Spurs vs Kings: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 29, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 29, 2021 - Last Updated on April 2, 2021

De’Aaron Fox leads the Sacramento Kings (21-25) against the San Antonio Spurs (23-20) after scoring 36 points in a 100-98 win over the Cavaliers. The Kings are 2.5-point underdogs in the game on Monday, March 29, 2021, which tips at 8:30 PM ET on FS-SW. The over/under for the matchup is set at 228.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of March 29, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Spurs vs Kings Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 29

Devin Vassell: Day To Day (Ankle),
Lonnie Walker IV: Out (Wrist),
Keita Bates-Diop: Out (Hamstring)

Marvin Bagley III: Out (Hand),
Hassan Whiteside: Day To Day (Knee),
Jahmi’us Ramsey: Day To Day (Hamstring)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Spurs (-2.5)
Total Pick Under (228)
Prediction Spurs 116, Kings 111

Both DraftKings and the model expect the Spurs to walk away with the victory, but the model spread (4.7) is 2.2 points further in their direction.

The model projects a total 1.5 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Spurs Key Players

DeMar DeRozan 36 20.5 4.4 7.1 1.1 0.3 0.5
Dejounte Murray 42 15.5 7.0 5.2 1.5 0.1 0.9
Keldon Johnson 40 13.5 6.4 1.9 0.6 0.6 0.9
Patty Mills 42 12.9 1.7 2.5 0.7 0.0 2.7
Derrick White 19 12.8 2.6 3.4 0.7 1.1 2.0

Spurs Player Props

  • DeMar DeRozan’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 30.5, 1.6 less than his season average of 32.1.
  • Jakob Poeltl’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 19.5, 2.5 higher than his season average of 17.0.
  • Patty Mills’ three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.2 shots lower than his season average of 2.7.
  • Poeltl’s blocks prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.1 blocks lower than his season average of 1.6.

Kings Key Players

De’Aaron Fox 45 24.8 3.4 7.3 1.4 0.4 1.8
Buddy Hield 46 16.6 4.6 3.3 0.8 0.3 4.0
Harrison Barnes 43 15.7 6.7 3.6 0.7 0.2 1.5
Richaun Holmes 42 14.2 8.9 1.7 0.7 1.7 0.0
Marvin Bagley III 37 13.9 7.4 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.9

Kings Player Props

  • Fox’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 39.5, 4.0 greater than his season average of 35.5.
  • Richaun Holmes’ rebounding prop total for the game is posted at 10.5 rebounds, 1.6 rebounds higher than his season average of 8.9.
  • Buddy Hield’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 4.5, 0.5 shots greater than his season average of 4.0.
  • Delon Wright’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, equal to his season average of 1.5.

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Spurs have a 45.8% shooting percentage from the field, which is 3.1% lower than the 48.9% of shots the Kings’ opponents have hit.
  • In games San Antonio shoots higher than 48.9% from the field, it is 9-0 against the spread and 9-0 overall.
  • Sacramento’s record is 10-3 against the spread and 11-2 overall when its opponents make more than 45.8% of their shots from the field.
  • The Kings have shot at a 48.4% clip from the field this season, two percentage points higher than the 46.4% shooting opponents of the Spurs have averaged.
  • This season, Sacramento has a 14-15 record against the spread and a 14-15 record overall in games the team collectively shoots above 46.4% from the field.
  • San Antonio is 19-9 against the spread and 18-10 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot higher than 48.4% from the field.
  • The Spurs are knocking down 36.1% of their three-point shots this season, 3.1% lower than the 39.2% the Kings allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • San Antonio has assembled a 10-5-1 record against the spread and an 11-5 straight-up record in games this season when the team connects on more than 39.2% of its three-point shots.
  • Sacramento is 13-4 against the spread while putting up a 13-4 straight-up record when its opponents shoot above 36.1% from beyond the arc.
  • The Kings’ three-point shooting percentage this season (36.2%) is 1.3 percentage points lower than opponents of the Spurs are averaging (37.5%).
  • Sacramento is 10-8 ATS and 10-8 overall when the team hits more than 37.5% of its three-point attempts.
  • San Antonio is 16-4 ATS and 15-5 overall in games it shoots over 36.2% from deep.
  • The Spurs’ 10.6 made three-pointers per game this season is 1.3 fewer made shots on average than the 11.9 per game the Kings give up.
  • Sacramento has gone 15-5 against the spread and 14-6 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When San Antonio makes fewer threes than its opponents, it is 10-18-1 ATS and 10-19 straight up.
  • The Kings rank 22nd in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Spurs allow the 15th-fewest made threes in the league.

Spurs vs Kings Stat Rankings

Spurs Rank Spurs AVG Kings AVG Kings Rank
22nd 109.4 Points Scored 114.8 7th
8th 110.2 Points Allowed 118.6 29th
21st 43.9 Rebounds 42.6 23rd
25th 8.7 Off. Rebounds 10.1 15th
28th 10.6 3pt Made 11.9 22nd
17th 24.4 Assists 25.7 12th
1st 10.9 Turnovers 13 11th

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