Raptors vs Thunder: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 31, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 31, 2021 - Last Updated on April 2, 2021

A pair of sliding teams hit the court when the Toronto Raptors (18-29) visit the Oklahoma City Thunder (19-27) on Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at 8:00 PM ET. The Thunder are 7.5-point underdogs as they attempt to break a three-game losing streak against the Raptors, who have lost three straight. The matchup’s over/under is set at 223.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of March 31, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Raptors vs Thunder Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 31

DeAndre’ Bembry: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Patrick McCaw: Out (Knee),
Paul Watson: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Jalen Harris: Out (Hip)

Luguentz Dort: Day To Day (Concussion protocol),
Mike Muscala: Day To Day (Ankle),
Darius Bazley: Day To Day (Shoulder),
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Day To Day (Foot)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Thunder (+7.5)
Total Pick Under (223)
Prediction Raptors 111, Thunder 110

The Raptors are favored by both DraftKings and the model, but the model has them winning by significantly less (7.5 to 1.3 points). Take the Thunder and the points.

The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 1.5 points highter than the model projection.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Raptors Key Players

Pascal Siakam 38 20.1 7.4 4.7 1.1 0.7 1.2
Fred VanVleet 42 20.1 4.3 6.2 1.7 0.7 3.4
Kyle Lowry 39 17.0 5.4 7.3 1.1 0.2 2.7
OG Anunoby 29 14.7 5.9 1.8 1.7 0.8 2.3
Gary Trent Jr. 44 14.6 2.3 1.4 0.9 0.1 2.8

Raptors Player Props

  • Pascal Siakam’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 31.5, 0.7 lower than his season average of 32.2.
  • Kyle Lowry’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 29.5, 0.2 less than his season average of 29.7.
  • Fred VanVleet’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 3.5, 0.1 shots higher than his season average of 3.4.
  • Chris Boucher’s blocks prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.4 blocks lower than his season average of 1.9.

Thunder Key Players

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 35 23.7 4.8 5.9 0.8 0.7 2.0
Al Horford 28 14.2 6.7 3.4 0.9 0.9 2.0
Luguentz Dort 41 12.6 3.4 1.6 0.8 0.4 2.0
Darius Bazley 36 11.9 7.5 1.5 0.5 0.6 1.5
Ty Jerome 14 9.9 3.1 3.5 0.9 0.1 2.2

Shooting Trends

  • The Raptors are shooting 44.7% from the field this season, 1.9 percentage points lower than the 46.6% the Thunder allow to opponents.
  • Toronto is 12-4 against the spread and 10-6 overall when it shoots better than 46.6% from the field.
  • Oklahoma City has a 9-6-1 record against the spread and an 8-8 record overall when allowing its opponents to hit more than 44.7% of their shots from the field.
  • The Thunder have shot at a 44.8% clip from the field this season, 1.2 percentage points less than the 46% shooting opponents of the Raptors have averaged.
  • This season, Oklahoma City has a 12-6 record against the spread and a 10-8 record overall in games the team collectively shoots above 46% from the field.
  • This season, Toronto has a 12-6 record against the spread and a 12-6 straight up record when it allows opponents to shoot higher than 44.8% from the field.
  • The Raptors are hitting 37.5% of their three-point shots this season, 2.5% higher than the 35% the Thunder allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Toronto has a 16-10 record against the spread and a 14-12 record overall when the team knocks down more than 35% of its three-point attempts.
  • Oklahoma City is 21-13 against the spread and 16-18 overall when its opponents shoot higher than 37.5% from deep.
  • The Thunder are hitting 34.8% of their shots from three-point distance, which is just 2.6 percentage points fewer than the 37.4% the Raptors’ opponents are averaging on the season.
  • Oklahoma City is 12-4-1 ATS and 11-6 overall when the team hits more than 37.4% of its three-point attempts.
  • Toronto has a 13-5 ATS record and an 11-7 straight-up record this season when it knocks down more than 34.8% of its three-point attempts.
  • The Raptors connect on 15.3 three-pointers per game this season, 2.5 more made shots on average than the 12.8 per game the Thunder allow.
  • Toronto is 17-9 against the spread and 15-11 overall when it makes more threes than its opponents, while Oklahoma City is 6-13-1 ATS and 4-16 straight up in games when it is out-shot from the three-point line.
  • The Thunder rank 14th in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Raptors give up the 26th-fewest made threes in the league.

Raptors vs Thunder Stat Rankings

Raptors Rank Raptors AVG Thunder AVG Thunder Rank
18th 112.1 Points Scored 106.1 27th
19th 112.5 Points Allowed 112.3 18th
30th 41 Rebounds 44.7 11th
21st 9.2 Off. Rebounds 8.4 28th
3rd 15.3 3pt Made 12.8 14th
15th 24.7 Assists 22.7 26th
8th 12.8 Turnovers 14.2 23rd

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