 - Last Updated on April 2, 2021

The Chicago Cubs start their season as home favorites () in a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday at 2:20 PM ET, live on from Wrigley Field. Kyle Hendricks starts for Chicago while Pittsburgh will counter with Chad Kuhl.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 31, 2021, 3:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Cubs vs Pirates Betting Lines

Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs were favorites in 40 games last season and won 24 (60%) of those contests.
  • Chicago entered three games last season favored by -220 or more and was 2-1 in those contests.
  • The Cubs have a 66.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Chicago and its opponents went over the total last season in 28 of their 58 opportunities.

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Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates came away with 19 wins in the 58 contests they were listed as the underdogs in last season.
  • Last season, Pittsburgh came away with a win two times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of +185 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 33.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Pittsburgh’s games went over the total in 26 of its 59 opportunities.

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Chad Kuhl

    • Kuhl will make his first start of the season for the Pirates.
    • In his last appearance on Thursday, Sept. 24, the 28-year-old right-hander started the game and went seven scoreless innings against the Cubs.
    • Kuhl and his team went 4-6 in games he pitched when they were moneyline underdogs a season ago.

Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of March 31, 2021 at 7:59 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Cubs Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 0-0
Home 0-0
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 0-0
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 0-0

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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Kyle Hendricks

    • Hendricks will make his first start of the season for the Cubs.
    • The 31-year-old right-hander hasn’t pitched since last season. He last appeared on Wednesday, Sept. 30 against the Marlins, when he pitched 6 1/3 innings as the starter.
    • Hendricks and his team were 6-4 when he pitched and they were the moneyline favorite.

Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of March 31, 2021 at 7:59 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Pirates Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 0-0
Home 0-0
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 0-0
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 0-0

Cubs Hitting Stats

  • The Cubs ranked 17th in baseball with 74 home runs last season. They averaged 1.2 per game.
  • The Cubs put up two or more dingers in 20 games last season, and finished 14-6 in those contests.
  • Ian Happ finished with a .258 average last season, with 12 home runs and 28 RBI.
  • Willson Contreras collected 47 hits, posted an OBP of .357 and a .413 SLG.

Pirates Hitting Stats

  • The Pirates ranked 27th in Major League Baseball with just 59 home runs as a team.
  • They won seven of the 15 games last season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Colin Moran accumulated 10 home runs and had 23 runs batted in last season.
  • Adam Frazier was productive with 23 runs batted in while picking up 48 hits.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+185)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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