Spurs vs Kings: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 31, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 31, 2021 - Last Updated on April 2, 2021

The Sacramento Kings (22-25) are underdogs (+2.5) in their attempt to build on a five-game winning streak when they visit the San Antonio Spurs (23-21) at 8:30 PM ET on Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at AT&T Center. The matchup airs on NBCS-CA. The matchup has an over/under of 231 points.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of March 31, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Spurs vs Kings Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 31

Spurs:
Lonnie Walker IV: Out (Wrist),
Keita Bates-Diop: Day To Day (Hamstring)

Kings:
Marvin Bagley III: Out (Hand),
Hassan Whiteside: Day To Day (Knee),
Jahmi’us Ramsey: Day To Day (Hamstring)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Spurs (-2.5)
Total Pick Under (231)
Prediction Spurs 115, Kings 112

The model projects the Spurs to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by slightly more points (3.5 to 2.5).

In this matchup, the model projects a total (227.0 points) marginally lower than the DraftKings over/under (231 points).

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Spurs Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
DeMar DeRozan 37 20.4 4.4 7.2 1.0 0.3 0.5
Dejounte Murray 43 15.7 7.0 5.3 1.4 0.1 0.9
Keldon Johnson 41 13.3 6.4 1.9 0.6 0.5 0.9
Derrick White 20 13.2 2.6 3.3 0.7 1.1 2.1
Patty Mills 43 12.8 1.7 2.5 0.7 0.0 2.7

Spurs Player Props

  • DeMar DeRozan’s assists prop over/under for the matchup is listed at 6.5 assists, 0.7 assists lower than his season average of 7.2.
  • Jakob Poeltl’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 20.5, 3.2 higher than his season average of 17.3.
  • Patty Mills’ three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.2 shots lower than his season average of 2.7.
  • Dejounte Murray’s steals prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.1 steals greater than his season average of 1.4.

Kings Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
De’Aaron Fox 46 24.8 3.4 7.2 1.4 0.5 1.8
Buddy Hield 47 16.7 4.6 3.2 0.8 0.3 4.0
Harrison Barnes 44 15.7 6.5 3.6 0.7 0.2 1.5
Richaun Holmes 43 14.4 9.0 1.8 0.7 1.7 0.0
Marvin Bagley III 37 13.9 7.4 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.9

Kings Player Props

  • De’Aaron Fox’s points prop total for the game is set at 29.5, 4.7 points greater than his season average of 24.8.
  • Richaun Holmes’ PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 30.5, 5.4 greater than his season average of 25.1.
  • Buddy Hield’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 4.5, 0.5 shots greater than his season average of 4.0.
  • Delon Wright’s steals prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, equal to his season average of 1.5.

Shooting Trends

  • The Spurs are shooting 45.9% from the field this season, three percentage points lower than the 48.9% the Kings allow to opponents.
  • San Antonio has a 9-1 record against the spread and a 9-1 straight-up record in games it shoots higher than 48.9% from the field.
  • Sacramento’s record is 10-3 against the spread and 11-2 overall when its opponents make more than 45.9% of their shots from the field.
  • The Kings are shooting 48.5% from the field, 1.8% higher than the 46.7% the Spurs’ opponents have shot this season.
  • Sacramento has put together a 15-15 record against the spread and a 15-15 straight up record in games it shoots better than 46.7% from the field.
  • San Antonio is 19-9 against the spread and 18-10 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot greater than 48.5% from the field.
  • The Spurs’ 36.1% three-point shooting percentage this season is three percentage points lower than opponents of the Kings have shot from beyond the arc (39.1%).
  • San Antonio is 10-5-1 against the spread and 11-5 overall when it shoots better than 39.1% from distance.
  • Sacramento has put up a 13-4 against the spread while going 13-4 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot higher than 36.1% from downtown.
  • The Kings’ three-point shooting percentage this season (36.5%) is 1.3 percentage points lower than opponents of the Spurs are averaging (37.8%).
  • Sacramento is 11-8 ATS and 11-8 overall when the team hits more than 37.8% of its three-point attempts.
  • San Antonio is 16-4 ATS and 15-5 overall in games it shoots above 36.5% from deep.
  • The Spurs’ 10.6 made three-pointers per game this season is 1.4 fewer made shots on average than the 12 per game the Kings give up.
  • When Sacramento makes more three-pointers than its opponents, it is 16-5 against the spread and 15-6 overall. When San Antonio is out-shot from beyond the arc by its opponents, it is 10-19-1 ATS and 10-20 straight up.
  • The Kings make the 21st-most three-pointers in the league, while the Spurs allow the 16th-fewest makes from beyond the arc.

Spurs vs Kings Stat Rankings

Spurs Rank Spurs AVG Kings AVG Kings Rank
22nd 109.5 Points Scored 115.1 6th
11th 110.7 Points Allowed 118.5 29th
22nd 43.8 Rebounds 42.5 25th
24th 8.8 Off. Rebounds 10 15th
28th 10.6 3pt Made 12 21st
17th 24.4 Assists 25.8 11th
1st 10.9 Turnovers 12.9 10th

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