Spurs vs Cavaliers: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 19, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 19, 2021 - Last Updated on March 29, 2021

The San Antonio Spurs (21-16) visit the Cleveland Cavaliers (15-25) in a matchup of Southwest Division teams at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse, beginning at 7:30 PM ET on Friday, March 19, 2021. The Spurs are 4.5-point favorites in the game, the first matchup between the teams this season. The matchup has a point total of 210.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of March 19, 2021, 12:05 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Spurs vs Cavaliers Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 19

DeMar DeRozan: Out (Personal),
Keita Bates-Diop: Out (Hamstring),
LaMarcus Aldridge: Out (Not With Team)

Andre Drummond: Out (Not with team),
Taurean Prince: Out (Shoulder),
Kevin Love: Out (Calf),
Matthew Dellavedova: Out (Appendicitis)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Cavaliers (+4.5)
Total Pick Over (210.5)
Prediction Spurs 111, Cavaliers 107

The model line and the DraftKings line are within 0.2 points of each other.

The model projects a total (217.8 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup (210.5 points). Take the over.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Spurs Key Players

DeMar DeRozan 30 20.3 4.7 7.3 1.0 0.3 0.6
Dejounte Murray 37 15.6 7.0 5.2 1.5 0.1 1.0
Keldon Johnson 34 13.7 6.2 2.0 0.7 0.5 0.9
Patty Mills 37 13.1 1.8 2.6 0.7 0.0 2.7
Derrick White 13 12.3 2.2 3.5 0.8 1.2 1.8

Spurs Player Props

  • Jakob Poeltl’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 21.5, 4.9 higher than his season average of 16.6.
  • Patty Mills’ three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.2 shots less than his season average of 2.7.
  • Poeltl’s blocks prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 1.0 block higher than his season average of 1.5.

Cavaliers Key Players

Collin Sexton 35 23.7 2.7 4.3 1.1 0.1 1.6
Andre Drummond 25 17.5 13.5 2.6 1.6 1.2 0.0
Darius Garland 31 16.1 2.2 5.8 1.1 0.1 1.7
Jarrett Allen 39 12.8 9.8 1.7 0.4 1.7 0.1
Cedi Osman 39 10.6 3.5 2.7 0.9 0.2 1.9

Cavaliers Player Props

  • Collin Sexton’s PRA prop total for the matchup is set at 30.5, 0.2 lower than his season average of 30.7.
  • Darius Garland’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 20.5, 3.6 lower than his season average of 24.1.
  • Cedi Osman’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.4 shots lower than his season average of 1.9.
  • Larry Nance Jr.’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.3 steals lower than his season average of 1.8.

Shooting Trends

  • The Spurs make 45.7% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.3 percentage points lower than the Cavaliers have allowed to their opponents (48%).
  • San Antonio has a 9-0 record against the spread and a 9-0 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 48% from the field.
  • Cleveland is 11-6 against the spread and 12-5 overall when allowing opponents to shoot higher than 45.7% from the field.
  • The Cavaliers are shooting 45.2% from the field, 1.4% lower than the 46.6% the Spurs’ opponents have shot this season.
  • Cleveland has compiled an 11-3 record against the spread and a 10-4 straight up record in games it shoots over 46.6% from the field.
  • This season, San Antonio has a 14-3 record against the spread and a 12-5 straight up record when it allows opponents to shoot above 45.2% from the field.
  • The Spurs are knocking down 36.1% of their three-point shots this season, three% lower than the 39.1% the Cavaliers allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • San Antonio is 9-5-1 against the spread and 10-5 overall when it shoots better than 39.1% from distance.
  • Cleveland is 12-5 against the spread while putting together an 11-6 straight-up record when its opponents shoot above 36.1% from beyond the arc.
  • The Cavaliers are hitting 34% of their shots from three-point distance, which is 3.7 percentage points fewer than the 37.7% the Spurs’ opponents are averaging on the season.
  • Cleveland is 11-4 against the spread and 9-6 overall when shooting above 37.7% as a team from three-point range.
  • San Antonio has an 11-2 ATS record and a 10-3 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 34% from three-point distance.
  • The Spurs make 10.8 three-pointers per game this season, 1.4 more makes per game than the Cavaliers give up (9.4).
  • When San Antonio makes more three-pointers than its opponents, it is 10-0 against the spread and 9-1 overall. When Cleveland is out-shot from beyond the arc by its opponents, it is 7-20 ATS and 7-20 straight up.
  • The Spurs are the 25th-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Cavaliers give up the 14th-fewest makes from deep.

Spurs vs Cavaliers Stat Rankings

Spurs Rank Spurs AVG Cavaliers AVG Cavaliers Rank
22nd 110.1 Points Scored 103.6 30th
7th 110.1 Points Allowed 111.8 16th
18th 44.3 Rebounds 43.2 12th
23rd 9.1 Off. Rebounds 11.3 2nd
25th 10.8 3pt Made 9.4 30th
17th 24.8 Assists 23.2 23rd
1st 10.8 Turnovers 14.8 28th

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