Nets vs Timberwolves: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 29, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 29, 2021 - Last Updated on April 2, 2021

The Brooklyn Nets (31-15) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (11-35) as heavy, 11-point favorites after James Harden scored 44 points in the Nets’ 113-111 victory over the Pistons. The matchup airs on YES at 7:30 PM ET on Monday, March 29, 2021. The point total in the matchup is set at 239.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of March 29, 2021, 7:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Nets vs Timberwolves Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 29

Nets:
Kevin Durant: Out (Hamstring),
Spencer Dinwiddie: Out For Season (ACL),
Landry Shamet: Out (Ankle)

Timberwolves:
Josh Okogie: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
D’Angelo Russell: Out (Leg)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Nets (-11)
Total Pick Under (239)
Prediction Nets 123, Timberwolves 108

The Nets are the bet in this matchup. They’re favored by 4.4 more points in the model than DraftKings (15.4 to 11).

In this matchup, the model projects a total (230.4 points) significantly lower than the DraftKings over/under (239 points). Bet on the under.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Nets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Kevin Durant 19 29.0 7.3 5.2 0.7 1.4 2.6
Kyrie Irving 31 28.1 4.8 5.7 1.2 0.6 2.9
James Harden 39 25.8 8.1 11.2 1.3 0.7 2.9
Joe Harris 46 14.2 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.2 3.3
LaMarcus Aldridge 21 13.7 4.5 1.7 0.4 0.9 1.3

Nets Player Props

  • Harden’s assists prop over/under for the game is set at 11.5 assists, 0.3 assists greater than his season average of 11.2.
  • Joe Harris’ three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 3.5, 0.2 shots greater than his season average of 3.3.
  • Harden’s steals prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.2 steals higher than his season average of 1.3.

Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Karl-Anthony Towns 26 23.8 10.4 4.3 0.8 1.5 2.3
Malik Beasley 34 20.3 4.6 2.5 0.9 0.2 3.5
D’Angelo Russell 20 19.3 2.6 5.1 1.1 0.5 3.0
Anthony Edwards 46 17.0 4.3 2.5 1.0 0.3 2.2
Naz Reid 44 11.2 4.5 1.2 0.6 1.1 0.8

Timberwolves Player Props

  • Karl-Anthony Towns’ points prop total for the contest is set at 25.5, 1.7 points greater than his season average of 23.8.
  • Ricky Rubio’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 21.5, 3.0 higher than his season average of 18.5.
  • Malik Beasley’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 3.5, equal to his season average of 3.5.
  • Rubio’s steals prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.1 steals greater than his season average of 1.4.

Shooting Trends

  • The Nets make 49.5% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.4 percentage points higher than the Timberwolves have allowed to their opponents (48.1%).
  • Brooklyn has a 16-13 record against the spread and a 23-6 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 48.1% from the field.
  • Minnesota has a 13-13-2 record against the spread and a 10-18 record overall when allowing its opponents to make more than 49.5% of their shots from the field.
  • The Timberwolves are shooting 44.1% from the field, 2.4% lower than the 46.5% the Nets’ opponents have shot this season.
  • Minnesota is 5-5-1 against the spread and 4-7 overall when it shoots higher than 46.5% from the field.
  • When Brooklyn’s opponents shoot above 44.1% from the field, it is 9-4 against the spread and 11-2 overall.
  • The Nets shoot 39.3% from three-point range, 0.7% higher than the 38.6% the Timberwolves allow to opponents.
  • Brooklyn has an 18-9 record against the spread and a 23-4 record overall when the team knocks down more than 38.6% of its three-point attempts.
  • Minnesota has put up a 15-9-1 against the spread while going 10-15 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot better than 39.3% from downtown.
  • The Timberwolves’ three-point shooting percentage this season (34.6%) is two percentage points lower than opponents of the Nets are averaging (36.6%).
  • Minnesota is 9-7-2 against the spread and 5-13 overall when shooting over 36.6% as a team from three-point range.
  • Brooklyn has a 12-8 ATS record and a 16-4 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 34.6% from three-point range.
  • The Nets’ 14.4 made three-pointers per game this season is 1.8 more made shots on average than the 12.6 per game the Timberwolves give up.
  • Brooklyn has gone 15-13 against the spread and 20-8 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Minnesota makes fewer threes than its opponents, it is 4-17 ATS and 3-18 straight up.
  • The Timberwolves are the 17th-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Nets give up the 19th-fewest makes from deep.

Nets vs Timberwolves Stat Rankings

Nets Rank Nets AVG Timberwolves AVG Timberwolves Rank
2nd 119.3 Points Scored 109.2 23rd
26th 115.1 Points Allowed 117.2 28th
16th 44.1 Rebounds 43 19th
23rd 9 Off. Rebounds 10.4 13th
5th 14.4 3pt Made 12.6 17th
7th 26.4 Assists 25.2 13th
16th 13.4 Turnovers 13.8 20th

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