Brandon Ingram leads the New Orleans Pelicans (19-24) into a matchup with the Denver Nuggets (26-18) after scoring 36 points in a 128-111 win over the Lakers. The Pelicans are 1.5-point underdogs in the game on Friday, March 26, 2021, which starts at 8:00 PM ET on FS-NO. The matchup has an over/under of 231.5 points.
The betting insights in this article reflect data from FanDuel sportsbook as of March 26, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.
Nuggets vs Pelicans Betting Odds
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Injury Report as of March 26
Nuggets:
Greg Whittington: Day To Day (Knee),
Monte Morris: Out (Quad)
Pelicans:
Lonzo Ball: Day To Day (Hip)
Computer Picks
Spread Pick | Pelicans (+1.5) |
---|---|
Total Pick | Under (231.5) |
Prediction | Nuggets 115, Pelicans 114 |
The line for this game set by FanDuel and the model’s prediction are essentially the same (within 0.4 points of each other).
The model predicts a total 2.9 points lower than the one set by FanDuel for this game.
Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.
Nuggets Key Players
Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nikola Jokic | 44 | 27.0 | 11.3 | 8.5 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 1.5 |
Jamal Murray | 42 | 21.1 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.7 |
Michael Porter Jr. | 34 | 16.0 | 7.4 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 2.4 |
Aaron Gordon | 25 | 14.6 | 6.6 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.7 |
Will Barton | 41 | 12.7 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.8 |
Nuggets Player Props
- Nikola Jokic’s rebounding prop over/under for the contest is posted at 11.5 boards, 0.2 rebounds higher than his season average of 11.3.
- Jamal Murray’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 2.5, 0.2 shots less than his season average of 2.7.
- Jokic’s steals prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.1 steals less than his season average of 1.6.
Pelicans Key Players
Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zion Williamson | 41 | 25.7 | 7.0 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
Brandon Ingram | 43 | 24.2 | 5.1 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2.4 |
Lonzo Ball | 38 | 14.2 | 4.2 | 5.6 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 3.0 |
Eric Bledsoe | 42 | 11.3 | 3.4 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 |
Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 35 | 9.2 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.3 |
Pelicans Player Props
- Zion Williamson’s PRA prop total for the contest is listed at 41.5, 5.3 greater than his season average of 36.2.
- Steven Adams’ PRA prop total for the game is set at 23.5, 4.3 higher than his season average of 19.2.
- Lonzo Ball’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 2.5, 0.5 shots lower than his season average of 3.0.
Shooting Trends
- The Nuggets are shooting 48.7% from the field this season, 1.5 percentage points higher than the 47.2% the Pelicans allow to opponents.
- Denver is 14-10 against the spread and 17-7 overall when it shoots better than 47.2% from the field.
- New Orleans has a 15-10 record against the spread and a 15-10 record overall when allowing its opponents to hit more than 48.7% of their shots from the field.
- The Pelicans are shooting 48.6% from the field, 1.6% higher than the 47% the Nuggets’ opponents have shot this season.
- New Orleans has put together a 16-11 record against the spread and a 14-13 straight up record in games it shoots better than 47% from the field.
- When Denver’s opponents shoot over 48.6% from the field, it is 17-11 against the spread and 22-6 overall.
- The Nuggets’ 38.4% three-point shooting percentage this season is just 0.7 percentage points lower than opponents of the Pelicans have shot from deep (39.1%).
- Denver is 12-9 against the spread and 13-8 overall when it shoots better than 39.1% from distance.
- New Orleans has put up a 13-8 against the spread while going 15-6 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot higher than 38.4% from deep.
- The Pelicans are hitting 35.4% of their shots from beyond the arc, which is one percentage point fewer than the 36.4% the Nuggets’ opponents are averaging on the season.
- New Orleans has a 13-5 ATS record and is 13-5 straight-up when the team makes more than 36.4% of its three-point attempts.
- Denver is 13-9 ATS and 17-5 overall in games it shoots above 35.4% from deep.
- The Nuggets connect on 13.3 three-pointers per game this season, 2.1 more makes per game than the Pelicans give up (11.2).
- Denver has gone 9-7 against the spread and 10-6 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When New Orleans makes fewer threes than its opponents, it is 11-21 ATS and 11-22 straight up.
- The Nuggets rank 10th in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Pelicans allow the most made threes in the league.
Nuggets vs Pelicans Stat Rankings
Nuggets Rank | Nuggets AVG | Pelicans AVG | Pelicans Rank | |
---|---|---|---|---|
4th | 115.6 | Points Scored | 115.6 | 5th |
12th | 111 | Points Allowed | 115.2 | 25th |
15th | 44.1 | Rebounds | 46.6 | 3rd |
12th | 10.4 | Off. Rebounds | 11.8 | 1st |
10th | 13.3 | 3pt Made | 11.2 | 23rd |
4th | 26.8 | Assists | 26.2 | 8th |
6th | 12.6 | Turnovers | 13.5 | 17th |
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