Bucks vs Celtics: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 26, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 26, 2021 - Last Updated on April 2, 2021

The Milwaukee Bucks (29-14) are favored (by 5.5 points) to extend a four-game home win streak when they host the Boston Celtics (21-23) on Friday, March 26, 2021 at 7:30 PM ET. The point total is set at 233 in the matchup.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from FanDuel sportsbook as of March 26, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Bucks vs Celtics Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 26

Bucks:
Bryn Forbes: Day To Day (Toe),
Rodions Kurucs: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
P.J. Tucker: Day To Day (Calf)

Celtics:
Romeo Langford: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Tristan Thompson: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Semi Ojeleye: Out (Hip)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Bucks (-5.5)
Total Pick Under (233)
Prediction Bucks 118, Celtics 110

Both FanDuel and the model expect the Bucks to walk away with the victory, but the model spread (7.9) is 2.4 points further in their direction.

The FanDuel point total for this game is just 4.8 points highter than the model projection.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Bucks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Giannis Antetokounmpo 41 28.6 11.6 6.4 1.2 1.3 1.1
Khris Middleton 43 20.6 6.2 5.4 1.1 0.2 2.2
Jrue Holiday 33 15.8 4.5 5.1 1.8 0.5 1.7
Brook Lopez 43 11.5 5.0 0.7 0.6 1.4 1.5
Bobby Portis 43 11.0 6.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 1.1

Bucks Player Props

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 46.5, 0.1 less than his season average of 46.6.
  • Khris Middleton’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.3 shots greater than his season average of 2.2.
  • Jrue Holiday’s steals prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.3 steals less than his season average of 1.8.

Celtics Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jayson Tatum 38 24.8 6.8 4.3 1.3 0.5 2.7
Jaylen Brown 41 24.7 5.7 3.9 1.2 0.5 2.6
Evan Fournier 26 19.7 2.9 3.7 1.0 0.3 2.8
Kemba Walker 26 17.9 3.5 4.6 1.2 0.3 2.9
Marcus Smart 25 12.7 2.8 5.4 1.5 0.5 1.8

Celtics Player Props

  • Jayson Tatum’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 35.5, 0.4 lower than his season average of 35.9.
  • Marcus Smart’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 21.5, 0.6 higher than his season average of 20.9.
  • Smart’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, equal to his season average of 1.5.

Shooting Trends

  • The Bucks make 48.7% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.9 percentage points higher than the Celtics have allowed to their opponents (46.8%).
  • Milwaukee has a 16-11 record against the spread and a 21-6 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 46.8% from the field.
  • Boston is 14-14 against the spread and 15-13 overall when allowing opponents to shoot higher than 48.7% from the field.
  • The Celtics’ 47% shooting percentage from the field this season is 1.6 percentage points higher than the Bucks have allowed to their opponents (45.4%).
  • This season, Boston has an 18-12 record against the spread and a 19-11 record overall in games the team collectively shoots higher than 45.4% from the field.
  • Milwaukee is 18-8 against the spread and 24-2 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot over 47% from the field.
  • The Bucks are hitting 39.2% of their three-point shots this season, 2.3% higher than the 36.9% the Celtics allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Milwaukee has collected a 14-12 record against the spread and a 20-6 straight-up record in games this season when the team makes more than 36.9% of its three-point shots.
  • Boston has put up a 14-13 against the spread while going 14-13 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot higher than 39.2% from deep.
  • The Celtics shoot 37.7% from three-point distance this season. That’s only 0.6 percentage points higher than the Bucks have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (37.1%).
  • Boston is 17-8 ATS and 18-7 overall when the team hits more than 37.1% of its three-point attempts.
  • Milwaukee has a 17-8 ATS record and a 22-3 straight-up record this season when it hits more than 37.7% of its three-point attempts.
  • The Bucks knock down 14.7 three-pointers per game this season, 1.9 more makes per game than the Celtics allow (12.8).
  • Milwaukee is 13-7 against the spread and 18-2 overall when it connects on more threes than its opponents, while Boston is 7-13 ATS and 8-12 straight up in games when it is out-shot from deep.
  • The Celtics are the 15th-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Bucks allow the 26th-fewest makes from deep.

Bucks vs Celtics Stat Rankings

Bucks Rank Bucks AVG Celtics AVG Celtics Rank
1st 120 Points Scored 112.2 18th
18th 112.6 Points Allowed 111.5 15th
2nd 48.6 Rebounds 43.8 12th
11th 10.4 Off. Rebounds 11 6th
4th 14.7 3pt Made 12.8 15th
10th 26 Assists 22.9 25th
16th 13.5 Turnovers 13.2 13th

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