Central Division opponents square off when the Milwaukee Bucks (29-15) host the New York Knicks (23-22) at Fiserv Forum, starting at 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, March 27, 2021. The Bucks are 10-point favorites in the game, the third matchup between the squads this season. The matchup’s over/under is set at 223.
The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of March 27, 2021, 7:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.
Bucks vs Knicks Betting Odds
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Injury Report as of March 27
Bucks:
Rodions Kurucs: Out (Abdominal),
P.J. Tucker: Out (Calf),
Bobby Portis: Out (Health Protocols)
Knicks:
Reggie Bullock: Day To Day (Ankle),
Nerlens Noel: Day To Day (Shoulder),
Derrick Rose: Day To Day (Conditioning),
Elfrid Payton: Day To Day (Hamstring),
Julius Randle: Day To Day (Thigh)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Knicks (+10) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Under (223) |
| Prediction | Bucks 115, Knicks 106 |
The model favors the Bucks by 8.8 points, just 1.2 less than the 10-point spread set by DraftKings.
In this matchup, the model projects a total (221.4 points) a little lower than the DraftKings over/under (223 points).
Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.
Bucks Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 42 | 28.3 | 11.5 | 6.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Khris Middleton | 44 | 20.5 | 6.1 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.3 |
| Jrue Holiday | 34 | 15.9 | 4.4 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 1.8 |
| Brook Lopez | 44 | 11.4 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| Bobby Portis | 43 | 11.0 | 6.8 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.1 |
Bucks Player Props
- Giannis Antetokounmpo’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 48.5, 2.3 greater than his season average of 46.2.
- Khris Middleton’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 2.5, 0.2 shots higher than his season average of 2.3.
- Jrue Holiday’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.2 steals lower than his season average of 1.7.
Knicks Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle | 45 | 23.0 | 10.8 | 5.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.0 |
| RJ Barrett | 45 | 17.5 | 6.1 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Derrick Rose | 25 | 13.5 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| Alec Burks | 33 | 13.0 | 4.4 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.9 |
| Immanuel Quickley | 40 | 12.8 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.9 |
Knicks Player Props
- Julius Randle’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 44.5, 4.8 higher than his season average of 39.7.
- Reggie Bullock’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.6 shots less than his season average of 2.1.
- Nerlens Noel’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.5 blocks lower than his season average of 2.0.
Shooting Trends
- This season, the Bucks have a 48.6% shooting percentage from the field, which is 4.3% higher than the 44.3% of shots the Knicks’ opponents have knocked down.
- Milwaukee has a 17-16 record against the spread and a 23-10 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 44.3% from the field.
- New York’s record is 22-13 against the spread and 19-16 overall when its opponents make more than 48.6% of their shots from the field.
- The Knicks have shot at a 45.2% rate from the field this season, 0.2 percentage points less than the 45.4% shooting opponents of the Bucks have averaged.
- New York is 17-4 against the spread and 17-4 overall when it shoots higher than 45.4% from the field.
- When Milwaukee’s opponents shoot over 45.2% from the field, it is 15-4 against the spread and 19-0 overall.
- The Bucks shoot 39.3% from beyond the arc, 5.8% higher than the 33.5% the Knicks allow to opponents.
- Milwaukee is 15-16 against the spread and 22-9 overall when it shoots better than 33.5% from distance.
- New York is 23-11 against the spread while putting up a 22-12 straight-up record when its opponents shoot above 39.3% from three-point range.
- The Knicks’ three-point shooting percentage this season (37.5%) is 0.2 percentage points higher than opponents of the Bucks are averaging (37.3%).
- New York has a 16-6 ATS record and is 15-7 straight-up when the team makes more than 37.3% of its three-point attempts.
- Milwaukee has a 17-8 ATS record and a 22-3 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 37.5% from three-point range.
- The Bucks’ 14.8 made three-pointers per game this season is 4.1 more made shots on average than the 10.7 per game the Knicks give up.
- Milwaukee is 13-7 against the spread and 18-2 overall when it connects on more threes than its opponents, while New York is 12-14 ATS and 9-17 straight up in games when it is out-shot from distance.
- The Bucks make the fourth-most three-pointers in the league, while the Knicks allow the eighth-fewest makes from beyond the arc.
Bucks vs Knicks Stat Rankings
| Bucks Rank | Bucks AVG | Knicks AVG | Knicks Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 119.9 | Points Scored | 105.3 | 28th |
| 21st | 112.8 | Points Allowed | 104.9 | 1st |
| 2nd | 48.6 | Rebounds | 46.1 | 5th |
| 9th | 10.5 | Off. Rebounds | 10.6 | 7th |
| 4th | 14.8 | 3pt Made | 10.7 | 26th |
| 10th | 26 | Assists | 20.8 | 29th |
| 17th | 13.5 | Turnovers | 12.7 | 8th |
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