Mavericks vs Pacers: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 26, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 26, 2021 - Last Updated on April 2, 2021

The Dallas Mavericks (23-19) play the Indiana Pacers (20-23) as 4.5-point favorites on Friday, March 26, 2021 at 8:30 PM ET on FS-SW. The matchup has a point total of 227.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from FanDuel sportsbook as of March 26, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Mavericks vs Pacers Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 26

Mavericks:
Tyrell Terry: Day To Day (Personal),
JJ Redick: Out (Heel),
Willie Cauley-Stein: Out (Health and Safety Protocols)

Pacers:
T.J. Warren: Out For Season (Foot)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Mavericks (-4.5)
Total Pick Under (227)
Prediction Mavericks 115, Pacers 110

The model projects the Mavericks to win, just as FanDuel does, but the model favors them by slightly more points (5.3 to 4.5).

The model predicts a total 2.1 points lower than the one set by FanDuel for this game.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Mavericks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Luka Doncic 39 28.6 8.3 9.1 1.0 0.6 2.9
Kristaps Porzingis 27 20.0 8.6 1.4 0.4 1.6 2.3
Tim Hardaway Jr. 41 16.5 3.4 1.7 0.5 0.1 3.0
Josh Richardson 33 13.2 3.4 2.7 1.0 0.4 1.6
Jalen Brunson 38 12.3 3.6 3.3 0.5 0.0 1.2

Mavericks Player Props

  • Luka Doncic’s points prop over/under for the contest is set at 27.5, 1.1 points less than his season average of 28.6.
  • Kristaps Porzingis’ rebounding prop over/under for the game is listed at 8.5 rebounds, 0.1 rebounds lower than his season average of 8.6.
  • Tim Hardaway Jr.’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 2.5, 0.5 shots less than his season average of 3.0.
  • Porzingis’ blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.1 blocks lower than his season average of 1.6.

Pacers Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Malcolm Brogdon 41 21.4 4.7 6.0 1.1 0.2 2.6
Domantas Sabonis 43 20.1 11.2 6.2 1.2 0.6 0.8
Caris LeVert 19 17.8 4.3 5.3 1.3 0.3 1.9
Doug McDermott 42 13.4 3.8 1.4 0.3 0.1 1.6
Myles Turner 40 12.8 6.5 1.0 0.9 3.4 1.4

Pacers Player Props

  • Malcolm Brogdon’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 29.5, 2.6 less than his season average of 32.1.
  • T.J. McConnell’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 16.5, 0.8 less than his season average of 17.3.
  • Myles Turner’s blocks prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.9 blocks lower than his season average of 3.4.

Shooting Trends

  • The Mavericks are shooting 47.2% from the field this season, 0.1 percentage points higher than the 47.1% the Pacers allow to opponents.
  • Dallas has a 14-9 record against the spread and a 17-6 straight-up record in games it shoots higher than 47.1% from the field.
  • Indiana’s record is 13-9 against the spread and 14-8 overall when its opponents make more than 47.2% of their shots from the field.
  • The Pacers’ 47.2% shooting percentage from the field this season is 1.3 percentage points higher than the Mavericks have given up to their opponents (45.9%).
  • This season, Indiana has a 15-10 record against the spread and an 18-7 record overall in games the team collectively shoots above 45.9% from the field.
  • When Dallas’ opponents shoot greater than 47.2% from the field, it is 17-9 against the spread and 18-8 overall.
  • The Mavericks shoot 36.3% from deep, two% lower than the 38.3% the Pacers allow to opponents.
  • Dallas is 9-7 against the spread and 11-5 overall when it shoots better than 38.3% from distance.
  • Indiana is 10-7 against the spread and 10-7 overall when its opponents shoot better than 36.3% from deep.
  • The Pacers are making 36.2% of their shots from three-point distance, which is 0.8 percentage points fewer than the 37% the Mavericks’ opponents are averaging on the season.
  • Indiana is 11-8 ATS and 12-7 overall when the team makes more than 37% of its three-point attempts.
  • Dallas has a 13-3 ATS record and a 14-2 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 36.2% from three-point distance.
  • The Mavericks connect on 13.7 three-pointers per game this season, 1.3 more makes per game than the Pacers allow (12.4).
  • When Dallas makes more three-pointers than its opponents, it is 15-4 against the spread and 16-3 overall. When Indiana is out-shot from beyond the arc by its opponents, it is 7-13 ATS and 9-11 straight up.
  • The Pacers are the 19th-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Mavericks give up the 24th-fewest makes from deep.

Mavericks vs Pacers Stat Rankings

Mavericks Rank Mavericks AVG Pacers AVG Pacers Rank
17th 112.5 Points Scored 113.1 12th
14th 111.1 Points Allowed 113.2 21st
23rd 43.2 Rebounds 41.6 29th
26th 8.4 Off. Rebounds 8.7 25th
9th 13.7 3pt Made 12.4 19th
26th 22.8 Assists 26.8 5th
3rd 11.6 Turnovers 13.1 11th

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