Nuggets vs Raptors: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 24, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 24, 2021 - Last Updated on April 2, 2021

The Denver Nuggets (26-17) are slightly favored (by 1.5 points) to extend a six-game road win streak when they visit the Toronto Raptors (17-26) on Wednesday, March 24, 2021 at 7:30 PM ET. The matchup has an over/under set at 224 points.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from William Hill sportsbook as of March 23, 2021, 11:55 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Nuggets vs Raptors Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 24

Nuggets:
Gary Harris: Out (Adductor),
Greg Whittington: Out (Knee),
Monte Morris: Out (Quad)

Raptors: None

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Nuggets (-1.5)
Total Pick Over (224)
Prediction Nuggets 114, Raptors 111

Both William Hill and the model expect the Nuggets to walk away with the victory, but the model spread (2.7) is 1.2 points further in their direction.

The model projects a total 1.4 points higher than the one set by William Hill for this game.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Nuggets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Jokic 43 27.1 11.3 8.6 1.6 0.7 1.6
Jamal Murray 41 21.1 4.0 4.8 1.3 0.3 2.7
Michael Porter Jr. 33 15.9 7.4 0.9 0.8 1.0 2.3
Will Barton 40 13.0 4.1 3.2 0.9 0.4 1.8
Monte Morris 36 10.4 2.2 3.4 0.7 0.3 1.1

Raptors Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Fred VanVleet 38 20.1 4.4 6.5 1.8 0.8 3.3
Pascal Siakam 34 19.8 7.3 4.7 1.1 0.7 1.2
Norman Powell 41 19.5 3.0 1.8 1.1 0.2 2.8
Kyle Lowry 36 17.6 5.6 7.4 1.1 0.2 2.8
OG Anunoby 25 14.0 5.7 1.6 1.8 0.8 2.2

Shooting Trends

  • The Nuggets are shooting 48.8% from the field this season, 2.8 percentage points higher than the 46% the Raptors allow to opponents.
  • In games Denver shoots higher than 46% from the field, it is 15-12 against the spread and 19-8 overall.
  • Toronto has a 17-16 record against the spread and a 16-17 record overall when allowing its opponents to knock down more than 48.8% of their shots from the field.
  • The Raptors are shooting 44.7% from the field, 2.2% lower than the 46.9% the Nuggets’ opponents have shot this season.
  • Toronto is 11-4 against the spread and 9-6 overall when it shoots higher than 46.9% from the field.
  • Denver is 11-3 against the spread and 13-1 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot higher than 44.7% from the field.
  • The Nuggets shoot 38.6% from beyond the arc, 0.8% higher than the 37.8% the Raptors allow to opponents.
  • Denver is 12-12 against the spread and 14-10 overall when it shoots better than 37.8% from distance.
  • Toronto has put up a 16-5 against the spread while going 13-8 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot higher than 38.6% from deep.
  • The Raptors’ three-point shooting percentage this season (37.6%) is just 1.6 percentage points higher than opponents of the Nuggets are averaging (36%).
  • Toronto is 15-9 ATS and 13-11 overall when the team hits more than 36% of its three-point attempts.
  • Denver is 14-11 ATS and 18-7 overall in games it shoots over 37.6% from deep.
  • The Nuggets hit 13.3 three-pointers per game this season, two fewer made shots on average than the 15.3 per game the Raptors allow.
  • When Toronto makes more threes than its opponents, it is 16-7 against the spread and 14-9 overall. When Denver is out-shot from deep by its opponents, it is 8-13 ATS and 11-10 straight up.
  • The Raptors make the third-most three-pointers in the league, while the Nuggets give up the 18th-fewest makes from beyond the arc.

Nuggets vs Raptors Stat Rankings

Nuggets Rank Nuggets AVG Raptors AVG Raptors Rank
4th 115.7 Points Scored 112 18th
9th 110.4 Points Allowed 112.4 19th
15th 44 Rebounds 40.9 30th
16th 10.2 Off. Rebounds 9.2 21st
10th 13.3 3pt Made 15.3 3rd
4th 26.9 Assists 25 14th
5th 12.7 Turnovers 12.9 9th

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