The Golden State Warriors (22-23) are underdogs (+5) as they attempt to end a three-game losing streak when they host the Atlanta Hawks (22-22) at 10:00 PM ET on Friday, March 26, 2021 at Chase Center. The matchup airs on ESPN. The matchup has an over/under of 220 points.
The betting insights in this article reflect data from William Hill sportsbook as of March 25, 2021, 6:55 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.
Hawks vs Warriors Betting Odds
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Injury Report as of March 26
Hawks:
Cam Reddish: Out (Achilles),
Kris Dunn: Out (Ankle)
Warriors:
Draymond Green: Out (Illness),
Klay Thompson: Out For Season (Right Achilles),
Stephen Curry: Out (Tailbone)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Warriors (+5) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (220) |
| Prediction | Warriors 113, Hawks 112 |
The model line is much more favorable to the Warriors compared to the William Hill line, a 6.3 point difference, and has them favored to win Friday’s game outright. Put your money on the Warriors.
In this matchup, the model projects a total (224.3 points) slightly higher than the William Hill over/under (220 points).
Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.
Hawks Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young | 42 | 25.8 | 4.0 | 9.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.5 |
| John Collins | 44 | 18.1 | 7.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| De’Andre Hunter | 20 | 16.0 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.6 |
| Clint Capela | 38 | 14.7 | 14.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 0.0 |
| Danilo Gallinari | 32 | 12.8 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.1 |
Hawks Player Props
- Trae Young’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 38.5, 0.7 lower than his season average of 39.2.
- Clint Capela’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 27.5, 2.3 lower than his season average of 29.8.
- Young’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 2.5, equal to his season average of 2.5.
- Capela’s blocks prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.3 blocks higher than his season average of 2.2.
Warriors Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | 39 | 29.0 | 5.3 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 4.7 |
| Andrew Wiggins | 45 | 17.9 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 2.0 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 43 | 15.2 | 5.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| James Wiseman | 31 | 11.6 | 5.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Jordan Poole | 24 | 11.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.7 |
Warriors Player Props
- Stephen Curry’s assists prop over/under for the matchup is listed at 7.5 assists, 0.9 assists lower than his season average of 8.4.
- Draymond Green’s steals prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.1 steals higher than his season average of 1.4.
Shooting Trends
- The Hawks are shooting 45.7% from the field this season, 0.8 percentage points higher than the 44.9% the Warriors allow to opponents.
- Atlanta is 17-9 against the spread and 15-11 overall when it shoots higher than 44.9% from the field.
- Golden State’s record is 16-10 against the spread and 17-9 overall when its opponents make more than 45.7% of their shots from the field.
- The Warriors’ 46.2% shooting percentage from the field this season is 0.5 percentage points higher than the Hawks have allowed to their opponents (45.7%).
- Golden State has compiled a 17-6 record against the spread and a 17-6 straight up record in games it shoots higher than 45.7% from the field.
- When Atlanta’s opponents shoot greater than 46.2% from the field, it is 16-7-1 against the spread and 19-5 overall.
- The Hawks’ 36.2% three-point shooting percentage this season is only 0.8 percentage points lower than opponents of the Warriors have shot from deep (37%).
- Atlanta is 13-3-1 against the spread and 13-4 overall when it shoots better than 37% from distance.
- Golden State is 14-9 against the spread and 14-9 overall when its opponents shoot better than 36.2% from deep.
- The Warriors are hitting 36.8% of their shots from deep, which is just 2.1 percentage points greater than the 34.7% the Hawks’ opponents are averaging on the season.
- Golden State has a 16-10 ATS record and is 17-9 straight-up when the team hits more than 34.7% of its three-point attempts.
- Atlanta is 16-10 ATS and 16-10 overall in games it shoots above 36.8% from deep.
- The Hawks connect on 12.6 three-pointers per game this season, 1.2 fewer made shots on average than the 13.8 per game the Warriors give up.
- Golden State is 16-10 against the spread and 18-8 overall when it hit more three-pointers than its opponents, while Atlanta is 6-15 ATS and 6-15 straight up in games when it is out-shot from distance.
- The Warriors rank eighth in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Hawks allow the sixth-fewest made threes in the league.
Hawks vs Warriors Stat Rankings
| Hawks Rank | Hawks AVG | Warriors AVG | Warriors Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16th | 112.5 | Points Scored | 112.7 | 14th |
| 9th | 110.7 | Points Allowed | 113.6 | 22nd |
| 6th | 45.9 | Rebounds | 42.9 | 21st |
| 2nd | 11.3 | Off. Rebounds | 7.8 | 30th |
| 18th | 12.6 | 3pt Made | 13.8 | 8th |
| 20th | 24.1 | Assists | 27.5 | 1st |
| 14th | 13.3 | Turnovers | 14.4 | 25th |
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