Bucks vs Spurs: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 20, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 20, 2021 - Last Updated on March 29, 2021

Two hot teams meet when the Milwaukee Bucks (26-14) host the San Antonio Spurs (22-16) on Saturday, March 20, 2021 at 9:00 PM ET. The Spurs are 10-point underdogs and will try to keep their five-game win streak allive against the Bucks, who have won five straight. The matchup has an over/under set at 226.5 points.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from FanDuel sportsbook as of March 20, 2021, 4:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Bucks vs Spurs Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 20

Bucks:
Rodions Kurucs: Day To Day (Abdominal)

Spurs:
Keita Bates-Diop: Out (Hamstring),
LaMarcus Aldridge: Out (Not With Team)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Spurs (+10)
Total Pick Under (226.5)
Prediction Bucks 117, Spurs 109

The model and FanDuel both have the Bucks taking home the victory, but the model has them winning by slightly less (8.2 points). Lean towards taking the Spurs.

The model’s predicted total (226.0 points) and the FanDuel set total (226.5 points) are virtually the same for this contest.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Bucks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Giannis Antetokounmpo 39 29.1 11.8 6.2 1.2 1.3 1.1
Khris Middleton 40 20.2 6.0 5.5 1.1 0.2 2.2
Jrue Holiday 30 15.4 4.5 5.0 1.8 0.5 1.6
Brook Lopez 40 11.2 5.1 0.8 0.6 1.5 1.6
Bobby Portis 40 10.8 6.9 1.0 0.8 0.4 1.1

Spurs Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
DeMar DeRozan 31 20.3 4.6 7.3 0.9 0.3 0.5
Dejounte Murray 38 15.8 7.0 5.2 1.5 0.1 0.9
Keldon Johnson 35 13.9 6.6 2.0 0.7 0.6 0.9
Patty Mills 38 13.0 1.7 2.6 0.7 0.0 2.7
Derrick White 14 12.6 2.3 3.4 0.7 1.1 1.8

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Bucks have a 48.5% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.9% higher than the 46.6% of shots the Spurs’ opponents have knocked down.
  • In games Milwaukee shoots better than 46.6% from the field, it is 15-9 against the spread and 18-6 overall.
  • San Antonio is 18-7 against the spread and 17-8 overall when allowing opponents to shoot better than 48.5% from the field.
  • The Spurs’ 45.7% shooting percentage from the field this season is 0.3 percentage points higher than the Bucks have allowed to their opponents (45.4%).
  • San Antonio has compiled a 14-8 record against the spread and a 14-8 straight up record in games it shoots higher than 45.4% from the field.
  • When Milwaukee’s opponents shoot above 45.7% from the field, it is 16-5 against the spread and 21-0 overall.
  • The Bucks’ 38.6% three-point shooting percentage this season is only 1.1 percentage points higher than opponents of the Spurs have shot from beyond the arc (37.5%).
  • Milwaukee is 12-10 against the spread and 17-5 overall when it shoots better than 37.5% from distance.
  • San Antonio is 18-4 against the spread while putting up a 17-5 straight-up record when its opponents shoot above 38.6% from three-point distance.
  • The Spurs shoot 36.1% from three-point distance this season. That’s just 1.3 percentage points lower than the Bucks have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (37.4%).
  • San Antonio is 13-6 against the spread and 13-6 overall when shooting above 37.4% as a team from three-point range.
  • Milwaukee has a 15-5 ATS record and a 19-1 straight-up record this season when it connects on more than 36.1% of its three-point attempts.
  • The Bucks knock down 14.4 three-pointers per game this season, 3.7 more made shots on average than the 10.7 per game the Spurs allow.
  • Milwaukee is 12-6 against the spread and 16-2 overall when it makes more three-pointers than its opponents, while San Antonio is 9-16 ATS and 10-15 straight up in games when it is out-shot from the three-point line.
  • The Spurs rank 27th in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Bucks give up the 27th-fewest made threes in the league.

Bucks vs Spurs Stat Rankings

Bucks Rank Bucks AVG Spurs AVG Spurs Rank
2nd 119.5 Points Scored 110.2 22nd
18th 112.4 Points Allowed 110.1 7th
2nd 48.5 Rebounds 44.4 18th
10th 10.5 Off. Rebounds 9.3 20th
5th 14.4 3pt Made 10.7 27th
10th 26 Assists 24.7 17th
14th 13.4 Turnovers 10.9 1st

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