Bucks vs Knicks: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 27, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 27, 2021 - Last Updated on April 2, 2021

Central Division opponents square off when the Milwaukee Bucks (29-15) host the New York Knicks (23-22) at Fiserv Forum, starting at 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, March 27, 2021. The Bucks are 10-point favorites in the game, the third matchup between the squads this season. The matchup’s over/under is set at 223.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of March 27, 2021, 7:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Bucks vs Knicks Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 27

Bucks:
Rodions Kurucs: Out (Abdominal),
P.J. Tucker: Out (Calf),
Bobby Portis: Out (Health Protocols)

Knicks:
Reggie Bullock: Day To Day (Ankle),
Nerlens Noel: Day To Day (Shoulder),
Derrick Rose: Day To Day (Conditioning),
Elfrid Payton: Day To Day (Hamstring),
Julius Randle: Day To Day (Thigh)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Knicks (+10)
Total Pick Under (223)
Prediction Bucks 115, Knicks 106

The model favors the Bucks by 8.8 points, just 1.2 less than the 10-point spread set by DraftKings.

In this matchup, the model projects a total (221.4 points) a little lower than the DraftKings over/under (223 points).

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Bucks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Giannis Antetokounmpo 42 28.3 11.5 6.4 1.2 1.3 1.1
Khris Middleton 44 20.5 6.1 5.4 1.1 0.2 2.3
Jrue Holiday 34 15.9 4.4 5.1 1.7 0.5 1.8
Brook Lopez 44 11.4 5.0 0.7 0.6 1.4 1.5
Bobby Portis 43 11.0 6.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 1.1

Bucks Player Props

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 48.5, 2.3 greater than his season average of 46.2.
  • Khris Middleton’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 2.5, 0.2 shots higher than his season average of 2.3.
  • Jrue Holiday’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.2 steals lower than his season average of 1.7.

Knicks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Julius Randle 45 23.0 10.8 5.8 0.9 0.2 2.0
RJ Barrett 45 17.5 6.1 3.0 0.7 0.2 1.2
Derrick Rose 25 13.5 2.2 4.5 1.2 0.4 0.9
Alec Burks 33 13.0 4.4 2.1 0.8 0.2 1.9
Immanuel Quickley 40 12.8 2.3 2.3 0.5 0.2 1.9

Knicks Player Props

  • Julius Randle’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 44.5, 4.8 higher than his season average of 39.7.
  • Reggie Bullock’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.6 shots less than his season average of 2.1.
  • Nerlens Noel’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.5 blocks lower than his season average of 2.0.

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Bucks have a 48.6% shooting percentage from the field, which is 4.3% higher than the 44.3% of shots the Knicks’ opponents have knocked down.
  • Milwaukee has a 17-16 record against the spread and a 23-10 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 44.3% from the field.
  • New York’s record is 22-13 against the spread and 19-16 overall when its opponents make more than 48.6% of their shots from the field.
  • The Knicks have shot at a 45.2% rate from the field this season, 0.2 percentage points less than the 45.4% shooting opponents of the Bucks have averaged.
  • New York is 17-4 against the spread and 17-4 overall when it shoots higher than 45.4% from the field.
  • When Milwaukee’s opponents shoot over 45.2% from the field, it is 15-4 against the spread and 19-0 overall.
  • The Bucks shoot 39.3% from beyond the arc, 5.8% higher than the 33.5% the Knicks allow to opponents.
  • Milwaukee is 15-16 against the spread and 22-9 overall when it shoots better than 33.5% from distance.
  • New York is 23-11 against the spread while putting up a 22-12 straight-up record when its opponents shoot above 39.3% from three-point range.
  • The Knicks’ three-point shooting percentage this season (37.5%) is 0.2 percentage points higher than opponents of the Bucks are averaging (37.3%).
  • New York has a 16-6 ATS record and is 15-7 straight-up when the team makes more than 37.3% of its three-point attempts.
  • Milwaukee has a 17-8 ATS record and a 22-3 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 37.5% from three-point range.
  • The Bucks’ 14.8 made three-pointers per game this season is 4.1 more made shots on average than the 10.7 per game the Knicks give up.
  • Milwaukee is 13-7 against the spread and 18-2 overall when it connects on more threes than its opponents, while New York is 12-14 ATS and 9-17 straight up in games when it is out-shot from distance.
  • The Bucks make the fourth-most three-pointers in the league, while the Knicks allow the eighth-fewest makes from beyond the arc.

Bucks vs Knicks Stat Rankings

Bucks Rank Bucks AVG Knicks AVG Knicks Rank
1st 119.9 Points Scored 105.3 28th
21st 112.8 Points Allowed 104.9 1st
2nd 48.6 Rebounds 46.1 5th
9th 10.5 Off. Rebounds 10.6 7th
4th 14.8 3pt Made 10.7 26th
10th 26 Assists 20.8 29th
17th 13.5 Turnovers 12.7 8th

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