Heat vs Pacers: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 31, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 31, 2021 - Last Updated on April 2, 2021

Domantas Sabonis leads the Indiana Pacers (21-24) into a matchup against the Miami Heat (23-24) after putting up 35 points in a 132-124 loss to the Wizards. The Pacers are 1.5-point underdogs in the matchup on Wednesday, March 31, 2021, which starts at 7:00 PM ET on BSSUN. The matchup has a point total of 216.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from FanDuel sportsbook as of March 31, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Heat vs Pacers Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 31

Heat:
KZ Okpala: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Udonis Haslem: Day To Day (Health and Safety Protocols),
Kendrick Nunn: Day To Day (Ankle),
Gabe Vincent: Day To Day (Knee),
Victor Oladipo: Out (Illnes)

Pacers:
Jeremy Lamb: Day To Day (Toe),
T.J. Warren: Out For Season (Foot),
Doug McDermott: Day To Day (Ankle)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Pacers (+1.5)
Total Pick Over (216)
Prediction Pacers 112, Heat 108

While FanDuel has the Heat winning by 1.5, the model has the Pacers taking home the victory, with a considerable margin between the two spreads (4.8 points). Take the Pacers.

The model projects a total 4.2 points higher than the one set by FanDuel for this matchup.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Heat Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jimmy Butler 32 21.5 7.7 7.3 1.9 0.4 0.4
Victor Oladipo 29 20.8 5.0 4.7 1.4 0.4 2.6
Bam Adebayo 41 19.4 9.6 5.3 0.9 1.2 0.0
Tyler Herro 36 15.5 5.3 3.6 0.7 0.4 1.9
Kendrick Nunn 38 13.5 3.1 2.6 1.1 0.2 2.0

Heat Player Props

  • Jimmy Butler’s assists prop total for the contest is listed at 6.5 assists, 0.8 assists lower than his season average of 7.3.
  • Bam Adebayo’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 34.5, 0.2 greater than his season average of 34.3.
  • Duncan Robinson’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 3.5, 0.2 shots higher than his season average of 3.3.
  • Adebayo’s blocks prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.3 blocks higher than his season average of 1.2.

Pacers Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Malcolm Brogdon 43 21.5 4.7 5.9 1.0 0.2 2.7
Domantas Sabonis 45 20.4 11.3 6.1 1.2 0.6 0.8
Caris LeVert 21 17.0 4.4 5.1 1.2 0.3 1.9
Doug McDermott 43 13.4 3.8 1.4 0.3 0.1 1.7
Myles Turner 42 12.7 6.5 1.0 0.9 3.5 1.5

Pacers Player Props

  • Malcolm Brogdon’s points prop over/under for the game is set at 22.5, 1.0 point higher than his season average of 21.5.
  • T.J. McConnell’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 18.5, 1.2 higher than his season average of 17.3.
  • Brogdon’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 3.5, 0.8 shots higher than his season average of 2.7.
  • McConnell’s steals prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.3 steals less than his season average of 1.8.

Shooting Trends

  • The Heat are shooting 45.8% from the field this season, 1.3 percentage points lower than the 47.1% the Pacers allow to opponents.
  • In games Miami shoots higher than 47.1% from the field, it is 10-7-2 against the spread and 12-7 overall.
  • Indiana’s record is 13-6 against the spread and 14-5 overall when its opponents make more than 45.8% of their shots from the field.
  • The Pacers are shooting 47.1% from the field, 2.5% higher than the 44.6% the Heat’s opponents have shot this season.
  • This season, Indiana has a 15-16 record against the spread and an 18-13 record overall in games the team collectively shoots higher than 44.6% from the field.
  • When Miami’s opponents shoot greater than 47.1% from the field, it is 15-16-2 against the spread and 21-12 overall.
  • The Heat are hitting 34.5% of their three-point shots this season, 3.6% lower than the 38.1% the Pacers allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Miami has assembled a 7-5-1 record against the spread and a 9-4 straight-up record in games this season when the team hits more than 38.1% of its three-point attempts.
  • Indiana is 10-7 against the spread and 10-7 overall when its opponents shoot higher than 34.5% from deep.
  • The Pacers shoot 36.5% from beyond the arc this season. That’s only 0.2 percentage points higher than the Heat have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (36.3%).
  • Indiana has a 12-10 ATS record and is 13-9 straight-up when the team hits more than 36.3% of its three-point attempts.
  • Miami is 13-13-1 ATS and 15-12 overall in games it shoots over 36.5% from deep.
  • The Heat connect on 12.6 three-pointers per game this season, the same that the Pacers allow.
  • The Pacers make the 19th-most three-pointers in the league, while the Heat allow the 29th-fewest makes from beyond the arc.

Heat vs Pacers Stat Rankings

Heat Rank Heat AVG Pacers AVG Pacers Rank
26th 106.3 Points Scored 113.3 12th
5th 107.6 Points Allowed 113.2 21st
26th 42.8 Rebounds 41.7 29th
29th 8.1 Off. Rebounds 8.8 25th
16th 12.6 3pt Made 12.6 19th
10th 25.8 Assists 26.9 4th
22nd 14 Turnovers 13 13th

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