Mavericks vs Trail Blazers: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 19, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 19, 2021 - Last Updated on March 29, 2021

Luka Doncic leads the Dallas Mavericks (21-18) against the Portland Trail Blazers (24-16) after putting up 42 points in a 105-89 win over the Clippers. The Mavericks are 3-point favorites in the matchup on Friday, March 19, 2021, which starts at 10:00 PM ET on NBCS-NW. The matchup’s over/under is set at 234.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from William Hill sportsbook as of March 18, 2021, 5:25 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Mavericks vs Trail Blazers Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 19

Tyrell Terry: Out (Personal),
Dorian Finney-Smith: Out (Personal),
James Johnson: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Willie Cauley-Stein: Out (Health Protocols)

Trail Blazers:
Jusuf Nurkic: Out (Wrist),
Zach Collins: Out (Ankle)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Trail Blazers (+3)
Total Pick Under (234)
Prediction Trail Blazers 114, Mavericks 113

While William Hill has the Mavericks winning by three, the model has the Trail Blazers taking home the victory, with a considerable margin between the two spreads (4.2 points). Take the Trail Blazers.

In this matchup, the model projects a total (226.7 points) much lower than the William Hill over/under (234 points). Bet on the under.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Mavericks Key Players

Luka Doncic 36 28.5 8.4 9.3 1.0 0.7 2.8
Kristaps Porzingis 24 20.4 8.6 1.2 0.4 1.6 2.3
Tim Hardaway Jr. 38 16.3 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.2 2.9
Josh Richardson 30 13.3 3.2 2.7 1.0 0.4 1.6
Jalen Brunson 35 12.6 3.5 3.3 0.5 0.0 1.3

Mavericks Player Props

  • Doncic’s assists prop total for the matchup is set at 8.5 assists, 0.8 assists less than his season average of 9.3.
  • Kristaps Porzingis’ rebounding prop over/under for the matchup is set at 8.5 rebounds, 0.1 rebounds less than his season average of 8.6.
  • Tim Hardaway Jr.’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.4 shots less than his season average of 2.9.
  • Porzingis’ blocks prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.1 blocks lower than his season average of 1.6.

Trail Blazers Key Players

Damian Lillard 39 30.6 4.5 7.8 0.9 0.3 4.4
CJ McCollum 15 24.5 3.8 4.6 1.2 0.3 4.5
Gary Trent Jr. 38 15.2 2.2 1.5 0.9 0.2 3.0
Carmelo Anthony 39 14.1 3.3 1.8 0.9 0.8 1.8
Enes Kanter 40 12.1 11.6 1.2 0.6 0.7 0.0

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Mavericks have a 46.7% shooting percentage from the field, which is one% lower than the 47.7% of shots the Trail Blazers’ opponents have knocked down.
  • Dallas is 10-8 against the spread and 13-5 overall when it shoots higher than 47.7% from the field.
  • Portland is 11-5 against the spread and 11-5 overall when allowing opponents to shoot better than 46.7% from the field.
  • The Trail Blazers are shooting 44.6% from the field, 1.5% lower than the 46.1% the Mavericks’ opponents have shot this season.
  • This season, Portland has a 10-6 record against the spread and a 14-2 record overall in games the team collectively shoots better than 46.1% from the field.
  • This season, Dallas has a 12-2 record against the spread and a 12-2 straight up record when it allows opponents to shoot higher than 44.6% from the field.
  • The Mavericks’ 35.6% three-point shooting percentage this season is just 1.6 percentage points lower than opponents of the Trail Blazers have shot from beyond the arc (37.2%).
  • Dallas has assembled an 8-7 record against the spread and a 10-5 straight-up record in games this season when the team hits more than 37.2% of its three-point shots.
  • Portland has put up a 12-5 against the spread while going 12-5 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot better than 35.6% from downtown.
  • The Trail Blazers are knocking down 38.1% of their shots from deep, which is just 0.9 percentage points greater than the 37.2% the Mavericks’ opponents are averaging on the season.
  • Portland is 14-6 ATS and 16-4 overall when the team makes more than 37.2% of its three-point attempts.
  • Dallas has a 13-6 ATS record and a 13-6 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 38.1% from three-point distance.
  • The Mavericks connect on 13.4 three-pointers per game this season, 2.8 fewer makes per game than the Trail Blazers give up (16.2).
  • Portland has gone 17-13 against the spread and 21-9 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Dallas makes fewer threes than its opponents, it is 4-16 ATS and 5-15 straight up.
  • The Trail Blazers are the second-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Mavericks allow the 24th-fewest makes from deep.

Mavericks vs Trail Blazers Stat Rankings

Mavericks Rank Mavericks AVG Trail Blazers AVG Trail Blazers Rank
20th 111.4 Points Scored 114.8 9th
14th 111.3 Points Allowed 115 25th
27th 42.8 Rebounds 43.7 22nd
26th 8.3 Off. Rebounds 10.5 11th
10th 13.4 3pt Made 16.2 2nd
25th 22.6 Assists 20 30th
3rd 11.7 Turnovers 11.3 2nd

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