Grizzlies vs Rockets: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 29, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 29, 2021 - Last Updated on April 2, 2021

The Memphis Grizzlies (21-22) hit the road in Southwest Division action against the Houston Rockets (13-32) on Monday, March 29, 2021 at 8:00 PM ET. The Grizzlies are 5-point favorites in the game, the third matchup between the squads this season. The matchup has an over/under of 221.5 points.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of March 29, 2021, 7:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Grizzlies vs Rockets Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 29

Grizzlies:
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Out (Knee)

Rockets:
Christian Wood: Day To Day (Knee),
David Nwaba: Out (Wrist),
Dante Exum: Out (Calf),
Eric Gordon: Out (Groin),
Avery Bradley: Day To Day (Calf)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Rockets (+5)
Total Pick Over (221.5)
Prediction Grizzlies 113, Rockets 109

The model line and the DraftKings line are within 0.5 points of each other.

The model’s predicted total (221.7 points) and the DraftKings set total (221.5 points) are virtually the same for this contest.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Grizzlies Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Ja Morant 35 19.3 3.3 7.5 0.9 0.2 0.8
Dillon Brooks 40 16.1 2.9 2.4 1.3 0.4 1.8
Jonas Valanciunas 38 15.7 12.5 1.7 0.6 0.7 0.3
Kyle Anderson 41 12.5 5.7 3.4 1.2 0.7 1.4
Brandon Clarke 38 11.7 5.6 1.7 1.1 0.8 0.5

Grizzlies Player Props

  • Ja Morant’s points prop over/under for the game is set at 18.5, 0.8 points lower than his season average of 19.3.
  • Jonas Valanciunas’ PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 30.5, 0.5 greater than his season average of 30.0.
  • Grayson Allen’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.6 shots less than his season average of 2.1.
  • Dillon Brooks’ steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.2 steals higher than his season average of 1.3.

Rockets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Christian Wood 23 21.5 9.8 1.3 0.8 1.4 1.7
John Wall 31 20.5 3.4 6.7 1.0 0.7 2.0
Eric Gordon 27 17.8 2.1 2.6 0.5 0.5 2.6
Jae’Sean Tate 45 10.3 5.4 1.9 1.2 0.6 0.7
Kelly Olynyk 44 10.2 6.0 2.2 1.0 0.6 1.8

Rockets Player Props

  • Christian Wood’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 35.5, 2.9 greater than his season average of 32.6.
  • John Wall’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 32.5, 1.8 higher than his season average of 30.7.
  • Wood’s blocks prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.1 blocks higher than his season average of 1.4.

Shooting Trends

  • The Grizzlies make 46.1% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.5 percentage points lower than the Rockets have allowed to their opponents (46.6%).
  • Memphis has a 16-4 record against the spread and a 16-4 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 46.6% from the field.
  • Houston has a 12-9 record against the spread and a 12-9 record overall when allowing its opponents to hit more than 46.1% of their shots from the field.
  • The Rockets are shooting 43.6% from the field, 3.3% lower than the 46.9% the Grizzlies’ opponents have shot this season.
  • Houston is 8-6 against the spread and 8-6 overall when it shoots better than 46.9% from the field.
  • When Memphis’ opponents shoot higher than 43.6% from the field, it is 10-1 against the spread and 10-1 overall.
  • The Grizzlies shoot 34.8% from deep, 2.3% lower than the 37.1% the Rockets allow to opponents.
  • Memphis is 12-2 against the spread and 9-5 overall when it shoots better than 37.1% from distance.
  • Houston has put up a 9-10-1 against the spread while going 10-10 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot better than 34.8% from deep.
  • The Rockets shoot 33.2% from beyond the arc this season. That’s 4.1 percentage points lower than the Grizzlies have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (37.3%).
  • Houston is 8-6 ATS and 8-6 overall when the team hits more than 37.3% of its three-point attempts.
  • Memphis has an 11-1-1 ATS record and a 10-3 straight-up record this season when it connects on more than 33.2% of its three-point shots.
  • The Grizzlies’ 10.5 made three-pointers per game this season is 2.9 fewer made shots on average than the 13.4 per game the Rockets allow.
  • When Houston makes more threes than its opponents, it is 11-10-1 against the spread and 11-11 overall. When Memphis is out-shot from beyond the arc by its opponents, it is 12-15 ATS and 11-16 straight up.
  • The Grizzlies are the 29th-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Rockets allow the 14th-fewest makes from deep.

Grizzlies vs Rockets Stat Rankings

Grizzlies Rank Grizzlies AVG Rockets AVG Rockets Rank
20th 111.5 Points Scored 107.2 24th
16th 111.4 Points Allowed 113.3 22nd
8th 46 Rebounds 42.4 22nd
2nd 11.3 Off. Rebounds 9 22nd
29th 10.5 3pt Made 13.4 10th
6th 26.6 Assists 22.5 28th
10th 13 Turnovers 13.9 21st

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