The Dallas Mavericks (23-21) visit the Oklahoma City Thunder (19-26) as 9.5-point favorites after Tim Hardaway Jr. scored 30 points in the Mavericks’ 112-103 loss to the Pelicans. The game airs on FS-OK at 8:00 PM ET on Monday, March 29, 2021. The matchup’s point total is set at 216.5.
The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of March 29, 2021, 7:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.
Mavericks vs Thunder Betting Odds
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Injury Report as of March 29
Mavericks:
Tyrell Terry: Out (Personal),
JJ Redick: Out (Heel),
Willie Cauley-Stein: Out (Health and Safety Protocols)
Thunder:
Luguentz Dort: Out (Concussion protocol),
Mike Muscala: Day To Day (Ankle),
Darius Bazley: Day To Day (Shoulder),
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Day To Day (Foot),
Tony Bradley: Day To Day (Not With Team)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Thunder (+9.5) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (216.5) |
| Prediction | Mavericks 112, Thunder 108 |
The model favors the Mavericks by 3.5 points, a much smaller margin than the 9.5-point spread set by DraftKings. Take the Thunder to cover.
In this game, the model projects a total (220.5 points) a little higher than the DraftKings over/under (216.5 points).
Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.
Mavericks Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 39 | 28.6 | 8.3 | 9.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 2.9 |
| Kristaps Porzingis | 28 | 20.4 | 8.9 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 43 | 16.8 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 3.0 |
| Josh Richardson | 35 | 12.9 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Jalen Brunson | 40 | 12.6 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 |
Mavericks Player Props
- Luka Doncic’s points prop total for the game is set at 28.5, 0.1 points lower than his season average of 28.6.
- Kristaps Porzingis’ PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 34.5, 3.7 greater than his season average of 30.8.
- Hardaway’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 4.5, 1.5 shots higher than his season average of 3.0.
- Josh Richardson’s steals prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.5 steals higher than his season average of 1.0.
Thunder Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 35 | 23.7 | 4.8 | 5.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 2.0 |
| Al Horford | 28 | 14.2 | 6.7 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 2.0 |
| Luguentz Dort | 41 | 12.6 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Darius Bazley | 36 | 11.9 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.5 |
| Ty Jerome | 13 | 9.8 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.2 |
Shooting Trends
- The Mavericks are shooting 47% from the field this season, 0.5 percentage points higher than the 46.5% the Thunder allow to opponents.
- Dallas has a 14-9 record against the spread and a 17-6 straight-up record in games it shoots higher than 46.5% from the field.
- Oklahoma City’s record is 15-7-1 against the spread and 12-11 overall when its opponents make more than 47% of their shots from the field.
- The Thunder’s 44.8% shooting percentage from the field this season is the same as the Mavericks have given up to their opponents.
- This season, Oklahoma City has a 12-5 record against the spread and a 10-7 record overall in games the team collectively shoots better than 46% from the field.
- This season, Dallas has a 15-3 record against the spread and a 14-4 straight up record when it allows opponents to shoot greater than 44.8% from the field.
- The Mavericks’ 35.9% three-point shooting percentage this season is just 0.9 percentage points higher than opponents of the Thunder have shot from deep (35%).
- Dallas has put together a 13-10 record against the spread and a 16-7 straight-up record in games this season when the team makes more than 35% of its three-point attempts.
- Oklahoma City has put up an 18-9 against the spread while going 14-13 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot higher than 35.9% from downtown.
- The Thunder are hitting 34.8% of their shots from three-point range, which is only 2.3 percentage points fewer than the 37.1% the Mavericks’ opponents are averaging on the season.
- Oklahoma City is 12-4-1 ATS and 11-6 overall when the team makes more than 37.1% of its three-point attempts.
- Dallas has a 13-2 ATS record and a 13-2 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 34.8% from three-point range.
- The Mavericks connect on 13.5 three-pointers per game this season, only 0.6 more made shots on average than the 12.9 per game the Thunder allow.
- Dallas is 15-5 against the spread and 16-4 overall when it hit more threes than its opponents, while Oklahoma City is 6-12-1 ATS and 4-15 straight up in games when it is out-shot from distance.
- The Thunder are the 14th-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Mavericks give up the 24th-fewest makes from deep.
Mavericks vs Thunder Stat Rankings
| Mavericks Rank | Mavericks AVG | Thunder AVG | Thunder Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18th | 111.8 | Points Scored | 106.1 | 27th |
| 14th | 111 | Points Allowed | 112 | 17th |
| 20th | 43.2 | Rebounds | 44.7 | 12th |
| 26th | 8.6 | Off. Rebounds | 8.4 | 28th |
| 9th | 13.5 | 3pt Made | 12.9 | 14th |
| 27th | 22.6 | Assists | 22.8 | 25th |
| 3rd | 11.6 | Turnovers | 14.1 | 23rd |
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