Timberwolves vs Rockets: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 27, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 27, 2021 - Last Updated on April 2, 2021

The Houston Rockets (12-32) are underdogs (by 5 points) to end a 10-game road losing streak when they visit the Minnesota Timberwolves (11-34) on Saturday, March 27, 2021 at 8:00 PM ET. The matchup has an over/under set at 227.5 points.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of March 27, 2021, 7:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Timberwolves vs Rockets Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 27

Timberwolves:
Josh Okogie: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
D’Angelo Russell: Out (Leg)

Rockets:
David Nwaba: Out (Wrist),
Kevin Porter Jr.: Out (Quad),
Dante Exum: Out (Calf),
Eric Gordon: Out (Groin),
Danuel House Jr.: Out (Personal)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Rockets (+5)
Total Pick Under (227.5)
Prediction Timberwolves 114, Rockets 110

The spread for this game suggested by the model (3.7 points) is slightly less than the 5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Timberwolves, though the data still has them as the favorite.

The model predicts a total 3.9 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this game.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Karl-Anthony Towns 25 23.7 10.2 4.3 0.8 1.5 2.3
D’Angelo Russell 20 19.3 2.6 5.1 1.1 0.5 3.0
Anthony Edwards 45 16.8 4.3 2.6 1.0 0.4 2.1
Naz Reid 43 11.4 4.6 1.2 0.6 1.1 0.8
Jaylen Nowell 31 10.4 2.3 1.6 0.6 0.3 1.4

Timberwolves Player Props

  • Karl-Anthony Towns’ PRA prop total for the game is set at 38.5, 0.3 greater than his season average of 38.2.
  • Ricky Rubio’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 22.5, 4.0 greater than his season average of 18.5.
  • Rubio’s steals prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.2 steals higher than his season average of 1.3.

Rockets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Christian Wood 23 21.5 9.8 1.3 0.8 1.4 1.7
John Wall 30 20.8 3.4 6.6 1.0 0.7 2.0
Eric Gordon 27 17.8 2.1 2.6 0.5 0.5 2.6
Jae’Sean Tate 44 10.3 5.3 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.8
Kelly Olynyk 43 10.0 6.0 2.1 1.0 0.6 1.8

Rockets Player Props

  • Christian Wood’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 31.5, 1.1 less than his season average of 32.6.
  • John Wall’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 31.5, 0.7 greater than his season average of 30.8.
  • Wood’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.1 blocks higher than his season average of 1.4.

Shooting Trends

  • The Timberwolves are shooting 44.2% from the field this season, 2.5 percentage points lower than the 46.7% the Rockets allow to opponents.
  • In games Minnesota shoots better than 46.7% from the field, it is 5-5-1 against the spread and 4-7 overall.
  • Houston’s record is 7-7 against the spread and 8-6 overall when its opponents make more than 44.2% of their shots from the field.
  • The Rockets have shot at a 43.4% clip from the field this season, 4.5 percentage points below the 47.9% shooting opponents of the Timberwolves have averaged.
  • This season, Houston has a 6-4 record against the spread and a 6-4 record overall in games the team collectively shoots above 47.9% from the field.
  • Minnesota is 7-2 against the spread and 5-4 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot higher than 43.4% from the field.
  • The Timberwolves are hitting 34.7% of their three-point shots this season, 2.5% lower than the 37.2% the Rockets allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Minnesota is 8-6-2 against the spread and 5-11 overall when it shoots better than 37.2% from distance.
  • Houston is 8-10-1 against the spread while putting together a 9-10 straight-up record when its opponents shoot over 34.7% from three-point range.
  • The Rockets are making 32.9% of their shots from beyond the arc, which is 5.4 percentage points fewer than the 38.3% the Timberwolves’ opponents are averaging on the season.
  • Houston is 7-4 against the spread and 7-4 overall when shooting above 38.3% as a team from three-point range.
  • Minnesota has a 12-3 ATS record and a 7-8 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 32.9% from three-point range.
  • The Timberwolves’ 12.6 made three-pointers per game this season are only 0.7 fewer made shots on average than the 13.3 per game the Rockets give up.
  • Houston is 10-10-1 against the spread and 10-11 overall when it makes more three-pointers than its opponents, while Minnesota is 4-16 ATS and 3-17 straight up in games when it is out-shot from the three-point line.
  • The Timberwolves are the 17th-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Rockets give up the 13th-fewest makes from deep.

Timberwolves vs Rockets Stat Rankings

Timberwolves Rank Timberwolves AVG Rockets AVG Rockets Rank
22nd 109.3 Points Scored 106.7 25th
28th 117 Points Allowed 113.4 22nd
19th 43.1 Rebounds 42.4 22nd
13th 10.4 Off. Rebounds 9 22nd
17th 12.6 3pt Made 13.3 11th
13th 25.1 Assists 22.3 28th
20th 13.8 Turnovers 13.9 21st

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