Heat vs Knicks: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 29, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 29, 2021 - Last Updated on April 2, 2021

The Miami Heat (22-24) will look to stop a six-game losing streak when they visit the New York Knicks (24-22) on Monday, March 29, 2021 at Madison Square Garden as 4.5-point favorites. The contest airs at 7:30 PM ET on MSG. The over/under is 208 in the matchup.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of March 29, 2021, 7:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Heat vs Knicks Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 29

Heat:
Gabe Vincent: Day To Day (Knee),
KZ Okpala: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Udonis Haslem: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Kendrick Nunn: Out (Ankle),
Victor Oladipo: Out (Illnes)

Knicks:
Reggie Bullock: Day To Day (Ankle),
Mitchell Robinson: Out (Ankle),
Julius Randle: Day To Day (Thigh)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Knicks (+4.5)
Total Pick Over (208)
Prediction Knicks 108, Heat 104

While DraftKings has the Heat winning by 4.5, the model has the Knicks taking home the victory, with a considerable margin between the two spreads (8.2 points). Take the Knicks.

In this matchup, the model projects a total (212.3 points) a little higher than the DraftKings over/under (208 points).

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Heat Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jimmy Butler 31 21.3 7.8 7.3 2.0 0.4 0.4
Victor Oladipo 29 20.8 5.0 4.7 1.4 0.4 2.6
Bam Adebayo 40 19.4 9.4 5.3 0.9 1.2 0.1
Tyler Herro 35 15.4 5.3 3.5 0.7 0.4 1.8
Goran Dragic 28 13.9 3.2 4.9 0.6 0.2 1.6

Heat Player Props

  • Jimmy Butler’s assists prop over/under for the contest is listed at 7.5 assists, 0.2 higher than his season average of 7.3.
  • Bam Adebayo’s rebounding prop total for the game is listed at 10.5 rebounds, 1.1 rebounds greater than his season average of 9.4.
  • Duncan Robinson’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 3.5, 0.2 shots higher than his season average of 3.3.
  • Butler’s steals prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.5 steals lower than his season average of 2.0.

Knicks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Julius Randle 45 23.0 10.8 5.8 0.9 0.2 2.0
RJ Barrett 46 17.6 6.2 3.1 0.7 0.2 1.2
Derrick Rose 26 13.5 2.2 4.3 1.2 0.4 0.9
Alec Burks 34 13.2 4.6 2.2 0.8 0.3 2.0
Immanuel Quickley 41 12.8 2.3 2.3 0.5 0.2 2.0

Knicks Player Props

  • Julius Randle’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 38.5, 1.2 lower than his season average of 39.7.
  • Reggie Bullock’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.4 shots higher than his season average of 2.1.
  • Mitchell Robinson’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 0.5, 0.7 steals less than his season average of 1.2.

Shooting Trends

  • The Heat make 45.8% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.5 percentage points higher than the Knicks have allowed to their opponents (44.3%).
  • In games Miami shoots higher than 44.3% from the field, it is 16-15 against the spread and 18-13 overall.
  • New York’s record is 18-8 against the spread and 17-9 overall when its opponents make more than 45.8% of their shots from the field.
  • The Knicks’ 45.1% shooting percentage from the field this season is 0.4 percentage points higher than the Heat have given up to their opponents (44.7%).
  • New York has put together a 19-5 record against the spread and an 18-6 straight up record in games it shoots better than 44.7% from the field.
  • When Miami’s opponents shoot above 45.1% from the field, it is 13-11 against the spread and 17-7 overall.
  • The Heat shoot 34.6% from three-point range, one% higher than the 33.6% the Knicks allow to opponents.
  • Miami has a 14-15 record against the spread and a 17-12 record overall when the team hits more than 33.6% of its three-point shots.
  • New York has put up a 17-8 against the spread while going 17-8 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot higher than 34.6% from deep.
  • The Knicks are hitting 37.4% of their shots from three-point distance, which is 0.9 percentage points higher than the 36.5% the Heat’s opponents are averaging on the season.
  • New York is 17-8 ATS and 16-9 overall when the team hits more than 36.5% of its three-point attempts.
  • Miami has a 13-14 ATS record and a 15-12 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 37.4% from three-point distance.
  • The Heat knock down 12.7 three-pointers per game this season, 1.9 more makes per game than the Knicks allow (10.8).
  • Miami has gone 6-5 against the spread and 9-2 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When New York hits fewer three-pointers than its opponents, it is 12-14 ATS and 9-17 straight up.
  • The Knicks are the 25th-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Heat give up the 29th-fewest makes from deep.

Heat vs Knicks Stat Rankings

Heat Rank Heat AVG Knicks AVG Knicks Rank
26th 106.5 Points Scored 105.3 28th
4th 108 Points Allowed 104.7 1st
27th 42.7 Rebounds 46 5th
29th 8 Off. Rebounds 10.6 8th
16th 12.7 3pt Made 10.8 25th
10th 25.9 Assists 21 29th
22nd 14.1 Turnovers 12.8 8th

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