Bucks vs Celtics: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 24, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 24, 2021 - Last Updated on April 2, 2021

The Milwaukee Bucks (28-14) are 6-point favorites as they look to continue a three-game home win streak when they host the Boston Celtics (21-21) on Wednesday, March 24, 2021 at Fiserv Forum. The matchup airs at 7:30 PM ET on ESPN. The over/under is 230 for the matchup.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from William Hill sportsbook as of March 24, 2021, 10:55 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Bucks vs Celtics Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 24

Bucks:
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Day To Day (Knee),
P.J. Tucker: Day To Day (Ankle),
Bryn Forbes: Day To Day (Toe),
Rodions Kurucs: Out (Health and Safety Protocols)

Celtics:
Romeo Langford: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Tristan Thompson: Out (Health and Safety Protocols)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Bucks (-6)
Total Pick Under (230)
Prediction Bucks 118, Celtics 110

The model projects the Bucks to win, just as William Hill does, but the model favors them by a small margin more (7.4 to 6).

In this matchup, the model projects a total (228.0 points) marginally lower than the William Hill over/under (230 points).

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Bucks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Giannis Antetokounmpo 40 29.0 11.7 6.4 1.2 1.3 1.2
Khris Middleton 42 20.4 6.0 5.5 1.1 0.2 2.2
Jrue Holiday 32 15.9 4.6 5.2 1.8 0.5 1.8
Brook Lopez 42 11.4 5.0 0.7 0.6 1.4 1.5
Bobby Portis 42 10.8 6.9 1.1 0.8 0.4 1.1

Celtics Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jayson Tatum 37 24.9 6.8 4.3 1.3 0.4 2.7
Jaylen Brown 40 24.7 5.6 3.9 1.3 0.6 2.5
Kemba Walker 25 17.7 3.6 4.6 1.1 0.3 2.8
Marcus Smart 24 12.8 2.8 5.4 1.5 0.5 1.8
Daniel Theis 41 9.4 5.3 1.6 0.6 1.0 0.8

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Bucks have a 48.7% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.9% higher than the 46.8% of shots the Celtics’ opponents have made.
  • In games Milwaukee shoots higher than 46.8% from the field, it is 16-10 against the spread and 20-6 overall.
  • Boston’s record is 14-13 against the spread and 15-12 overall when its opponents make more than 48.7% of their shots from the field.
  • The Celtics’ 47% shooting percentage from the field this season is 1.7 percentage points higher than the Bucks have given up to their opponents (45.3%).
  • Boston is 18-13 against the spread and 20-11 overall when it shoots better than 45.3% from the field.
  • This season, Milwaukee has an 18-8 record against the spread and a 24-2 straight up record when it allows opponents to shoot over 47% from the field.
  • The Bucks’ 39.1% three-point shooting percentage this season is 2.5 percentage points higher than opponents of the Celtics have shot from beyond the arc (36.6%).
  • Milwaukee has collected a 14-12 record against the spread and a 20-6 straight-up record in games this season when the team makes more than 36.6% of its three-point attempts.
  • Boston is 14-13 against the spread and 14-13 overall when its opponents shoot higher than 39.1% from deep.
  • The Celtics’ three-point shooting percentage this season (37.8%) is just 0.8 percentage points higher than opponents of the Bucks are averaging (37%).
  • Boston is 16-8 ATS and 18-6 overall when the team makes more than 37% of its three-point attempts.
  • Milwaukee has a 17-8 ATS record and a 22-3 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 37.8% from three-point distance.
  • The Bucks’ 14.7 made three-pointers per game this season is two more made shots on average than the 12.7 per game the Celtics give up.
  • When Milwaukee makes more threes than its opponents, it is 13-7 against the spread and 18-2 overall. When Boston is out-shot from deep by its opponents, it is 7-12 ATS and 8-11 straight up.
  • The Bucks make the fourth-most three-pointers in the league, while the Celtics give up the 12th-fewest makes from beyond the arc.

Bucks vs Celtics Stat Rankings

Bucks Rank Bucks AVG Celtics AVG Celtics Rank
2nd 120 Points Scored 112.3 17th
18th 112.5 Points Allowed 111.4 15th
2nd 48.7 Rebounds 44 11th
13th 10.3 Off. Rebounds 11.1 6th
4th 14.7 3pt Made 12.7 17th
10th 26.2 Assists 23 25th
15th 13.4 Turnovers 13.4 13th

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