Nuggets vs Magic: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 23, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 23, 2021 - Last Updated on April 2, 2021

The Denver Nuggets (25-17) are favored (by 7.5 points) to extend a five-game road win streak when they visit the Orlando Magic (14-28) on Tuesday, March 23, 2021 at 7:00 PM ET. The over/under is set at 216.5 in the matchup.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from William Hill sportsbook as of March 23, 2021, 12:55 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Nuggets vs Magic Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 23

Nuggets:
Gary Harris: Day To Day (Adductor),
Greg Whittington: Day To Day (Knee),
Monte Morris: Out (Quad)

Magic:
Jonathan Isaac: Out For Season (Knee),
Cole Anthony: Out (Rib),
Markelle Fultz: Out For Season (Knee),
Terrence Ross: Day To Day (Knee),
Chasson Randle: Day To Day (Groin),
Mo Bamba: Day To Day (Hamstring/Toe)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Nuggets (-7.5)
Total Pick Over (216.5)
Prediction Nuggets 115, Magic 106

The William Hill line for this game has the Nuggets favored by 7.5, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (8.3 points).

The William Hill point total for this game is just 4.7 points lower than the model projection.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Nuggets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Jokic 42 27.1 11.2 8.6 1.6 0.6 1.5
Jamal Murray 40 21.1 4.0 4.8 1.3 0.3 2.7
Michael Porter Jr. 32 15.9 7.4 0.9 0.8 1.0 2.3
Will Barton 39 12.9 4.1 3.2 0.8 0.4 1.8
Monte Morris 36 10.4 2.2 3.4 0.7 0.3 1.1

Magic Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Vucevic 42 24.6 11.8 3.8 1.0 0.6 2.7
Evan Fournier 24 19.1 3.1 3.6 1.1 0.3 2.7
Terrence Ross 36 16.0 3.6 2.3 1.1 0.5 2.3
Aaron Gordon 23 14.7 6.8 4.1 0.7 0.7 1.8
Cole Anthony 25 11.0 4.4 3.8 0.7 0.4 1.1

Shooting Trends

  • The Nuggets make 48.8% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.1 percentage points higher than the Magic have allowed to their opponents (46.7%).
  • In games Denver shoots better than 46.7% from the field, it is 13-10 against the spread and 16-7 overall.
  • Orlando has a 14-12-1 record against the spread and an 11-16 record overall when allowing its opponents to hit more than 48.8% of their shots from the field.
  • The Magic’s 43.1% shooting percentage from the field this season is 3.9 percentage points lower than the Nuggets have given up to their opponents (47%).
  • Orlando is 10-0 against the spread and 9-1 overall when it shoots better than 47% from the field.
  • Denver is 7-2 against the spread and 9-0 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot above 43.1% from the field.
  • The Nuggets are making 38.8% of their three-point shots this season, two% higher than the 36.8% the Magic allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Denver is 13-13 against the spread and 15-11 overall when it shoots better than 36.8% from distance.
  • Orlando is 16-9 against the spread and 12-13 overall when its opponents shoot better than 38.8% from deep.
  • The Magic’s three-point shooting percentage this season (35.7%) is just 0.4 percentage points lower than opponents of the Nuggets are averaging (36.1%).
  • Orlando has a 12-6-1 ATS record and is 8-11 straight-up when the team makes more than 36.1% of its three-point attempts.
  • Denver is 12-10 ATS and 16-6 overall in games it shoots above 35.7% from deep.
  • The Nuggets connect on 13.5 three-pointers per game this season, 1.5 more made shots on average than the 12 per game the Magic give up.
  • Denver has gone 9-7 against the spread and 10-6 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Orlando hits fewer threes than its opponents, it is 8-16-1 ATS and 5-20 straight up.
  • The Magic are the 21st-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Nuggets give up the 19th-fewest makes from deep.

Nuggets vs Magic Stat Rankings

Nuggets Rank Nuggets AVG Magic AVG Magic Rank
4th 115.9 Points Scored 104.5 29th
9th 110.7 Points Allowed 111.3 13th
15th 43.9 Rebounds 46.5 8th
16th 10.2 Off. Rebounds 10.5 9th
10th 13.5 3pt Made 12 21st
4th 26.9 Assists 22.6 27th
6th 12.7 Turnovers 12.7 5th

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