Nuggets vs Pelicans: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 26, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 26, 2021 - Last Updated on April 2, 2021

Brandon Ingram leads the New Orleans Pelicans (19-24) into a matchup with the Denver Nuggets (26-18) after scoring 36 points in a 128-111 win over the Lakers. The Pelicans are 1.5-point underdogs in the game on Friday, March 26, 2021, which starts at 8:00 PM ET on FS-NO. The matchup has an over/under of 231.5 points.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from FanDuel sportsbook as of March 26, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Nuggets vs Pelicans Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 26

Nuggets:
Greg Whittington: Day To Day (Knee),
Monte Morris: Out (Quad)

Pelicans:
Lonzo Ball: Day To Day (Hip)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Pelicans (+1.5)
Total Pick Under (231.5)
Prediction Nuggets 115, Pelicans 114

The line for this game set by FanDuel and the model’s prediction are essentially the same (within 0.4 points of each other).

The model predicts a total 2.9 points lower than the one set by FanDuel for this game.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Nuggets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Jokic 44 27.0 11.3 8.5 1.6 0.6 1.5
Jamal Murray 42 21.1 4.0 4.8 1.3 0.3 2.7
Michael Porter Jr. 34 16.0 7.4 0.9 0.7 0.9 2.4
Aaron Gordon 25 14.6 6.6 4.2 0.6 0.8 1.7
Will Barton 41 12.7 4.1 3.1 0.9 0.4 1.8

Nuggets Player Props

  • Nikola Jokic’s rebounding prop over/under for the contest is posted at 11.5 boards, 0.2 rebounds higher than his season average of 11.3.
  • Jamal Murray’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 2.5, 0.2 shots less than his season average of 2.7.
  • Jokic’s steals prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.1 steals less than his season average of 1.6.

Pelicans Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Zion Williamson 41 25.7 7.0 3.4 0.9 0.7 0.2
Brandon Ingram 43 24.2 5.1 4.7 0.7 0.7 2.4
Lonzo Ball 38 14.2 4.2 5.6 1.3 0.6 3.0
Eric Bledsoe 42 11.3 3.4 3.7 0.7 0.3 1.7
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 35 9.2 2.8 1.9 1.0 0.4 1.3

Pelicans Player Props

  • Zion Williamson’s PRA prop total for the contest is listed at 41.5, 5.3 greater than his season average of 36.2.
  • Steven Adams’ PRA prop total for the game is set at 23.5, 4.3 higher than his season average of 19.2.
  • Lonzo Ball’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 2.5, 0.5 shots lower than his season average of 3.0.

Shooting Trends

  • The Nuggets are shooting 48.7% from the field this season, 1.5 percentage points higher than the 47.2% the Pelicans allow to opponents.
  • Denver is 14-10 against the spread and 17-7 overall when it shoots better than 47.2% from the field.
  • New Orleans has a 15-10 record against the spread and a 15-10 record overall when allowing its opponents to hit more than 48.7% of their shots from the field.
  • The Pelicans are shooting 48.6% from the field, 1.6% higher than the 47% the Nuggets’ opponents have shot this season.
  • New Orleans has put together a 16-11 record against the spread and a 14-13 straight up record in games it shoots better than 47% from the field.
  • When Denver’s opponents shoot over 48.6% from the field, it is 17-11 against the spread and 22-6 overall.
  • The Nuggets’ 38.4% three-point shooting percentage this season is just 0.7 percentage points lower than opponents of the Pelicans have shot from deep (39.1%).
  • Denver is 12-9 against the spread and 13-8 overall when it shoots better than 39.1% from distance.
  • New Orleans has put up a 13-8 against the spread while going 15-6 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot higher than 38.4% from deep.
  • The Pelicans are hitting 35.4% of their shots from beyond the arc, which is one percentage point fewer than the 36.4% the Nuggets’ opponents are averaging on the season.
  • New Orleans has a 13-5 ATS record and is 13-5 straight-up when the team makes more than 36.4% of its three-point attempts.
  • Denver is 13-9 ATS and 17-5 overall in games it shoots above 35.4% from deep.
  • The Nuggets connect on 13.3 three-pointers per game this season, 2.1 more makes per game than the Pelicans give up (11.2).
  • Denver has gone 9-7 against the spread and 10-6 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When New Orleans makes fewer threes than its opponents, it is 11-21 ATS and 11-22 straight up.
  • The Nuggets rank 10th in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Pelicans allow the most made threes in the league.

Nuggets vs Pelicans Stat Rankings

Nuggets Rank Nuggets AVG Pelicans AVG Pelicans Rank
4th 115.6 Points Scored 115.6 5th
12th 111 Points Allowed 115.2 25th
15th 44.1 Rebounds 46.6 3rd
12th 10.4 Off. Rebounds 11.8 1st
10th 13.3 3pt Made 11.2 23rd
4th 26.8 Assists 26.2 8th
6th 12.6 Turnovers 13.5 17th

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