Heat vs Hornets: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 26, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 26, 2021 - Last Updated on April 2, 2021

The Charlotte Hornets (22-21) host the Miami Heat (22-23) after winning four straight home games. The Heat are favored by only 3 points in the contest, which begins at 8:00 PM ET on Friday, March 26, 2021. The matchup has an over/under set at 216.5 points.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of March 26, 2021, 7:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Heat vs Hornets Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 26

KZ Okpala: Out (Health Protocols),
Jimmy Butler: Out (Illness),
Udonis Haslem: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Victor Oladipo: Day To Day (Personal),
Goran Dragic: Out (Back)

LaMelo Ball: Out (Wrist)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Hornets (+3)
Total Pick Over (216.5)
Prediction Hornets 111, Heat 109

While DraftKings has the Heat winning by three, the model has the Hornets taking home the victory, with a considerable margin between the two spreads (5.1 points). Take the Hornets.

The model projects a total 2.8 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Heat Key Players

Jimmy Butler 30 21.3 7.9 7.3 2.0 0.4 0.4
Victor Oladipo 29 20.8 5.0 4.7 1.4 0.4 2.6
Bam Adebayo 39 19.4 9.5 5.4 0.8 1.2 0.1
Tyler Herro 34 15.5 5.4 3.6 0.7 0.4 1.9
Goran Dragic 28 13.9 3.2 4.9 0.6 0.2 1.6

Heat Player Props

  • Jimmy Butler’s assists prop over/under for the game is listed at 5.5 assists, 1.8 assists less than his season average of 7.3.
  • Bam Adebayo’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 30.5, 3.8 less than his season average of 34.3.
  • Duncan Robinson’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 3.5, 0.2 shots greater than his season average of 3.3.
  • Adebayo’s blocks prop total for the contest is set at 0.5, 0.7 blocks lower than his season average of 1.2.

Hornets Key Players

Terry Rozier 41 20.3 3.7 3.3 1.3 0.3 3.3
Gordon Hayward 39 20.1 5.6 4.2 1.3 0.3 2.0
LaMelo Ball 41 16.0 5.9 6.1 1.6 0.3 2.0
Devonte’ Graham 33 13.2 2.7 5.1 0.9 0.1 2.9
Malik Monk 30 12.5 2.7 1.9 0.5 0.1 2.1

Hornets Player Props

  • Terry Rozier’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 26.5, 0.9 lower than his season average of 27.4.
  • Cody Zeller’s rebounding prop total for the contest is set at 6.5 rebounds, 0.6 rebounds less than his season average of 7.1.
  • Rozier’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 3.5, 0.2 shots greater than his season average of 3.3.
  • P.J. Washington’s blocks prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.2 blocks higher than his season average of 1.3.

Shooting Trends

  • The Heat are shooting 45.8% from the field this season, 1.4 percentage points lower than the 47.2% the Hornets allow to opponents.
  • Miami is 11-8 against the spread and 12-7 overall when it shoots better than 47.2% from the field.
  • Charlotte has a 14-3 record against the spread and a 14-4 record overall when allowing its opponents to knock down more than 45.8% of their shots from the field.
  • The Hornets have shot at a 46.3% rate from the field this season, 1.7 percentage points above the 44.6% shooting opponents of the Heat have averaged.
  • This season, Charlotte has a 19-11 record against the spread and an 18-12 record overall in games the team collectively shoots better than 44.6% from the field.
  • Miami is 15-16 against the spread and 20-11 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot higher than 46.3% from the field.
  • The Heat’s 34.6% three-point shooting percentage this season is 2.2 percentage points lower than opponents of the Hornets have shot from beyond the arc (36.8%).
  • Miami has a 10-7 record against the spread and a 13-4 record overall when the team connects on more than 36.8% of its three-point shots.
  • Charlotte is 12-6 against the spread while putting together a 14-5 straight-up record when its opponents shoot over 34.6% from beyond the arc.
  • The Hornets shoot 38.5% from three-point distance this season. That’s just 2.2 percentage points higher than the Heat have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (36.3%).
  • Charlotte has an 18-9 ATS record and is 17-11 straight-up when the team makes more than 36.3% of its three-point attempts.
  • Miami has a 14-16 ATS record and an 18-12 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 38.5% from three-point range.
  • The Heat connect on 12.6 three-pointers per game this season, 1.4 fewer makes per game than the Hornets allow (14).
  • Charlotte is 15-7 against the spread and 16-7 overall when it makes more three-pointers than its opponents, while Miami is 9-20 ATS and 11-18 straight up in games when it is out-shot from the three-point line.
  • The Heat are the 17th-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Hornets allow the 29th-fewest makes from deep.

Heat vs Hornets Stat Rankings

Heat Rank Heat AVG Hornets AVG Hornets Rank
26th 106.6 Points Scored 112 19th
4th 108 Points Allowed 112.7 20th
26th 42.8 Rebounds 43.9 17th
29th 8 Off. Rebounds 10.5 9th
17th 12.6 3pt Made 14 7th
12th 25.8 Assists 27.1 3rd
23rd 14.2 Turnovers 14.8 29th

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