Mavericks vs Timberwolves: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 24, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 24, 2021 - Last Updated on April 2, 2021

Karl-Anthony Towns leads the Minnesota Timberwolves (10-33) into a matchup with the Dallas Mavericks (22-19) after scoring 33 points in a 112-103 loss to the Thunder. The Mavericks are 8-point favorites in the matchup on Wednesday, March 24, 2021, which starts at 8:00 PM ET on FS-N. The matchup’s point total is set at 229.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from William Hill sportsbook as of March 23, 2021, 11:55 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Mavericks vs Timberwolves Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 24

Mavericks:
Tyrell Terry: Day To Day (Personal),
Willie Cauley-Stein: Day To Day (Health and Safety Protocols)

Timberwolves:
Jordan McLaughlin: Day To Day (Health and Safety Protocols),
D’Angelo Russell: Out (Leg)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Timberwolves (+8)
Total Pick Under (229.5)
Prediction Mavericks 116, Timberwolves 109

The model favors the Mavericks by 6.3 points, just 1.7 less than the 8-point spread set by William Hill.

In this matchup, the model projects a total (224.8 points) slightly lower than the William Hill over/under (229.5 points).

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Mavericks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Luka Doncic 38 29.0 8.4 9.2 1.0 0.6 2.9
Kristaps Porzingis 26 19.7 8.6 1.3 0.4 1.6 2.2
Tim Hardaway Jr. 40 16.4 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.2 3.0
Josh Richardson 32 13.3 3.3 2.7 1.0 0.4 1.6
Jalen Brunson 37 12.2 3.4 3.2 0.5 0.0 1.3

Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Karl-Anthony Towns 23 23.6 10.2 4.0 0.9 1.6 2.2
D’Angelo Russell 20 19.3 2.6 5.1 1.1 0.5 3.0
Anthony Edwards 43 16.7 4.3 2.6 1.0 0.4 2.1
Naz Reid 41 11.4 4.6 1.2 0.6 1.1 0.9
Jaylen Nowell 29 10.5 2.2 1.4 0.5 0.3 1.5

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Mavericks have a 47.1% shooting percentage from the field, which is 0.9% lower than the 48% of shots the Timberwolves’ opponents have made.
  • Dallas has an 11-9 record against the spread and a 14-6 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 48% from the field.
  • Minnesota has a 10-7-1 record against the spread and a 7-11 record overall when allowing its opponents to hit more than 47.1% of their shots from the field.
  • The Timberwolves’ 44.3% shooting percentage from the field this season is 1.6 percentage points lower than the Mavericks have given up to their opponents (45.9%).
  • Minnesota has compiled a 7-5-1 record against the spread and a 4-9 straight up record in games it shoots higher than 45.9% from the field.
  • Dallas is 12-2 against the spread and 12-2 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot greater than 44.3% from the field.
  • The Mavericks are knocking down 36.3% of their three-point shots this season, 2.1% lower than the 38.4% the Timberwolves allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Dallas is 9-7 against the spread and 11-5 overall when it shoots better than 38.4% from distance.
  • Minnesota has put up a 13-5 against the spread while going 7-11 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot better than 36.3% from downtown.
  • The Timberwolves shoot 35% from beyond the arc this season. That’s 2.1 percentage points lower than the Mavericks have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (37.1%).
  • Minnesota is 9-7-1 ATS and 5-12 overall when the team hits more than 37.1% of its three-point attempts.
  • Dallas is 12-1 ATS and 12-1 overall in games it shoots above 35% from deep.
  • The Mavericks connect on 13.7 three-pointers per game this season, one more make per game than the Timberwolves give up (12.7).
  • When Dallas makes more three-pointers than its opponents, it is 14-4 against the spread and 15-3 overall. When Minnesota is out-shot from beyond the arc by its opponents, it is 3-15 ATS and 2-16 straight up.
  • The Mavericks rank ninth in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Timberwolves allow the eighth-fewest made threes in the league.

Mavericks vs Timberwolves Stat Rankings

Mavericks Rank Mavericks AVG Timberwolves AVG Timberwolves Rank
16th 112.1 Points Scored 109.4 23rd
14th 111.1 Points Allowed 117.1 28th
26th 43 Rebounds 43.1 21st
27th 8.2 Off. Rebounds 10.4 11th
9th 13.7 3pt Made 12.7 16th
27th 22.7 Assists 25 13th
3rd 11.6 Turnovers 14 20th

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