Suns vs Timberwolves: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 18, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 18, 2021 - Last Updated on March 29, 2021

The Phoenix Suns (26-12) square off against the Minnesota Timberwolves (9-31) as heavy, 10.5-point favorites on Thursday, March 18, 2021 at 10:00 PM ET on FS-N+. The matchup has an over/under of 228.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of March 18, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Suns vs Timberwolves Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 18

Suns:
Abdel Nader: Day To Day (Knee),
Cameron Johnson: Out (Health and Safety Protocols)

Timberwolves:
Jordan McLaughlin: Day To Day (Health and Safety Protocols),
Jarrett Culver: Day To Day (Toe),
D’Angelo Russell: Out (Leg)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Suns (-10.5)
Total Pick Under (228.5)
Prediction Suns 121, Timberwolves 103

The Suns are the bet in this matchup. They’re favored by 6.9 more points in the model than DraftKings (17.4 to 10.5).

The DraftKings point total for this game is just 4.3 points highter than the model projection.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Suns Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Devin Booker 34 25.1 3.7 4.6 0.8 0.3 2.1
Chris Paul 37 15.9 4.6 8.8 1.4 0.2 1.5
Deandre Ayton 38 14.4 11.1 1.6 0.4 1.1 0.1
Mikal Bridges 38 13.6 4.8 2.2 0.7 0.9 1.8
Dario Saric 20 11.5 4.2 1.4 0.7 0.2 1.4

Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Karl-Anthony Towns 20 22.2 10.3 4.2 0.9 1.7 1.9
D’Angelo Russell 20 19.3 2.6 5.1 1.1 0.5 3.0
Anthony Edwards 40 16.2 4.1 2.5 0.9 0.4 2.1
Naz Reid 38 11.6 4.7 1.2 0.6 1.2 0.9
Jaylen Nowell 26 10.4 2.3 1.4 0.5 0.3 1.5

Shooting Trends

  • The Suns make 48.9% of their shots from the field this season, which is one percentage point higher than the Timberwolves have allowed to their opponents (47.9%).
  • Phoenix is 20-4 against the spread and 20-4 overall when it shoots better than 47.9% from the field.
  • Minnesota is 12-9-2 against the spread and 9-14 overall when allowing opponents to shoot higher than 48.9% from the field.
  • The Timberwolves have shot at a 44.3% clip from the field this season, 1.6 percentage points less than the 45.9% shooting opponents of the Suns have averaged.
  • Minnesota is 6-4-1 against the spread and 3-8 overall when it shoots higher than 45.9% from the field.
  • When Phoenix’s opponents shoot above 44.3% from the field, it is 12-2-1 against the spread and 13-2 overall.
  • The Suns are making 38.3% of their three-point shots this season, 0.8% higher than the 37.5% the Timberwolves allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Phoenix has put together a 17-4 record against the spread and a 17-4 straight-up record in games this season when the team hits more than 37.5% of its three-point shots.
  • Minnesota is 14-7-1 against the spread while putting up a 9-13 straight-up record when its opponents shoot over 38.3% from downtown.
  • The Timberwolves shoot 35% from beyond the arc this season. That’s -0.4 percentage points lower than the Suns have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (34.6%).
  • Minnesota is 11-8-2 ATS and 7-14 overall when the team hits more than 34.6% of its three-point attempts.
  • Phoenix has a 14-3-1 ATS record and a 15-3 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 35% from three-point distance.
  • The Suns make 13.3 three-pointers per game this season, only 0.7 more made shots on average than the 12.6 per game the Timberwolves allow.
  • When Phoenix makes more three-pointers than its opponents, it is 18-6 against the spread and 18-6 overall. When Minnesota is out-shot from deep by its opponents, it is 2-13 ATS and 1-14 straight up.
  • The Suns make the 11th-most three-pointers in the league, while the Timberwolves give up the fifth-fewest makes from beyond the arc.

Suns vs Timberwolves Stat Rankings

Suns Rank Suns AVG Timberwolves AVG Timberwolves Rank
11th 114.1 Points Scored 109.4 23rd
4th 107.6 Points Allowed 117.3 28th
28th 43.1 Rebounds 43.3 21st
27th 8.1 Off. Rebounds 10.5 9th
11th 13.3 3pt Made 12.6 17th
2nd 27.2 Assists 25.2 13th
5th 12.6 Turnovers 13.9 19th

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