Domantas Sabonis leads the Indiana Pacers (21-24) into a matchup against the Miami Heat (23-24) after putting up 35 points in a 132-124 loss to the Wizards. The Pacers are 1.5-point underdogs in the matchup on Wednesday, March 31, 2021, which starts at 7:00 PM ET on BSSUN. The matchup has a point total of 216.
The betting insights in this article reflect data from FanDuel sportsbook as of March 31, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.
Heat vs Pacers Betting Odds
Injury Report as of March 31
KZ Okpala: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Udonis Haslem: Day To Day (Health and Safety Protocols),
Kendrick Nunn: Day To Day (Ankle),
Gabe Vincent: Day To Day (Knee),
Victor Oladipo: Out (Illnes)
Jeremy Lamb: Day To Day (Toe),
T.J. Warren: Out For Season (Foot),
Doug McDermott: Day To Day (Ankle)
|Spread Pick||Pacers (+1.5)|
|Total Pick||Over (216)|
|Prediction||Pacers 112, Heat 108|
While FanDuel has the Heat winning by 1.5, the model has the Pacers taking home the victory, with a considerable margin between the two spreads (4.8 points). Take the Pacers.
The model projects a total 4.2 points higher than the one set by FanDuel for this matchup.
Heat Key Players
Heat Player Props
- Jimmy Butler’s assists prop total for the contest is listed at 6.5 assists, 0.8 assists lower than his season average of 7.3.
- Bam Adebayo’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 34.5, 0.2 greater than his season average of 34.3.
- Duncan Robinson’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 3.5, 0.2 shots higher than his season average of 3.3.
- Adebayo’s blocks prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.3 blocks higher than his season average of 1.2.
Pacers Key Players
Pacers Player Props
- Malcolm Brogdon’s points prop over/under for the game is set at 22.5, 1.0 point higher than his season average of 21.5.
- T.J. McConnell’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 18.5, 1.2 higher than his season average of 17.3.
- Brogdon’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 3.5, 0.8 shots higher than his season average of 2.7.
- McConnell’s steals prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.3 steals less than his season average of 1.8.
- The Heat are shooting 45.8% from the field this season, 1.3 percentage points lower than the 47.1% the Pacers allow to opponents.
- In games Miami shoots higher than 47.1% from the field, it is 10-7-2 against the spread and 12-7 overall.
- Indiana’s record is 13-6 against the spread and 14-5 overall when its opponents make more than 45.8% of their shots from the field.
- The Pacers are shooting 47.1% from the field, 2.5% higher than the 44.6% the Heat’s opponents have shot this season.
- This season, Indiana has a 15-16 record against the spread and an 18-13 record overall in games the team collectively shoots higher than 44.6% from the field.
- When Miami’s opponents shoot greater than 47.1% from the field, it is 15-16-2 against the spread and 21-12 overall.
- The Heat are hitting 34.5% of their three-point shots this season, 3.6% lower than the 38.1% the Pacers allow opponents to shoot from deep.
- Miami has assembled a 7-5-1 record against the spread and a 9-4 straight-up record in games this season when the team hits more than 38.1% of its three-point attempts.
- Indiana is 10-7 against the spread and 10-7 overall when its opponents shoot higher than 34.5% from deep.
- The Pacers shoot 36.5% from beyond the arc this season. That’s only 0.2 percentage points higher than the Heat have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (36.3%).
- Indiana has a 12-10 ATS record and is 13-9 straight-up when the team hits more than 36.3% of its three-point attempts.
- Miami is 13-13-1 ATS and 15-12 overall in games it shoots over 36.5% from deep.
- The Heat connect on 12.6 three-pointers per game this season, the same that the Pacers allow.
- The Pacers make the 19th-most three-pointers in the league, while the Heat allow the 29th-fewest makes from beyond the arc.
Heat vs Pacers Stat Rankings
|Heat Rank||Heat AVG||Pacers AVG||Pacers Rank|
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