Celtics vs Pelicans: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 29, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 29, 2021 - Last Updated on April 2, 2021

The New Orleans Pelicans (20-25) visit the Boston Celtics (23-23) as 4-point underdogs after Zion Williamson put up 38 points in the Pelicans’ 112-103 victory over the Mavericks. The game airs on NBA TV at 7:30 PM ET on Monday, March 29, 2021. The matchup has an over/under set at 230.5 points.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of March 29, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Celtics vs Pelicans Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 29

Celtics:
Evan Fournier: Day To Day (Health protocols),
Romeo Langford: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Tristan Thompson: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Semi Ojeleye: Out (Side)

Pelicans:
Lonzo Ball: Day To Day (Hip),
Jaxson Hayes: Day To Day (Wrist)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Celtics (-4)
Total Pick Under (230.5)
Prediction Celtics 116, Pelicans 111

The model projects the Celtics to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by slightly more points (5.0 to 4).

The model predicts a total 3.7 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this game.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Celtics Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jayson Tatum 40 25.1 6.8 4.4 1.3 0.5 2.8
Jaylen Brown 43 24.5 5.6 3.7 1.2 0.5 2.6
Evan Fournier 26 19.7 2.9 3.7 1.0 0.3 2.8
Kemba Walker 27 18.0 3.5 4.6 1.2 0.3 2.9
Marcus Smart 27 12.9 3.0 5.4 1.5 0.5 2.0

Celtics Player Props

  • Jayson Tatum’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 48.5, 12.3 greater than his season average of 36.2.
  • Marcus Smart’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 26.5, 5.2 higher than his season average of 21.3.
  • Kemba Walker’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 2.5, 0.4 shots less than his season average of 2.9.
  • Smart’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, equal to his season average of 1.5.

Pelicans Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Zion Williamson 43 26.3 7.0 3.5 0.9 0.7 0.2
Brandon Ingram 45 23.8 5.0 4.6 0.6 0.7 2.4
Lonzo Ball 38 14.2 4.2 5.6 1.3 0.6 3.0
Eric Bledsoe 44 11.4 3.4 3.8 0.7 0.3 1.7
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 37 9.6 2.9 1.9 1.0 0.5 1.5

Pelicans Player Props

  • Williamson’s points prop over/under for the contest is set at 30.5, 4.2 points higher than his season average of 26.3.
  • Steven Adams’ rebounding prop over/under for the contest is set at 10.5 boards, 1.5 rebounds higher than his season average of 9.0.
  • Lonzo Ball’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.5 shots less than his season average of 3.0.
  • James Johnson’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 0.5, 0.3 blocks lower than his season average of 0.8.

Shooting Trends

  • The Celtics are shooting 47% from the field this season, 0.2 percentage points lower than the 47.2% the Pelicans allow to opponents.
  • Boston is 17-8 against the spread and 18-7 overall when it shoots higher than 47.2% from the field.
  • New Orleans’ record is 14-6 against the spread and 15-5 overall when its opponents make more than 47% of their shots from the field.
  • The Pelicans are shooting 48.7% from the field, 2.1% higher than the 46.6% the Celtics’ opponents have shot this season.
  • New Orleans has put together an 18-12 record against the spread and a 16-14 straight up record in games it shoots over 46.6% from the field.
  • When Boston’s opponents shoot greater than 48.7% from the field, it is 16-14 against the spread and 17-13 overall.
  • The Celtics shoot 37.8% from deep, 1.3% lower than the 39.1% the Pelicans allow to opponents.
  • Boston is 16-6 against the spread and 17-5 overall when it shoots better than 39.1% from distance.
  • New Orleans is 14-7 against the spread and 16-5 overall when its opponents shoot higher than 37.8% from deep.
  • The Pelicans’ three-point shooting percentage this season (35.5%) is 1.3 percentage points lower than opponents of the Celtics are averaging (36.8%).
  • New Orleans is 13-6 against the spread and 13-6 overall when shooting over 36.8% as a team from three-point range.
  • Boston has a 12-11 ATS record and a 12-11 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 35.5% from three-point range.
  • The Celtics knock down 12.9 three-pointers per game this season, 1.7 more makes per game than the Pelicans give up (11.2).
  • Boston has gone 15-8 against the spread and 15-8 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When New Orleans makes fewer three-pointers than its opponents, it is 12-22 ATS and 12-23 straight up.
  • The Pelicans make the 23rd-most three-pointers in the league, while the Celtics allow the 17th-fewest makes from beyond the arc.

Celtics vs Pelicans Stat Rankings

Celtics Rank Celtics AVG Pelicans AVG Pelicans Rank
16th 112.4 Points Scored 115.4 5th
15th 111.2 Points Allowed 114.8 25th
11th 44 Rebounds 46.3 3rd
6th 10.9 Off. Rebounds 11.6 1st
12th 12.9 3pt Made 11.2 23rd
24th 23 Assists 26.2 9th
14th 13.2 Turnovers 13.3 15th

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