Raptors vs Pistons: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 29, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 29, 2021 - Last Updated on April 2, 2021

The Detroit Pistons (12-33) are underdogs (+4) as they attempt to end a four-game losing streak when they host the Toronto Raptors (18-28) at 8:00 PM ET on Monday, March 29, 2021 at Little Caesars Arena. The matchup airs on FS-DET. The matchup has a point total of 219.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from FanDuel sportsbook as of March 29, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Raptors vs Pistons Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 29

Raptors:
DeAndre’ Bembry: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Patrick McCaw: Out (Knee),
Kyle Lowry: Out (Foot),
Paul Watson: Out (Health and Safety Protocols)

Pistons:
Jahlil Okafor: Out (Knee),
Jerami Grant: Day To Day (Quad),
Rodney McGruder: Day To Day (Elbow),
Killian Hayes: Out (Hip),
Dennis Smith Jr.: Out (Spine)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Pistons (+4)
Total Pick Over (219)
Prediction Raptors 111, Pistons 110

The spread for this game suggested by the model (0.1 points) is significantly less than the 4-point edge FanDuel gives to the Raptors, though the data still has them as the favorite. Put your money on the Pistons to cover.

The model projects a total 2.1 points higher than the one set by FanDuel for this game.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Raptors Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Pascal Siakam 37 20.3 7.4 4.7 1.1 0.7 1.3
Fred VanVleet 41 20.1 4.3 6.3 1.7 0.7 3.4
Kyle Lowry 38 17.2 5.5 7.4 1.1 0.2 2.8
Gary Trent Jr. 43 14.6 2.3 1.3 0.9 0.1 2.8
OG Anunoby 28 14.5 5.9 1.8 1.7 0.7 2.3

Raptors Player Props

  • Pascal Siakam’s points prop over/under for the contest is set at 18.5, 1.8 points less than his season average of 20.3.
  • Kyle Lowry’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 29.5, 0.7 less than his season average of 30.2.
  • Fred VanVleet’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 3.5, 0.1 shots higher than his season average of 3.4.
  • Chris Boucher’s blocks prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.4 blocks lower than his season average of 1.9.

Pistons Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jerami Grant 42 23.0 4.9 2.8 0.7 1.1 2.3
Josh Jackson 41 12.9 4.1 2.1 0.9 0.8 1.1
Hamidou Diallo 33 11.7 5.0 2.3 0.9 0.4 0.4
Wayne Ellington 33 10.8 1.8 1.4 0.5 0.2 2.8
Saddiq Bey 43 10.7 4.2 1.3 0.6 0.1 2.3

Pistons Player Props

  • Mason Plumlee’s rebounding prop total for the contest is listed at 10.5 boards, 1.0 rebound greater than his season average of 9.5.
  • Jerami Grant’s points prop total for the contest is set at 23.5, 0.5 points greater than his season average of 23.0.
  • Wayne Ellington’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 2.5, 0.3 shots less than his season average of 2.8.
  • Dennis Smith Jr.’s steals prop over/under for the game is set at 0.5, 0.6 steals lower than his season average of 1.1.

Shooting Trends

  • The Raptors make 44.8% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.8 percentage points lower than the Pistons have allowed to their opponents (47.6%).
  • Toronto is 12-4 against the spread and 10-6 overall when it shoots higher than 47.6% from the field.
  • Detroit has a 9-6 record against the spread and an 8-8 record overall when allowing its opponents to make more than 44.8% of their shots from the field.
  • The Pistons’ 44.2% shooting percentage from the field this season is 1.8 percentage points lower than the Raptors have allowed to their opponents (46%).
  • This season, Detroit has an 11-3-1 record against the spread and an 8-8 record overall in games the team collectively shoots better than 46% from the field.
  • Toronto is 12-6 against the spread and 12-6 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot above 44.2% from the field.
  • The Raptors’ 37.6% three-point shooting percentage this season is only 0.3 percentage points higher than opponents of the Pistons have shot from deep (37.3%).
  • Toronto has collected a 15-7 record against the spread and a 13-9 straight-up record in games this season when the team makes more than 37.3% of its three-point shots.
  • Detroit is 12-9 against the spread and 10-13 overall when its opponents shoot better than 37.6% from deep.
  • The Pistons shoot 34.9% from beyond the arc this season. That’s 2.3 percentage points lower than the Raptors have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (37.2%).
  • Detroit has a 14-3 ATS record and is 9-9 straight-up when the team makes more than 37.2% of its three-point attempts.
  • Toronto is 13-5 ATS and 11-7 overall in games it shoots over 34.9% from deep.
  • The Raptors’ 15.4 made three-pointers per game this season is 3.2 more made shots on average than the 12.2 per game the Pistons allow.
  • Toronto has gone 17-9 against the spread and 15-11 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Detroit hits fewer threes than its opponents, it is 6-10-1 ATS and 2-15 straight up.
  • The Pistons rank 20th in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Raptors allow the 26th-fewest made threes in the league.

Raptors vs Pistons Stat Rankings

Raptors Rank Raptors AVG Pistons AVG Pistons Rank
17th 112.3 Points Scored 106.9 25th
20th 112.4 Points Allowed 110.9 11th
30th 41 Rebounds 42.8 18th
20th 9.2 Off. Rebounds 10 16th
3rd 15.4 3pt Made 12.2 20th
15th 24.8 Assists 24.1 19th
8th 12.8 Turnovers 13.7 18th

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