Hawks vs Warriors: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 26, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 26, 2021 - Last Updated on April 2, 2021

The Golden State Warriors (22-23) are underdogs (+5) as they attempt to end a three-game losing streak when they host the Atlanta Hawks (22-22) at 10:00 PM ET on Friday, March 26, 2021 at Chase Center. The matchup airs on ESPN. The matchup has an over/under of 220 points.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from William Hill sportsbook as of March 25, 2021, 6:55 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Hawks vs Warriors Betting Odds

Click here to claim your free sports bet (up to $500) at William Hill!

Injury Report as of March 26

Hawks:
Cam Reddish: Out (Achilles),
Kris Dunn: Out (Ankle)

Warriors:
Draymond Green: Out (Illness),
Klay Thompson: Out For Season (Right Achilles),
Stephen Curry: Out (Tailbone)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Warriors (+5)
Total Pick Over (220)
Prediction Warriors 113, Hawks 112

The model line is much more favorable to the Warriors compared to the William Hill line, a 6.3 point difference, and has them favored to win Friday’s game outright. Put your money on the Warriors.

In this matchup, the model projects a total (224.3 points) slightly higher than the William Hill over/under (220 points).

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Hawks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Trae Young 42 25.8 4.0 9.4 0.8 0.2 2.5
John Collins 44 18.1 7.8 1.3 0.5 1.1 1.3
De’Andre Hunter 20 16.0 5.1 2.1 0.9 0.5 1.6
Clint Capela 38 14.7 14.2 0.9 0.7 2.2 0.0
Danilo Gallinari 32 12.8 3.9 1.5 0.6 0.2 2.1

Hawks Player Props

  • Trae Young’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 38.5, 0.7 lower than his season average of 39.2.
  • Clint Capela’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 27.5, 2.3 lower than his season average of 29.8.
  • Young’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 2.5, equal to his season average of 2.5.
  • Capela’s blocks prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.3 blocks higher than his season average of 2.2.

Warriors Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Stephen Curry 39 29.0 5.3 6.2 1.4 0.1 4.7
Andrew Wiggins 45 17.9 4.8 2.2 0.9 0.9 2.0
Kelly Oubre Jr. 43 15.2 5.8 1.4 1.1 0.8 1.6
James Wiseman 31 11.6 5.9 0.6 0.3 1.0 0.4
Jordan Poole 24 11.0 1.7 1.6 0.3 0.1 1.7

Warriors Player Props

  • Stephen Curry’s assists prop over/under for the matchup is listed at 7.5 assists, 0.9 assists lower than his season average of 8.4.
  • Draymond Green’s steals prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.1 steals higher than his season average of 1.4.

Shooting Trends

  • The Hawks are shooting 45.7% from the field this season, 0.8 percentage points higher than the 44.9% the Warriors allow to opponents.
  • Atlanta is 17-9 against the spread and 15-11 overall when it shoots higher than 44.9% from the field.
  • Golden State’s record is 16-10 against the spread and 17-9 overall when its opponents make more than 45.7% of their shots from the field.
  • The Warriors’ 46.2% shooting percentage from the field this season is 0.5 percentage points higher than the Hawks have allowed to their opponents (45.7%).
  • Golden State has compiled a 17-6 record against the spread and a 17-6 straight up record in games it shoots higher than 45.7% from the field.
  • When Atlanta’s opponents shoot greater than 46.2% from the field, it is 16-7-1 against the spread and 19-5 overall.
  • The Hawks’ 36.2% three-point shooting percentage this season is only 0.8 percentage points lower than opponents of the Warriors have shot from deep (37%).
  • Atlanta is 13-3-1 against the spread and 13-4 overall when it shoots better than 37% from distance.
  • Golden State is 14-9 against the spread and 14-9 overall when its opponents shoot better than 36.2% from deep.
  • The Warriors are hitting 36.8% of their shots from deep, which is just 2.1 percentage points greater than the 34.7% the Hawks’ opponents are averaging on the season.
  • Golden State has a 16-10 ATS record and is 17-9 straight-up when the team hits more than 34.7% of its three-point attempts.
  • Atlanta is 16-10 ATS and 16-10 overall in games it shoots above 36.8% from deep.
  • The Hawks connect on 12.6 three-pointers per game this season, 1.2 fewer made shots on average than the 13.8 per game the Warriors give up.
  • Golden State is 16-10 against the spread and 18-8 overall when it hit more three-pointers than its opponents, while Atlanta is 6-15 ATS and 6-15 straight up in games when it is out-shot from distance.
  • The Warriors rank eighth in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Hawks allow the sixth-fewest made threes in the league.

Hawks vs Warriors Stat Rankings

Hawks Rank Hawks AVG Warriors AVG Warriors Rank
16th 112.5 Points Scored 112.7 14th
9th 110.7 Points Allowed 113.6 22nd
6th 45.9 Rebounds 42.9 21st
2nd 11.3 Off. Rebounds 7.8 30th
18th 12.6 3pt Made 13.8 8th
20th 24.1 Assists 27.5 1st
14th 13.3 Turnovers 14.4 25th

Powered By Data Skrive using data from

PlayPicks Staff Avatar
Written by
PlayPicks Staff

PlayPicks staff has years of sports betting and DFS knowledge and we share all of that with you for free daily.

View all posts by PlayPicks Staff
Privacy Policy