Timberwolves vs Rockets: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 26, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 26, 2021 - Last Updated on April 2, 2021

The Houston Rockets (12-31) are 3.5-point underdogs as they attempt to break a nine-game road losing streak when they take on the Minnesota Timberwolves (10-34) on Friday, March 26, 2021 at Target Center. The contest airs at 8:00 PM ET on FS-N. The matchup’s point total is set at 225.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of March 26, 2021, 7:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Timberwolves vs Rockets Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 26

Timberwolves:
Josh Okogie: Out (Health Protocols),
D’Angelo Russell: Out (Leg)

Rockets:
David Nwaba: Day To Day (Wrist),
Kevin Porter Jr.: Day To Day (Quad),
Dante Exum: Out (Calf),
Eric Gordon: Out (Groin)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Timberwolves (-3.5)
Total Pick Under (225.5)
Prediction Timberwolves 114, Rockets 110

The model line and the DraftKings line are within 0.2 points of each other.

The model projects a total 1.9 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this game.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Karl-Anthony Towns 24 23.5 10.0 4.1 0.8 1.5 2.3
D’Angelo Russell 20 19.3 2.6 5.1 1.1 0.5 3.0
Anthony Edwards 44 16.9 4.3 2.6 1.0 0.4 2.1
Naz Reid 42 11.3 4.7 1.2 0.6 1.1 0.9
Jaylen Nowell 30 10.5 2.2 1.5 0.5 0.3 1.4

Timberwolves Player Props

  • Karl-Anthony Towns’ PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 39.5, 1.9 higher than his season average of 37.6.
  • Ricky Rubio’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 22.5, 3.9 greater than his season average of 18.6.
  • Rubio’s steals prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.2 steals greater than his season average of 1.3.

Rockets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Christian Wood 22 21.4 9.8 1.3 0.9 1.4 1.7
John Wall 29 21.0 3.4 6.3 0.9 0.7 2.0
Eric Gordon 27 17.8 2.1 2.6 0.5 0.5 2.6
Jae’Sean Tate 43 10.3 5.3 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.8
Kelly Olynyk 43 10.0 6.0 2.1 1.0 0.6 1.8

Rockets Player Props

  • Christian Wood’s points prop over/under for the game is set at 21.5, 0.1 points higher than his season average of 21.4.
  • John Wall’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 35.5, 4.8 greater than his season average of 30.7.
  • Jae’Sean Tate’s steals prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.4 steals higher than his season average of 1.1.

Shooting Trends

  • The Timberwolves are shooting 44.3% from the field this season, 2.6 percentage points lower than the 46.9% the Rockets allow to opponents.
  • Minnesota is 5-4-1 against the spread and 4-6 overall when it shoots higher than 46.9% from the field.
  • Houston has a 7-6 record against the spread and an 8-5 record overall when allowing its opponents to make more than 44.3% of their shots from the field.
  • The Rockets’ 43.4% shooting percentage from the field this season is 4.6 percentage points lower than the Timberwolves have allowed to their opponents (48%).
  • Houston is 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall when it shoots better than 48% from the field.
  • This season, Minnesota has a 6-2 record against the spread and a 4-4 straight up record when it allows opponents to shoot above 43.4% from the field.
  • The Timberwolves are hitting 34.9% of their three-point shots this season, 2.6% lower than the 37.5% the Rockets allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Minnesota has put together an 8-6-2 record against the spread and a 5-11 straight-up record in games this season when the team connects on more than 37.5% of its three-point attempts.
  • Houston is 8-9-1 against the spread and 9-9 overall when its opponents shoot higher than 34.9% from deep.
  • The Rockets’ three-point shooting percentage this season (32.8%) is 5.5 percentage points lower than opponents of the Timberwolves are averaging (38.3%).
  • Houston is 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 overall when shooting above 38.3% as a team from three-point range.
  • Minnesota has a 12-3 ATS record and a 7-8 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 32.8% from three-point range.
  • The Timberwolves hit 12.6 three-pointers per game this season, only 0.6 fewer makes per game than the Rockets allow 13.2.
  • Houston has gone 10-9-1 against the spread and 10-10 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Minnesota hits fewer threes than its opponents, it is 3-16 ATS and 2-17 straight up.
  • The Rockets are the 11th-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Timberwolves give up the 11th-fewest makes from deep.

Timberwolves vs Rockets Stat Rankings

Timberwolves Rank Timberwolves AVG Rockets AVG Rockets Rank
22nd 109.3 Points Scored 106.9 25th
28th 117.3 Points Allowed 113.6 23rd
19th 42.9 Rebounds 42.3 25th
14th 10.3 Off. Rebounds 9.1 22nd
16th 12.6 3pt Made 13.2 11th
14th 25 Assists 22.3 28th
21st 13.9 Turnovers 13.8 20th

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