Suns vs Timberwolves: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 19, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 19, 2021 - Last Updated on March 29, 2021

A game after he put up 42 points in a 123-119 win over the Suns, Anthony Edwards leads the Minnesota Timberwolves (10-31) on the road against the Phoenix Suns (26-13) as 10.5-point underdogs. The matchup, which airs on FS-N, tips off at 10:00 PM ET on Friday, March 19, 2021. The point total is set at 231 in the matchup.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from FanDuel sportsbook as of March 19, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Suns vs Timberwolves Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 19

Suns:
Cameron Johnson: Out (Health and Safety Protocols)

Timberwolves:
Jordan McLaughlin: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Jarrett Culver: Out (Toe),
D’Angelo Russell: Out (Leg)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Suns (-10.5)
Total Pick Under (231)
Prediction Suns 121, Timberwolves 103

The Suns are the bet in this contest. They’re favored by 6.9 more points in the model than FanDuel (17.4 to 10.5).

In this game, the model projects a total (224.2 points) slightly lower than the FanDuel over/under (231 points).

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Suns Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Devin Booker 35 25.4 3.7 4.7 0.8 0.3 2.1
Chris Paul 38 15.9 4.7 8.7 1.4 0.2 1.5
Deandre Ayton 39 14.4 11.0 1.6 0.4 1.1 0.1
Mikal Bridges 39 13.7 4.8 2.4 0.7 0.9 1.9
Dario Saric 21 11.3 4.4 1.3 0.7 0.1 1.3

Suns Player Props

  • Deandre Ayton’s blocks prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.4 blocks higher than his season average of 1.1.

Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Karl-Anthony Towns 21 23.1 10.3 4.3 0.9 1.6 2.0
D’Angelo Russell 20 19.3 2.6 5.1 1.1 0.5 3.0
Anthony Edwards 41 16.8 4.2 2.5 1.0 0.4 2.1
Naz Reid 39 11.6 4.7 1.2 0.6 1.2 0.8
Jaylen Nowell 27 10.2 2.3 1.3 0.4 0.3 1.4

Shooting Trends

  • The Suns make 49% of their shots from the field this season, which is one percentage point higher than the Timberwolves have allowed to their opponents (48%).
  • Phoenix has a 20-5 record against the spread and a 20-5 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 48% from the field.
  • Minnesota has a 14-9 record against the spread and a 9-14 record overall when allowing its opponents to make more than 49% of their shots from the field.
  • The Timberwolves have shot at a 44.4% rate from the field this season, 1.6 percentage points below the 46% shooting opponents of the Suns have averaged.
  • Minnesota is 8-3-1 against the spread and 4-8 overall when it shoots better than 46% from the field.
  • When Phoenix’s opponents shoot above 44.4% from the field, it is 13-2 against the spread and 13-2 overall.
  • The Suns’ 38.4% three-point shooting percentage this season is just 0.8 percentage points higher than opponents of the Timberwolves have shot from deep (37.6%).
  • Phoenix has a 16-5 record against the spread and a 16-5 record overall when the team makes more than 37.6% of its three-point shots.
  • Minnesota is 15-6-1 against the spread while putting together a 9-13 straight-up record when its opponents shoot over 38.4% from downtown.
  • The Timberwolves’ three-point shooting percentage this season (34.9%) is -0.3 percentage points lower than opponents of the Suns are averaging (34.6%).
  • Minnesota is 13-8 against the spread and 7-14 overall when shooting over 34.6% as a team from three-point range.
  • Phoenix is 15-4 ATS and 15-4 overall in games it shoots above 34.9% from deep.
  • The Suns’ 13.3 made three-pointers per game this season are just 0.7 more made shots on average than the 12.6 per game the Timberwolves give up.
  • When Phoenix makes more threes than its opponents, it is 18-7 against the spread and 18-7 overall. When Minnesota is out-shot from beyond the arc by its opponents, it is 3-13 ATS and 2-14 straight up.
  • The Timberwolves rank 17th in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Suns give up the second-fewest made threes in the league.

Suns vs Timberwolves Stat Rankings

Suns Rank Suns AVG Timberwolves AVG Timberwolves Rank
11th 114.2 Points Scored 109.7 23rd
4th 108 Points Allowed 117.3 28th
28th 43.2 Rebounds 43.2 21st
27th 8.2 Off. Rebounds 10.5 9th
11th 13.3 3pt Made 12.6 17th
2nd 27.2 Assists 25.1 13th
8th 12.8 Turnovers 13.9 19th

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