Trail Blazers vs Pistons: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 31, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 31, 2021

The Portland Trail Blazers (28-18) are 7-point favorites as they look to continue a three-game road win streak when they visit the Detroit Pistons (13-33) on Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at Little Caesars Arena. The matchup airs at 7:00 PM ET on NBCS-NW. The point total is 221.5 in the matchup.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from FanDuel sportsbook as of March 31, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Trail Blazers vs Pistons Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 31

Trail Blazers:
Nassir Little: Out (Thumb),
Zach Collins: Out (Ankle)

Jahlil Okafor: Out (Knee),
Rodney McGruder: Out (Elbow),
Wayne Ellington: Day To Day (Calf),
Sekou Doumbouya: Day To Day (Migraine),
Killian Hayes: Out (Hip),
Dennis Smith Jr.: Out (Spine)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Pistons (+7)
Total Pick Over (221.5)
Prediction Trail Blazers 113, Pistons 112

The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (0.1 points) is much tighter than the 7-point edge FanDuel gives to the Trail Blazers, though the data still has them as the favorite. Put your money on the Pistons to cover.

The FanDuel point total for this matchup is just 2.6 points lower than the model projection.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Trail Blazers Key Players

Damian Lillard 44 29.7 4.3 7.8 0.9 0.3 4.2
CJ McCollum 21 24.2 3.9 4.7 1.0 0.5 4.2
Norman Powell 44 19.5 3.0 1.8 1.1 0.2 2.8
Carmelo Anthony 45 13.9 3.3 1.7 0.8 0.7 1.8
Enes Kanter 46 12.2 11.7 1.2 0.5 0.7 0.0

Trail Blazers Player Props

  • Damian Lillard’s assists prop total for the contest is posted at 7.5 assists, 0.3 assists less than his season average of 7.8.
  • Enes Kanter’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 25.5, 0.3 higher than his season average of 25.2.
  • CJ McCollum’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 3.5, 0.7 shots lower than his season average of 4.2.
  • Robert Covington’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.2 blocks higher than his season average of 1.3.

Pistons Key Players

Jerami Grant 43 22.6 4.9 2.8 0.7 1.1 2.3
Josh Jackson 41 12.9 4.1 2.1 0.9 0.8 1.1
Hamidou Diallo 34 11.9 5.2 2.4 0.9 0.4 0.4
Saddiq Bey 44 10.9 4.2 1.3 0.6 0.1 2.3
Wayne Ellington 34 10.6 1.8 1.4 0.4 0.2 2.7

Pistons Player Props

  • Mason Plumlee’s rebounding prop over/under for the matchup is set at 10.5 boards, 1.0 rebound greater than his season average of 9.5.
  • Jerami Grant’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 27.5, 2.8 less than his season average of 30.3.
  • Wayne Ellington’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.2 shots less than his season average of 2.7.
  • Grant’s blocks prop total for the game is set at 0.5, 0.6 blocks lower than his season average of 1.1.

Shooting Trends

  • The Trail Blazers are shooting 44.6% from the field this season, 2.9 percentage points lower than the 47.5% the Pistons allow to opponents.
  • In games Portland shoots higher than 47.5% from the field, it is 8-2-1 against the spread and 11-0 overall.
  • Detroit has a 10-6 record against the spread and a 9-8 record overall when allowing its opponents to hit more than 44.6% of their shots from the field.
  • The Pistons have shot at a 44.4% rate from the field this season, 3.7 percentage points below the 48.1% shooting opponents of the Trail Blazers have averaged.
  • Detroit has put together an 8-2 record against the spread and a 7-4 straight up record in games it shoots over 48.1% from the field.
  • When Portland’s opponents shoot higher than 44.4% from the field, it is 11-3 against the spread and 10-4 overall.
  • The Trail Blazers shoot 38% from deep, 0.9% higher than the 37.1% the Pistons allow to opponents.
  • Portland has put together a 17-6-1 record against the spread and a 20-4 straight-up record in games this season when the team connects on more than 37.1% of its three-point shots.
  • Detroit is 13-9 against the spread and 11-13 overall when its opponents shoot better than 38% from deep.
  • The Pistons are knocking down 35.2% of their shots from deep, which is only 2.6 percentage points fewer than the 37.8% the Trail Blazers’ opponents are averaging on the season.
  • Detroit is 15-3 against the spread and 10-9 overall when shooting above 37.8% as a team from three-point range.
  • Portland has a 13-6 ATS record and a 13-6 straight-up record this season when it connects on more than 35.2% of its three-point shots.
  • The Trail Blazers knock down 16.2 three-pointers per game this season, four more made shots on average than the 12.2 per game the Pistons allow.
  • Portland has gone 19-14-1 against the spread and 24-10 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Detroit makes fewer three-pointers than its opponents, it is 6-10-1 ATS and 2-15 straight up.
  • The Trail Blazers rank second in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Pistons give up the sixth-fewest made threes in the league.

Trail Blazers vs Pistons Stat Rankings

Trail Blazers Rank Trail Blazers AVG Pistons AVG Pistons Rank
8th 114.8 Points Scored 107.2 25th
27th 115.5 Points Allowed 110.7 10th
24th 43.5 Rebounds 42.8 18th
7th 10.6 Off. Rebounds 10 16th
2nd 16.2 3pt Made 12.2 20th
30th 20.2 Assists 24.2 20th
2nd 11 Turnovers 13.8 19th

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