The Houston Rockets (12-32) are underdogs (by 5 points) to end a 10-game road losing streak when they visit the Minnesota Timberwolves (11-34) on Saturday, March 27, 2021 at 8:00 PM ET. The matchup has an over/under set at 227.5 points.
The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of March 27, 2021, 7:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.
Timberwolves vs Rockets Betting Odds
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Injury Report as of March 27
Timberwolves:
Josh Okogie: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
D’Angelo Russell: Out (Leg)
Rockets:
David Nwaba: Out (Wrist),
Kevin Porter Jr.: Out (Quad),
Dante Exum: Out (Calf),
Eric Gordon: Out (Groin),
Danuel House Jr.: Out (Personal)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Rockets (+5) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Under (227.5) |
| Prediction | Timberwolves 114, Rockets 110 |
The spread for this game suggested by the model (3.7 points) is slightly less than the 5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Timberwolves, though the data still has them as the favorite.
The model predicts a total 3.9 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this game.
Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.
Timberwolves Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 25 | 23.7 | 10.2 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| D’Angelo Russell | 20 | 19.3 | 2.6 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 3.0 |
| Anthony Edwards | 45 | 16.8 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 2.1 |
| Naz Reid | 43 | 11.4 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Jaylen Nowell | 31 | 10.4 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.4 |
Timberwolves Player Props
- Karl-Anthony Towns’ PRA prop total for the game is set at 38.5, 0.3 greater than his season average of 38.2.
- Ricky Rubio’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 22.5, 4.0 greater than his season average of 18.5.
- Rubio’s steals prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.2 steals higher than his season average of 1.3.
Rockets Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Wood | 23 | 21.5 | 9.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| John Wall | 30 | 20.8 | 3.4 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 2.0 |
| Eric Gordon | 27 | 17.8 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.6 |
| Jae’Sean Tate | 44 | 10.3 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Kelly Olynyk | 43 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.8 |
Rockets Player Props
- Christian Wood’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 31.5, 1.1 less than his season average of 32.6.
- John Wall’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 31.5, 0.7 greater than his season average of 30.8.
- Wood’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.1 blocks higher than his season average of 1.4.
Shooting Trends
- The Timberwolves are shooting 44.2% from the field this season, 2.5 percentage points lower than the 46.7% the Rockets allow to opponents.
- In games Minnesota shoots better than 46.7% from the field, it is 5-5-1 against the spread and 4-7 overall.
- Houston’s record is 7-7 against the spread and 8-6 overall when its opponents make more than 44.2% of their shots from the field.
- The Rockets have shot at a 43.4% clip from the field this season, 4.5 percentage points below the 47.9% shooting opponents of the Timberwolves have averaged.
- This season, Houston has a 6-4 record against the spread and a 6-4 record overall in games the team collectively shoots above 47.9% from the field.
- Minnesota is 7-2 against the spread and 5-4 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot higher than 43.4% from the field.
- The Timberwolves are hitting 34.7% of their three-point shots this season, 2.5% lower than the 37.2% the Rockets allow opponents to shoot from deep.
- Minnesota is 8-6-2 against the spread and 5-11 overall when it shoots better than 37.2% from distance.
- Houston is 8-10-1 against the spread while putting together a 9-10 straight-up record when its opponents shoot over 34.7% from three-point range.
- The Rockets are making 32.9% of their shots from beyond the arc, which is 5.4 percentage points fewer than the 38.3% the Timberwolves’ opponents are averaging on the season.
- Houston is 7-4 against the spread and 7-4 overall when shooting above 38.3% as a team from three-point range.
- Minnesota has a 12-3 ATS record and a 7-8 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 32.9% from three-point range.
- The Timberwolves’ 12.6 made three-pointers per game this season are only 0.7 fewer made shots on average than the 13.3 per game the Rockets give up.
- Houston is 10-10-1 against the spread and 10-11 overall when it makes more three-pointers than its opponents, while Minnesota is 4-16 ATS and 3-17 straight up in games when it is out-shot from the three-point line.
- The Timberwolves are the 17th-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Rockets give up the 13th-fewest makes from deep.
Timberwolves vs Rockets Stat Rankings
| Timberwolves Rank | Timberwolves AVG | Rockets AVG | Rockets Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22nd | 109.3 | Points Scored | 106.7 | 25th |
| 28th | 117 | Points Allowed | 113.4 | 22nd |
| 19th | 43.1 | Rebounds | 42.4 | 22nd |
| 13th | 10.4 | Off. Rebounds | 9 | 22nd |
| 17th | 12.6 | 3pt Made | 13.3 | 11th |
| 13th | 25.1 | Assists | 22.3 | 28th |
| 20th | 13.8 | Turnovers | 13.9 | 21st |
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